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Archer Daniels Midland Company : Support level could play as stepping stone

07/02/2012 | 11:05am
Opinion : Bullish above 28 USD
Target price : 32 USD
Stop loss: 27.8 USD
NYSE
Food Processing
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company procures, transports, stores, processes, and merchandises agricultural commodities and products. The company processes oilseeds, corn, milo, oats, barley, peanuts, and wheat. Archer-Daniels-Midland also processes produce products which have primarily two end uses including food or feed ingredients.

From a fundamental viewpoint, the company shows positive indicators with a PER of 12.37x for this year. In addition, with an "entreprise value to sales" ratio of 0.29x, the company is low valued. The turnover's growth rate adds relevance to this enterprise.

On the short term, the share was heavily penalized. The bearish trend pushed the stock towards mid and long term support of USD 28.6. Even if moving averages are downward oriented, we could forecast that this level could set up a stock’s recovery.
We suggest a long position in order to aim a return towards USD 32, with a stop loss order placed USD 27.8.
Archer Daniels Midland Company : Archer Daniels Midland Company : Support level could play as stepping stone
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Financial Ratios

Size 2013e 2014e
Capitalization 22 671 M$ -
Company Value 24 760 M$ 26 155 M$
Valuation 2013e 2014e
PER (Price / EPS) 14,6x 11,4x
Capitalization / Revenue 0,25x 0,25x
EV / Revenue 0,27x 0,28x
EV / EBITDA 7,81x 7,01x
Yield (DPS / Price) 2,08% 2,15%
Profitability 2013e 2014e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 2,43% 3,01%
operating laverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) - 12,8x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 1,73% 2,15%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 3,42% 4,25%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 7,88% 9,23%
Rate of Dividend 30,3% 24,5%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2013e 2014e
CAPEX / Sales   1,22% 1,34%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 2,45% 2,64%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 0,51x 0,51x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 0,66x 0,93x
Income Statement Evolution
Archer Daniels Midland Com : Income Statement Evolution
More Financials
EPS Revisions
Archer Daniels Midland Com : EPS Revisions
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