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Cincinnati Financial Corporation : Cincinnati Financial Reports Second-Quarter 2012 Results

07/26/2012| 04:20pm US/Eastern
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CINCINNATI, July 26, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:

    --  Second-quarter 2012 net income of $32 million, or 20 cents per share,
        compared with a net loss of $50 million, or 31 cents per share, in the
        second quarter of 2011.
    --  Operating income* of $28 million, or 17 cents per share, compared with
        an operating loss of $94 million, or 58 cents per share.
    --  $82 million increase in second-quarter 2012 net income reflected a $124
        million improvement, after taxes, in the contribution from property
        casualty underwriting, including a favorable effect of $93 million from
        lower natural catastrophe losses. The after-tax contribution from
        investment income matched the prior year's quarter, while net realized
        investment gains - with timing that tends to be largely at management's
        discretion - declined $40 million.
    --  $31.66 book value per share at June 30, 2012, up 2 percent from December
        31, 2011.
    --  4.6 percent value creation ratio for the first six months of 2012,
        compared with 2.9 percent for the first half of 2011.

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Financial Highlights

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    
    (Dollars in millions except share data in thousands)                                                                Three months ended June 30,              Six months ended June 30,
    ---------------------------------------------------
                                                        2012                                                            2011                  Change %       2012                      2011                     Change %
                                                        ----                                                            ----                   -------        ----                      ----                      -------
    Revenue Highlights
       Earned premiums                                                                                                                            $877                                  $773                           13                                $1,716                                $1,555                           10
       Investment income, pre-tax                                                                                                                  132                                   132                            0                                   263                                   263                            0
       Total revenues                                                                                                                            1,020                                   975                            5                                 2,006                                 1,904                            5
    Income Statement Data
       Net income (loss)                                                                                                                           $32                                  $(50)                          nm                                  $118                                   $11                          973
       Net realized investment gains and losses                                                                                                      4                                    44                          (91)                                   13                                    51                          (75)
       Operating income (loss)*                                                                                                                    $28                                  $(94)                          nm                                  $105                                  $(40)                          nm
                                                                                                                                                   ===                                  ====                                                               ====                                  ====
    Per Share Data (diluted)
       Net income (loss)                                                                                                                         $0.20                                $(0.31)                          nm                                 $0.72                                 $0.07                          929
       Net realized investment gains and losses                                                                                                   0.03                                  0.27                          (89)                                 0.07                                  0.31                          (77)
       Operating income (loss)*                                                                                                                  $0.17                                $(0.58)                          nm                                 $0.65                                $(0.24)                          nm
                                                                                                                                                 =====                                ======                                                              =====                                ======
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    
       Book value                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        $31.66                                $30.88                            3
       Cash dividend declared                                                                                                                  $0.4025                                 $0.40                            1                                $0.805                                 $0.80                            1
       Weighted average shares outstanding                                                                                                     163,514                               163,069                            0                               163,328                               163,685                            0

Insurance Operations Second-Quarter Highlights

    --  109.5 percent second-quarter 2012 property casualty combined ratio,
        improved from 136.7 percent for second-quarter 2011.
    --  18 percent increase in net written premiums, including higher pricing,
        and with 6 percent of the growth due to second-quarter 2011 premiums
        ceded to reinstate property catastrophe reinsurance coverage.
    --  $131 million second-quarter 2012 property casualty new business written
        premiums, a company record for any quarter, up $14 million. Agencies
        appointed since the beginning of 2011 increased their contribution to
        new business premiums by $9 million for the quarter.
    --  6 cents per share contribution from life insurance operating income to
        second-quarter results, down 2 cents from 2011.

Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights

    --  $132 million second-quarter 2012 before-tax investment income matched
        the second quarter of 2011.
    --  2 percent six-month rise in fair value of invested assets plus cash at
        June 30, 2012, including an equity portfolio increase of 6 percent and a
        3 percent increase for the bond portfolio.
    --  $1.025 billion parent company cash and marketable securities at June 30,
        2012.

* The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 12 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles.

** Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the company's safe harbor statement (see Page 10).

Investment Income Produces Net and Operating Income

Steven J. Johnston, president and chief executive officer, commented: "Investment income remained our main source of profits as our investment portfolio continued its steady performance for the second quarter. Both our equity portfolio and our bond portfolio generated income that matched second-quarter and six-month 2011 levels, reflecting our consistent, proven investment approach.

