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AT&T : Timing of AT&T-Time Warner Deal Closing 'Now Uncertain' -- Update

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11/08/2017 | 06:46pm CET
By Drew FitzGerald and Keach Hagey 

A top AT&T Inc. executive warned for the first time that the company is unsure about the timing of its planned takeover of Time Warner Inc., as the combination of the telecom and media giants faces an extended antitrust review.

The Justice Department is seeking changes to the deal's structure, which would require the companies to sell off certain assets, in order to approve the transaction, according to people familiar with the matter.

The proposed transaction, which was valued at $85 billion when it was struck last year, would turn the giant telephone company into one of the world's biggest media owners, putting CNN, HBO and the Warner Bros. film studio under the same corporate roof as satellite broadcaster DirecTV and roughly 100 million wireless users.

The Justice Department is laying the groundwork for a possible lawsuit to stop the deal while at the same time negotiating with company executives, The Wall Street Journal reported last week. The two sides have been in discussions for months and aren't close to an agreement, the Journal reported.

"I can't comment on those discussions, but with those discussions, I can now say that the timing of the closing of the deal is now uncertain," John Stephens, AT&T's chief financial officer, said Wednesday at a Wells Fargo conference in New York. Just a few weeks ago, he told investors the company still expected the transaction to close later this year.

A Justice Department spokesman didn't immediately respond to a request for comment.

The review reached a new level in recent weeks after the Senate in late September confirmed Makan Delrahim to lead the Justice Department's antitrust division. President Donald Trump nominated Mr. Delrahim in April, but the Senate moved slowly on his confirmation, leaving him on the sidelines while other Justice Department antitrust staffers scrutinized the transaction. Mr. Delrahim is now involved in the deliberations, people familiar with the matter said.

Mr. Delrahim isn't a big supporter of using so-called behavioral remedies to address concerns about a merger, as he stated last month in a public appearance at New York University. Antitrust observers took notice of the remarks and have wondered whether his views would make it harder for AT&T to offer concessions the Justice Department would find acceptable.

AT&T is looking for the deal to give it a bigger foray into advertising and new growth markets, as it struggles with increased competition in the mature wireless business and shrinking pay-TV market, especially in the DirecTV satellite service it bought in 2015.

For Time Warner, the deal with AT&T is the culmination of years of moves by Chief Executive Jeff Bewkes, who spun off underperforming assets, leaving a media and entertainment-focused firm that was more appealing to an acquirer. Mr. Bewkes has argued that uniting content and distribution will help meet viewers' demands for more flexibility in the TV packages they buy and where they view content, with more video being watched on mobile devices.

As the media industry evolves, even giant companies are looking to adapt. Rival Walt Disney Co. recently held talks to buy studios and other entertainment assets from 21st Century Fox Inc., seeking to gain more leverage in negotiations with distributors or to have more content for its own direct to consumer services.

AT&T argues the deal would help consumers by making film and TV more affordable. AT&T points to its current moves to lower prices for video content, such as offering discounts for DirecTV Now, an online pay-TV service.

"Vertical mergers like this one have always been approved because they benefit consumers without removing any competitors from the market," AT&T said last week. "We see no reason in the law or the facts why this transaction should be an exception."

Several competitors including the Lions Gate Entertainment Corp.'s premium programming service Starz, which competes with Time Warner's HBO, and rival satellite broadcaster Dish Network Corp. have raised concerns about the deal, people familiar with the matter said.

If the Justice Department were to sue to block the deal, that wouldn't be the end of the matter unless the companies abandoned their plans. The department would have to present its case to a federal judge and prove that the deal would likely harm competition.

Shares of Time Warner fell 2.9% to $91.94 in Wednesday afternoon trading, while AT&T shares slipped 0.6% to $32.88. AT&T shares have fallen sharply in recent weeks and Time Warner shares are trading at a wide discount to the implied offer price, as investors worry about the deal.

Write to Drew FitzGerald at [email protected] and Keach Hagey at [email protected]

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Financials ($)
Sales 2017 160 B
EBIT 2017 28 214 M
Net income 2017 13 750 M
Debt 2017 114 B
Yield 2017 5,71%
P/E ratio 2017 15,18
P/E ratio 2018 13,96
EV / Sales 2017 2,03x
EV / Sales 2018 2,00x
Capitalization 212 B
Chart AT&T
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AT&T Technical Analysis Chart | T | US00206R1023 | 4-Traders
Technical analysis trends AT&T
Short TermMid-TermLong Term
TrendsBearishBearishBearish
Income Statement Evolution
Consensus
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Mean consensus HOLD
Number of Analysts 29
Average target price 39,7 $
Spread / Average Target 15%
EPS Revisions
Managers
NameTitle
Randall L. Stephenson Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
John J. Stephens Chief Financial & Principal Accounting Officer
Joyce M. Roché Independent Director
Laura D'Andrea Tyson Independent Director
Matthew K. Rose Lead Independent Director
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