LONDON, UK / ACCESSWIRE / August 15, 2017 / The development of Celyad's (NASDAQ: CYAD) natural killer (NK) receptor-based CAR T-cell therapy (NKR-2/CYAD-01) has taken an important step with the initiation of the SHRINK trial, which moves NK CAR T-cell therapy towards the 90%+ of cancer patients who do not have CD19 or BCMA tumors. CYAD-01 is already being tested in THINK with five solid tumor types plus AML and MM. Promising THINK results have been reported at the lowest dose. Celyad has paid $25m in cash and shares to reduce the royalties payable on potential short-term deals and long-term sales. Our indicative value of Celyad has been revised to $616m or $61 per ADR.

Celyad has a leading position in solid cancer therapy and has renegotiated the NK CAR T-cell licensing deals, paying $12.5m cash plus $12.5m in shares to reduce the amounts payable. We have increased the indicative value by this amount. The deal will give more cash from near-term deals, perhaps on allogeneic technology, and increase longer-term cash flows. The probability of the colorectal indication has been increased from 10% to 20% reflecting the new observations. Other small adjustments have also been made. The indicative value estimated by Edison on one solid cancer plus AML and MM is therefore revised to US$616m (US$61 per ADR). As a scenario, if all five current solid cancer indications are included, the value would be US$1.5bn and US$153/ADR before dilution. We estimate that Celyad has cash into 2019.

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