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Allegiant Travel : The share is well oriented

05/07/2013 | 09:41am
Opinion : Bullish above USD 92.7
Target price : USD 100 Potential: 9.61%
Stop loss: USD 89.85
NASDAQ
Airlines

Allegiant Travel, a low-cost airline company based in Las Vegas, shows strong fundamentals which should allow its shares to pursue its ascent.

Despite a high valuation, analysts polled by Thomson Reuters have recently revised upward the earning per share estimates for 2013. Last quarterly earnings publications reported a 15% increase in revenues to $273 million and a 47% improvement of its net income for the first quarter of 2013.

Graphically, the security is up 23% since the 1st January. It seems able to continue this uptrend supported by the 20-day moving average and will soon test the USD 92.70 short-term resistance. We anticipate a crossing of this level, given the upward orientation of the stock in the medium and long term. Above USD 92.70, a buy signal will be given.

Therefore, investors could take a long position in Allegiant Travel, on crossing of the USD 92.70 short-term resistance. A first target price will be set at USD 100. A stop loss should be placed under USD 90.

Allegiant Travel : Allegiant Travel : The share is well oriented
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Financial Ratios

Size 2014e 2015e
Capitalization 2 109 M$ -
Company Value 2 032 M$ 1 960 M$
Valuation 2014e 2015e
PER (Price / EPS) 19,2x 16,6x
Capitalization / Revenue 1,86x 1,67x
EV / Revenue 1,79x 1,56x
EV / EBITDA 7,56x 6,41x
Yield (DPS / Price) - -
Profitability 2014e 2015e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 16,5% 16,5%
operating Leverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) 1,49x 1,04x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 9,94% 10,1%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 13,4% 14,6%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 26,3% 28,7%
Rate of Dividend - -
Balance Sheet Analysis 2014e 2015e
CAPEX / Sales   7,04% 6,65%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 20,2% 19,6%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 0,74x 0,69x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) -0,29x -0,49x
Income Statement Evolution
Allegiant Travel Company : Income Statement Evolution
More Financials
EPS Revisions
Allegiant Travel Company : EPS Revisions
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