"As previously announced, catastrophe losses led to a property casualty insurance underwriting loss, in contrast to two previous sequential quarters of underwriting profits. In each of the past three years, spring storms have caused underwriting performance to ebb to a low in the second quarter."

Property Casualty Insurance Operations in Improved Position

"We are optimistic about rebounding in the second half of this year because our core underwriting results have improved our position and increased our ability to absorb catastrophe losses. For the first half of 2012, our 104.4 percent total combined ratio was our best first half underwriting result since 2008, and the core combined ratio before catastrophes and favorable reserve development improved more than 7 percentage points to 100.6 percent. In particular, our initiatives to return profitability to our workers' compensation line of business are succeeding, with that line achieving a satisfactory 66.5 percent loss and loss expenses ratio for the second quarter.

"We are taking the opportunity to apply similar initiatives and work toward achieving similar results in other lines of business. Workers' compensation was the first commercial line of business for which we used a pricing analytical model, and now analytics are enhancing pricing precision for commercial package lines. To gather underwriting information and help our business policyholders prevent losses before they happen, we are offering more loss control support and more in-person property reviews. We are also increasing specialization and expertise among our associates to provide greater focus in addressing challenges for property coverages in our policies."

High Quality Growth

"While our enhanced pricing capabilities and a better pricing environment are major drivers of our profitability improvement, policy-level and agency-level metrics also support our confidence in the quality and price adequacy of the business we are writing today. Pricing of our commercial renewal policies rose at mid single-digit rates in the second quarter, and our pricing analytics indicated even stronger price adequacy for new business. Record new business in the second quarter came largely from independent agencies appointed over the past 18 months, with established agencies also contributing increased new business. We reached a milestone as direct written premium exceeded the $1 billion mark for the first time in any quarter, on a consolidated basis including life insurance premium.

"On a direct-written basis, property casualty premiums from business written by our agents grew a satisfactory 12 percent in the second quarter, with growth across the commercial, personal and excess and surplus lines segments. Net written growth of property casualty premiums was very strong for the second quarter at 18 percent, but that measure included 6 percentage points attributable to premiums we ceded, or paid to reinsurers, in 2011 to reinstate exhausted layers of our reinsurance program."

On Track to Create Value

"A strong balance sheet gives us the flexibility to pursue business growth and pay shareholder dividends as a consistent, long-term strategy. At June 30, our book value per share was above year-end values by 2 percent. Unrealized gains in our equity portfolio totaled $891 million despite fluctuating lower on June 30 than on March 31. Our bond portfolio, at $9.025 billion on June 30, was more than 135 percent of insurance reserve liabilities, and our strong reserves continued to develop favorably, providing consistent earnings support. Our value creation ratio, reflecting book value changes and dividends declared, stands at 4.6 percent halfway through the year, within striking distance of our 12 percent or better average annual target for this measure of value delivered to shareholders."

Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations


    (Dollars in millions)                                    Three months ended June 30,                Six months ended June 30,
                                                         2012                   2011     Change % 2012                  2011     Change %
                                                         ----                   ----      -------  ----                  ----      -------

    Earned premiums                                                             $826                                     $730                            13  $1,624  $1,475                10
    Fee revenues                                                                   2                                        1                           100       3       2                50
                                                                                 ---                                      ---                                   ---     ---
       Total revenues                                                            828                                      731                            13   1,627   1,477                10

    Loss and loss expenses                                                       640                                      759                           (16)  1,179   1,289                (9)
    Underwriting expenses                                                        265                                      239                            11     516     485                 6
       Underwriting loss                                                        $(77)                                   $(267)                           71    $(68)  $(297)               77
                                                                                ====                                    =====                                  ====   =====

    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                                                                Pt. Change                        Pt. Change
                                                                                                                                           ----------                        ----------
         Loss and loss expenses                                                 77.5%                                   104.1%                        (26.6)   72.6%   87.4%            (14.8)
         Underwriting expenses                                                  32.0                                     32.6                          (0.6)   31.8    32.8              (1.0)
    Combined ratio                                                             109.5%                                   136.7%                        (27.2)  104.4%  120.2%            (15.8)
                                                                               =====                                    =====                         =====   =====   =====             =====


