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Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation : Bullish trend depleted

05/11/2012 | 10:07am
Opinion : Bearish under USD 35.6
Target price : USD 32
Stop loss: USD 37.2
Oil & Gas Exploration and Production

Cabot oil & gas company develops, exploits and explores oil and gas properties located in North America.

From a fundamental viewpoint, the company is trading at a very high level as shown by the « enterprise value/revenue » estimated at 7.35x. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters are pessimistic as shown by the earnings per share estimates for 2012 regularly downgraded.

Technically, once again the USD 31.2 resistance has been hit, bullish trend seems to be depleted. Two times, the stock has failed to cross up the resistance, therefore this one would seem strong. A new downward trend could happen in the next sessions.

In this case, the strategy would be now to take a short position at the current price and to buy back at USD 32, a convergent point with moving averages. This strategy will be cancelled if the share increases above USD 37.

Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation : Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation : Bullish trend depleted

© 2012

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Financial Ratios

Size 2015e 2016e
Capitalization 12 094 M$ -
Entreprise Value (EV) 13 921 M$ 13 767 M$
Valuation 2015e 2016e
PER (Price / EPS) 83,9x 33,5x
Capitalization / Revenue 6,68x 5,01x
EV / Revenue 7,69x 5,70x
EV / EBITDA 13,6x 9,36x
Yield (DPS / Price) 0,29% 0,45%
Price to book (Price / BVPS) 4,24x 3,74x
Profitability 2015e 2016e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 15,8% 30,2%
operating Leverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) -3,69x 4,65x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 7,30% 15,4%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 3,88% 5,99%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 7,42% 14,5%
Rate of Dividend 24,3% 15,2%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2015e 2016e
CAPEX / Sales   108% 63,9%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 52,6% 56,3%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 1,88x 2,58x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 1,78x 1,14x
Income Statement Evolution
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