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AmeriGas Partners, L.P. : Bearish scenario preferred

02/06/2013 | 09:28am
Opinion : Bearish under USD 44.85
Target price : USD 40.85
Stop loss: USD 46.8
NYSE
Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing

AmeriGas Partners is showing an overbought situation and a pullback towards the USD 40.85 support could occur in the next trading sessions.

Graphically, the stock went through a period of rebound in recent sessions towards the USD 44.85 medium-term resistance. The share should consolidate near this area. It could act as a stopping point of the upward movement. This scenario suggests a return to the USD 40.85 support area which will be a bearish objective.

Due to the technical configuration, investors can open a short position close to the USD 44.85 resistance. The price target is set at USD 40.85 and a stop loss will be placed above USD 44.85.

AmeriGas Partners, L.P. : AmeriGas Partners, L.P. : Bearish scenario preferred
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Financial Ratios

Size 2014e 2015e
Capitalization 4 239 M$ -
Entreprise Value (EV) 6 886 M$ 6 909 M$
Valuation 2014e 2015e
PER (Price / EPS) 15,4x 15,8x
Capitalization / Revenue 1,14x 1,15x
EV / Revenue 1,86x 1,87x
EV / EBITDA 10,3x 10,3x
Yield (DPS / Price) 7,67% 8,00%
Profitability 2014e 2015e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 12,6% 12,8%
operating Leverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) 0,66x -
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 7,45% 7,47%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 6,40% 6,50%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 19,9% 20,9%
Rate of Dividend 118% 126%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2014e 2015e
CAPEX / Sales   2,71% 3,18%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 9,88% 11,9%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 1,16x 1,15x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 3,97x 3,98x
Income Statement Evolution
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