                                                                                                                                                   Change %                         Change %
                                                                                                                                                    -------                           -------
    Agency renewal written premiums                                             $798                                     $717                            11  $1,560  $1,425                 9
    Agency new business written premiums                                         131                                      117                            12     239     219                 9
    Other written premiums                                                       (26)                                     (66)                           61     (53)    (97)               45
       Net written premiums                                                     $903                                     $768                            18  $1,746  $1,547                13
                                                                                ====                                     ====                                ======  ======

    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                                                                Pt. Change                        Pt. Change
                                                                                                                                           ----------                        ----------
         Current accident year before catastrophe losses                        69.5%                                    77.3%                         (7.8)   68.8%   75.2%             (6.4)
         Current accident year catastrophe losses                               18.4                                     39.7                         (21.3)   16.2    22.5              (6.3)
         Prior accident years before catastrophe losses                         (9.8)                                   (13.0)                          3.2   (10.8)  (10.3)             (0.5)
         Prior accident years catastrophe losses                                (0.6)                                     0.1                          (0.7)   (1.6)    0.0              (1.6)
    Total loss and loss expenses                                                77.5%                                   104.1%                        (26.6)   72.6%   87.4%            (14.8)
                                                                                ====                                    =====                         =====    ====    ====             =====

    Current accident year combined ratio before
          catastrophe losses                                                   101.5%                                   109.9%                         (8.4)  100.6%  108.0%             (7.4)
                                                                               =====                                    =====                          ====   =====   =====              ====

    --  $135 million or 18 percent increase in second-quarter 2012 property
        casualty net written premiums and six-month growth of 13 percent. $38
        million of the growth was due to additional ceded premiums during the
        second quarter of 2011 to reinstate coverage layers of our property
        catastrophe reinsurance treaty.
    --  $14 million or 12 percent increase in second-quarter new business
        written by agencies, reflecting recent-year growth initiatives. The $20
        million six-month increase included $18 million from agencies appointed
        since the beginning of 2011.
    --  1,375 agency relationships in 1,717 reporting locations marketing
        standard market property casualty insurance products at June 30, 2012,
        compared with 1,312 agency relationships in 1,648 reporting locations at
        year-end 2011. 93 new agency appointments were made during the first six
        months of 2012.
    --  27.2 and 15.8 percentage-point second-quarter and first-half 2012
        combined ratio improvement primarily due to 22.0 and 7.9 point decreases
        in natural catastrophe losses plus improving loss ratios before
        catastrophe losses that include better pricing relative to loss costs.
    --  6.4 percentage-point improvement, to 68.8 percent, for six-month 2012
        ratio of accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes,
        including 1.9 points of improvement in the 2012 ratio for new losses of
        $250,000 or more per claim and 1.9 points of improvement due to the $38
        million reinsurance reinstatement premium in 2011.
    --  10.4 percentage-point second-quarter 2012 benefit from favorable prior
        accident year reserve development of $85 million, compared with 12.9
        points or $95 million for second-quarter 2011. Six-month 2012 benefit
        before catastrophe losses of 10.8 points was slightly higher than the
        six-month 2011 benefit of 10.3 points.
    --  0.6 and 1.0 percentage-point decline in the second-quarter and six-month
        underwriting expense ratios, reflecting expense management and higher
        earned premiums in addition to the reinsurance reinstatement premium
        effect that contributed 1.6  and 0.9 points to the 2011 ratios.

The following table shows incurred catastrophe losses for 2012 and 2011.



    (In millions, net of reinsurance)                                                                  Three months ended June 30,               Six months ended June 30,
                                                                                                   Comm.    Pers.       E&S                         Comm.       Pers.      E&S
    Dates                                        Event                 Region                    lines    lines      lines             Total      lines       lines    lines    Total
    -----                                        -----                 ------                    -----    -----      -----             -----      -----       -----    -----    -----
    2012
       First quarter catastrophes                                                                               $1                  $4         $          -                  $5      $51    $57      $1   $109
       Apr. 28 - 29                              Hail, lightning, wind Midwest, South                         54                  22                    -                  76       54     22       -     76
       May 2 - 6                                 Hail, lightning, wind Midwest                                 5                   1                    -                   6        5      1       -      6
       Jun. 11 - 13                              Hail, lightning, wind South                                   6                   -                    -                   6        6      -       -      6
       Jun. 24 - 28                              Fire                  West                                    8                   -                    -                   8        8      -       -      8
       Jun. 28 - Jun. 30                         Hail, lightning, wind Midwest, Northeast, South               3                  32                    -                  35        3     32       -     35
       All other 2012 catastrophes                                                                            11                   5                    -                  16       13     10       -     23
       Development on 2011 and prior catastrophes                                                              2                  (7)                   -                  (5)     (11)   (16)      -    (27)
         Calendar year incurred total                                                                        $90                 $57         $          -                $147     $129   $106      $1   $236
                                                                                                             ===                 ===                  ===                ====     ====   ====     ===   ====

