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CATERPILLAR INC.

 (CAT)

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Caterpillar Inc. : Buy on the lower bound

05/02/2012 | 10:36am
Opinion : Bullish above 99.7 USD
Target price : 109.2 USD
Stop loss: 96 USD
NYSE
Construction / Agricultural Machinery
The world’s leading producer of mining construction and operation equipment, Caterpillar, has released for the first quarter a revenue of $16 billion, up 23% and a net income of $1.6 billion, up 29%.

Moreover, the group has revised upwards its forecast for annual profit to $9.50 per share, against $9.25 previously. It kept its forecast for sales, between $68 and $70 billion. The order book continued to increase in the first quarter at $ 30.7 billion. Besides, the management announced to face a slowdown in China and Brazil which curb their expansion to master inflation.

Technically, Caterpillar’s stock has failed to sustain bullish impetus. The share has declined and evolve now in a trading range bounded by USD 99.7/109.2. Currently, the security is near the lower bound, represented by the USD 99.7 mid-term support, and could head back towards the upper bound i nthe next sessions.

Thus, investors could take a buy position on the lower bound to target the upper bound at USD 109.2. A stop-loss will be fixed at USD 95.5, below a small gap at USD 96.
Caterpillar Inc. : Caterpillar Inc. : Buy on the lower bound
Alexandre Nutte
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Financial Ratios

Size 2013e 2014e
Capitalization 55 590 M$ -
Company Value 60 813 M$ 59 112 M$
Valuation 2013e 2014e
PER (Price / EPS) 12,3x 10,6x
Capitalization / Revenue 0,94x 0,89x
EV / Revenue 1,03x 0,94x
EV / EBITDA 6,67x 5,77x
Yield (DPS / Price) 2,33% 2,50%
Profitability 2013e 2014e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 11,2% 12,0%
operating laverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) -2,64x 2,23x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 7,67% 8,16%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 8,11% 8,47%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 24,9% 25,2%
Rate of Dividend 28,7% 26,6%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2013e 2014e
CAPEX / Sales   4,98% 4,93%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 12,1% 12,7%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 0,95x 0,96x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 0,57x 0,34x
Income Statement Evolution
Caterpillar Inc. : Income Statement Evolution
More Financials
EPS Revisions
Caterpillar Inc. : EPS Revisions
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