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4-Traders Homepage  >  Equities  >  Bolsa de Madrid  >  Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria    BBVA   ES0113211835

BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA (BBVA)
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Santander or Bankia viewed as likely saviours for Spain's Popular

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05/19/2017 | 03:04pm CEST
FILE PHOTO: A man stands next to the logo of Spain's Banco Popular during the bank's results presentation in Madrid

MADRID (Reuters) - Spain's biggest bank Santander (>> Banco Santander, S.A.) or state-owned lender Bankia (>> Bankia SA) are most likely to step in to save troubled Banco Popular (>> Banco Popular Espanol SA), sources familiar with the talks told Reuters, although a deal is still far from guaranteed.

MADRID (Reuters) - Spain's biggest bank Santander (>> Banco Santander, S.A.) or state-owned lender Bankia (>> Bankia SA) are most likely to step in to save troubled Banco Popular (>> Banco Popular Espanol SA), sources familiar with the talks told Reuters, although a deal is still far from guaranteed.

Popular is racing to find a merger partner after Spanish Economy Minister Luis de Guindos closed the door on Thursday to a potential bailout with public money, while a capital increase is facing resistance from the bank's existing shareholders.

Santander, which declined to comment on Popular, is attracted by the bank's strong position in small and medium size company lending, a source close to Santander said, adding that it would probably have to raise cash to finance any bid.

"I see Santander as being really motivated."

Saddled with 37 billion euros (£31.8 billion) of soured property assets, Popular has asked for binding offers by June 10 and aims to close a takeover by the end of next month, the sources said.

The bank lost 3.6 billion euros in 2016 and has undergone three leadership shake-ups in less than a year. Its shares have fallen 65 percent over the past year and are the worst performers on the European STOXX banking index .SX7P.

Santander, Bankia and BBVA (>> Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria S.A.) all showed initial interest in Popular in a preliminary round of talks last week.

BBVA, which declined to comment, does not rule out making an offer, but people familiar with its strategy say it sees a takeover deal as highly risky.

It approached Popular with a tentative 1.2 euro per share offer late last year but never formally put forward a bid.

BBVA believes any deal below this price would trigger liabilities of up to 2.5 billion euros, coming on top of restructuring and clean-up costs.

Those liabilities relate to Popular's capital increase in June 2016. Investors who bought into it at 1.25 euro per share could argue they were not given reliable information about the bank's accounts and therefore paid over the odds.

BAD BANK ?

Santander, which hired Citigroup earlier this year to work on a potential Popular deal, would have to raise at least 6 billion euros in a capital increase if it pursues a bid, the source close to the bank said, echoing analyst views.

Popular's final capital shortfall would not be known until a full due diligence has been completed, they added.

Bankia, which also declined to comment, is another strong candidate, the sources said, because it not only has cash but also an excess of capital following its 22 billion euros state bailout in 2012 and a successful turnaround since then.

Although it has not hired any advisers, Bankia could quickly find around 4 billion euros to buy Popular in cash and shares, paving the way for a transfer of part or all of Popular's troubled real estate assets into Spain's bad bank Sareb.

While this would likely meet resistance in Madrid and Brussels, a condition for using the bad bank is to have received public money which would apply to Bankia, but not other bidders.

"(Economy Minister) De Guindos is the one who will call the shots at the end of the day and its clear that he wants Bankia, and possibly Sareb, to be part of the solution," one source familiar with the process said.

The economy ministry declined to comment.

(Additional reporting by Carlos Ruano; writing by Julien Toyer; editing by Alexander Smith)

By Andrés González and Jesús Aguado

Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
BANCO POPULAR ESPANOL 0.00%-End-of-day quote.0.00%
BANCO SANTANDER 1.15% 5.467 End-of-day quote.-0.22%
CITIGROUP 1.58% 70.16 Delayed Quote.-6.28%
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Financials (€)
Sales 2018 24 449 M
EBIT 2018 12 475 M
Net income 2018 4 985 M
Debt 2018 -
Yield 2018 4,34%
P/E ratio 2018 8,93
P/E ratio 2019 8,57
Capi. / Sales 2018 1,77x
Capi. / Sales 2019 1,71x
Capitalization 43 295 M
Chart BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGEN
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Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argen Technical Analysis Chart | BBVA | ES0113211835 | 4-Traders
Technical analysis trends BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGEN
Short TermMid-TermLong Term
TrendsNeutralBearishBearish
Income Statement Evolution
Consensus
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus HOLD
Number of Analysts 29
Average target price 7,53 €
Spread / Average Target 16%
EPS Revisions
Managers
NameTitle
Carlos Torres Vila Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director
Francisco González Rodríguez Group Executive Chairman
Jaime Saenz de Tejada Pulido Chief Financial Officer
Ricardo Enrique Moreno Head-Engineering
Carlos Loring Martínez de Irujo External Director
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