    2011
    First quarter catastrophes                                                                         $       -                 $(1)        $          -                 $(1)     $18    $12   $   -    $30
       Apr. 3-5                                  Hail, wind, tornado   South, Midwest                         16                  22                    -                  38       16     22       -     38
       Apr. 8-11                                 Hail, wind, tornado   South, Midwest                         11                   9                    -                  20       11      9       -     20
       Apr. 14-16                                Hail, wind, tornado   South, Midwest                         10                   4                    -                  14       10      4       -     14
       Apr. 19-20                                Hail, wind            South, Midwest                         13                  13                    -                  26       13     13       -     26
       Apr. 22-28                                Hail, wind, tornado   South, Midwest                         47                  31                    -                  78       47     31       -     78
       May 20-27                                 Hail, wind, tornado   South, Midwest                         45                  37                    -                  82       45     37       -     82
       May 29-Jun. 1                             Hail, wind, tornado   Northeast, Midwest                      4                   2                    -                   6        4      2       -      6
       Jun. 16-22                                Hail, wind, tornado   South, Midwest                          7                  10                    -                  17        7     10       -     17
       All other 2011 catastrophes                                                                             4                   5                    1                  10        9     11       1     21
       Development on 2010 and prior catastrophes                                                              -                   -                    -                   -        4     (5)      -     (1)
         Calendar year incurred total                                                                       $157                $132                   $1                $290     $184   $146      $1   $331
                                                                                                            ====                ====                  ===                ====     ====   ====     ===   ====

Insurance Operations Highlights

Commercial Lines Insurance Operations


    (Dollars in millions)                                    Three months ended June 30,                Six months ended June 30,
                                                         2012                   2011     Change % 2012                            2011         Change %
                                                         ----                   ----      -------  ----                            ----          -------

    Earned premiums                                                             $590                                     $533                         11  $1,158  $1,073                 8
    Fee revenues                                                                   1                                        -                         nm       2       1               100
                                                                                 ---                                      ---                                ---     ---
       Total revenues                                                            591                                      533                         11   1,160   1,074                 8

    Loss and loss expenses                                                       413                                      483                        (14)    761     857               (11)
    Underwriting expenses                                                        198                                      179                         11     385     368                 5
       Underwriting profit (loss)                                               $(20)                                   $(129)                        84     $14   $(151)               nm
                                                                                ====                                    =====                                ===   =====

    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                                                             Pt. Change                        Pt. Change
                                                                                                                                        ----------                        ----------
         Loss and loss expenses                                                 70.1%                                    90.8%                     (20.7)   65.7%   79.9%            (14.2)
         Underwriting expenses                                                  33.4                                     33.4                        0.0    33.2    34.3              (1.1)
    Combined ratio                                                             103.5%                                   124.2%                     (20.7)   98.9%  114.2%            (15.3)
                                                                               =====                                    =====                      =====    ====   =====             =====


                                                                                                                                                Change %                         Change %
                                                                                                                                                 -------                           -------
    Agency renewal written premiums                                             $552                                     $500                         10  $1,123  $1,042                 8
    Agency new business written premiums                                          91                                       81                         12     166     152                 9
    Other written premiums                                                       (17)                                     (44)                        61     (37)    (69)               46
       Net written premiums                                                     $626                                     $537                         17  $1,252  $1,125                11
                                                                                ====                                     ====                             ======  ======

    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                                                             Pt. Change                        Pt. Change
                                                                                                                                        ----------                        ----------
         Current accident year before catastrophe losses                        67.2%                                    75.9%                      (8.7)   67.5%   75.2%             (7.7)
         Current accident year catastrophe losses                               15.0                                     29.5                      (14.5)   12.2    16.8              (4.6)
         Prior accident years before catastrophe losses                        (12.3)                                   (14.8)                       2.5   (13.0)  (12.5)             (0.5)
         Prior accident years catastrophe losses                                 0.2                                      0.2                        0.0    (1.0)    0.4              (1.4)
                                                                                 ---                                      ---                        ---    ----     ---              ----
    Total loss and loss expenses                                                70.1%                                    90.8%                     (20.7)   65.7%   79.9%            (14.2)
                                                                                ====                                     ====                      =====    ====    ====             =====

    Current accident year combined ratio before
          catastrophe losses                                                   100.6%                                   109.3%                      (8.7)  100.7%  109.5%             (8.8)
                                                                               =====                                    =====                       ====   =====   =====              ====

    --  $89 million or 17 percent increase in second-quarter 2012 commercial
        lines net written premiums, largely due to growth in renewal written
        premiums. Eleven percent increase in six-month net written premiums also
        largely driven by renewal premium growth. $23 million of the growth was
        due to additional ceded premiums during the second quarter of 2011 to
        reinstate coverage layers of our property catastrophe reinsurance
        treaty.
    --  $52 million and $81 million increases in second-quarter and six-month
        renewal written premiums in part reflected commercial lines pricing
        changes that increased on average in a mid-single-digit range during the
        second quarter of 2012, up from a low- to mid-single-digit range for the
        first quarter.
    --  $10 million or 12 percent increase in second-quarter new business
        written by agencies, reflecting recent-year growth initiatives. $14
        million six-month increase, rising in nearly two-thirds of the 39 states
        where we offer standard market commercial lines policies.
    --  20.7 and 15.3 percentage-point second-quarter and first-half 2012
        combined ratio improvement primarily due to 14.5 and 6.0 point decreases
        in natural catastrophe losses, plus lower loss ratios before catastrophe
        losses in part reflecting initiatives to improve pricing precision and
        loss experience related to claims and loss control practices.
    --  7.7 percentage-point improvement, to 67.5 percent, for six-month 2012
        ratio of accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes,
        reflecting the effects of better pricing, 3.1 points of improvement in
        the 2012 ratio for new losses of $250,000 or more per claim and 1.5
        points of improvement due to the $23 million reinsurance reinstatement
        premium in 2011.
    --  12.1 percentage-point second-quarter 2012 benefit from favorable prior
        accident year reserve development of $72 million, compared with 14.6
        points or $79 million for second-quarter 2011. Six-month 2012 benefit
        before catastrophe losses of 13.0 points was slightly higher than the
        six-month 2011 benefit of 12.5 points.

Personal Lines Insurance Operations

    (Dollars in millions)                                Three months ended June 30, Six months ended June 30,
                                                         2012               2011    Change % 2012    2011     Change %
                                                         ----               ----      ------- ----    ----      -------

    Earned premiums                                                         $214                      $180                            19   $423   $370                14
    Fee revenues                                                               1                         1                             0      1      1                 0
                                                                             ---                       ---                                  ---    ---
       Total revenues                                                        215                       181                            19    424    371                14

    Loss and loss expenses                                                   210                       269                           (22)   384    410                (6)
    Underwriting expenses                                                     60                        54                            11    117    106                10
       Underwriting loss                                                    $(55)                    $(142)                           61   $(77) $(145)               47
                                                                            ====                     =====                                 ====  =====

    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                                             Pt. Change                      Pt. Change
                                                                                                                        ----------                      ----------
         Loss and loss expenses                                             97.9%                    149.4%                        (51.5)  90.8% 110.7%            (19.9)
         Underwriting expenses                                              28.2                      30.1                          (1.9)  27.8   28.7              (0.9)
    Combined ratio                                                         126.1%                    179.5%                        (53.4) 118.6% 139.4%            (20.8)
                                                                           =====                     =====                         =====  =====  =====             =====


                                                                                                                                Change %                       Change %
                                                                                                                                 -------                         -------
    Agency renewal written premiums                                         $227                      $205                            11   $402   $361                11
    Agency new business written premiums                                      29                        26                            12     53     48                10
    Other written premiums                                                    (6)                      (21)                           71    (12)   (26)               54
       Net written premiums                                                 $250                      $210                            19   $443   $383                16
                                                                            ====                      ====                                 ====   ====

    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                                             Pt. Change                      Pt. Change
                                                                                                                        ----------                      ----------
         Current accident year before catastrophe losses                    75.2%                     81.2%                         (6.0)  71.6%  74.4%             (2.8)
         Current accident year catastrophe losses                           29.4                      73.5                         (44.1)  28.8   40.8             (12.0)
         Prior accident years before catastrophe losses                     (3.9)                     (5.2)                          1.3   (5.8)  (3.1)             (2.7)
         Prior accident years catastrophe losses                            (2.8)                     (0.1)                         (2.7)  (3.8)  (1.4)             (2.4)
                                                                            ----                      ----                          ----   ----   ----              ----
    Total loss and loss expenses                                            97.9%                    149.4%                        (51.5)  90.8% 110.7%            (19.9)
                                                                            ====                     =====                         =====   ====  =====             =====

    Current accident year combined ratio before
    catastrophe losses                                                     103.4%                    111.3%                         (7.9)  99.4% 103.1%             (3.7)
                                                                           =====                     =====                          ====   ====  =====              ====

    --  $40 million or 19 percent increase in second-quarter 2012 personal lines
        net written premiums, largely due to renewal written premium growth. 16
        percent increase in six-month net written premiums also largely driven
        by renewal premium growth. $15 million of the growth was due to
        additional ceded premiums during the second quarter of 2011 to reinstate
        coverage layers of our property catastrophe reinsurance treaty.
    --  53.4 and 20.8 percentage-point second-quarter and first-half 2012
        combined ratio improvement primarily due to 46.8 and 14.4 point
        decreases in natural catastrophe losses, plus lower loss ratios before
        catastrophe losses in part reflecting initiatives to improve pricing
        precision.
    --  2.8 percentage-point improvement, to 71.6 percent, for six-month 2012
        ratio of accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, as
        a 0.9 point increase in the 2012 ratio for new losses of $250,000 or
        more per claim partially offset the effects of better pricing and a 3.0
        point improvement due to the 2011 $15 million reinsurance reinstatement
        premium.
    --  6.7 percentage points second-quarter 2012 benefit from favorable prior
        accident year reserve development of $13 million, compared with 5.3
        point or $9 million for second-quarter 2011. Six-month 2012 benefit
        before catastrophe losses of 5.8 points was higher than the six-month
        2011 benefit of 3.1 points, primarily from higher favorable development
        for the homeowner line of business.

Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance Operations


    (Dollars in millions)                                    Three months ended June 30,                Six months ended June 30,
                                                         2012                   2011     Change % 2012                  2011     Change %
                                                         ----                   ----      -------  ----                  ----      -------

    Earned premiums                                                              $22                                      $17                            29    $43           $32                       34

    Loss and loss expenses                                                        17                                        7                           143     34            22                       55
    Underwriting expenses                                                          7                                        6                            17     14            11                       27
       Underwriting (loss) profit                                                $(2)                                      $4                            nm    $(5)          $(1)                    (400)
                                                                                 ===                                      ===                                  ===           ===

    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                                                                Pt. Change                                    Pt. Change
                                                                                                                                           ----------                                    ----------
         Loss and loss expenses                                                 78.8%                                    41.5%                         37.3   80.1%         70.3%                     9.8
         Underwriting expenses                                                  31.9                                     34.4                          (2.5)  32.0          32.3                     (0.3)
    Combined ratio                                                             110.7%                                    75.9%                         34.8  112.1%        102.6%                     9.5
                                                                               =====                                     ====                          ====  =====         =====                      ===


                                                                                                                                                   Change %                                     Change %
                                                                                                                                                    -------                                       -------
    Agency renewal written premiums                                              $19                                      $12                            58    $35           $22                       59
    Agency new business written premiums                                          11                                       10                            10     20            19                        5
    Other written premiums                                                        (3)                                      (1)                         (200)    (4)           (2)                    (100)
       Net written premiums                                                      $27                                      $21                            29    $51           $39                       31
                                                                                 ===                                      ===                                  ===           ===

    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                                                                Pt. Change                                    Pt. Change
                                                                                                                                           ----------                                    ----------
         Current accident year before catastrophe losses                        74.6%                                    79.0%                         (4.4)  76.4%  88.3%        (11.9)
         Current accident year catastrophe losses                                3.2                                      4.9                          (1.7)   2.8           3.4                     (0.6)
         Prior accident years before catastrophe losses                          0.7                                    (41.9)                         42.6    0.2         (21.6)                    21.8
         Prior accident years catastrophe losses                                 0.3                                     (0.5)                          0.8    0.7           0.2                      0.5
                                                                                 ---                                     ----                                  ---           ---
    Total loss and loss expenses                                                78.8%                                    41.5%                         37.3   80.1%  70.3%          9.8
                                                                                ====                                     ====                          ====   ====   ====           ===

    Current accident year combined ratio before
          catastrophe losses                                                   106.5%                                   113.4%                         (6.9) 108.4% 120.6%        (12.2)
                                                                               =====                                    =====                          ====  =====  =====         =====

    --  $6 million or 29 percent growth in second-quarter 2012 excess and
        surplus lines net written premiums, a growth rate similar to six months
        at 31 percent, with growth in both periods largely due to the
        opportunity to renew many accounts for the first time. Average renewal
        pricing continued to increase in the high-single-digit range,
        contributing to growth during the quarter.
    --  34.8 and 9.5 percentage-point combined ratio increases for second
        quarter and first-half of 2012, primarily due to unusually large net
        favorable reserve development on prior accident years during the second
        quarter of 2011. The net favorable reserve development was largely from
        the component for loss expenses as the six-month 2012 loss ratio, before
        related loss expenses, trended flat.
    --  76.4 percent ratio for six-month 2012 ratio of accident year losses and
        loss expenses before catastrophes increased 5.4 percentage points over
        full-year 2011, driven by an 6.1 percentage point rise in the ratio for
        new losses of $250,000 or more per claim.

Life Insurance Operations

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  
    (In millions)                       Three months ended June 30,       Six months ended June 30,
    ------------
                                            2012                           2011           Change %                               2012                           2011           Change %
                                            ----                           ----            -------                                ----                           ----            -------
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  
    Term life insurance                                         $30                            $27                      11                            $57                            $52                      10
    Universal life insurance                                     13                              9                      44                             20                             14                      43
    Other life insurance, annuity,
     and disability income products                               8                              7                      14                             15                             14                       7
                                                                ---                            ---                                                    ---                            ---
        Earned premiums                                          51                             43                      19                             92                             80                      15
    Investment income, net of
     expenses                                                    34                             34                       0                             68                             67                       1
    Other income                                                  -                              -                      nm                              -                              1                    (100)
                                                                ---                            ---                                                    ---                            ---
      Total revenues, excluding
       realized investment gains and
       losses                                                    85                             77                      10                            160                            148                       8
                                                                ---                            ---                                                    ---                            ---
    Contract holders benefits                                    47                             44                       7                             90                             89                       1
    Underwriting expenses                                        22                             14                      57                             44                             30                      47
                                                                ---                            ---                                                    ---                            ---
        Total benefits and expenses                              69                             58                      19                            134                            119                      13
                                                                ---                            ---                                                    ---                            ---
    Net income before income tax and
     realized investment gains and
     losses                                                      16                             19                     (16)                            26                             29                     (10)
    Income tax                                                    5                              7                     (29)                             9                             10                     (10)
    Net income before realized
     investment gains and losses                                $11                            $12                      (8)                           $17                            $19                     (11)
                                                                ===                            ===                                                    ===                            ===

    --  $8 million or 19 percent increase in second-quarter 2012 earned
        premiums, including 11 percent for term life insurance, our largest life
        insurance product line. Three- and six-month growth rates for term life
        insurance were similar. 2 percent rise in face amount of life policies
        in force to $79.560 billion at June 30, 2012, from $77.691 billion at
        year-end 2011.
    --  $59 million decline to $30 million in first-half 2012 fixed annuity
        deposits received, slowing as planned. Cincinnati Life does not offer
        variable or indexed products.
    --  $1 million decline in second-quarter net income before realized
        investment gains and losses, primarily due to increased levels of net
        death claims that continued within range of our pricing expectations.
    --  $41 million or 5.3 percent first-half 2012 growth to $811 million in
        GAAP shareholders' equity for The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company.

Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights

Investment Operations

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              
    (In millions)                                                                                                                                           Three months ended June 30,                         Six months ended June 30,
    ------------
                                                                                                                                                  2012                                             2011                           Change %                                 2012                                             2011                           Change %
                                                                                                                                                  ----                                             ----                            -------                                  ----                                             ----                            -------
    Total investment income, net of expenses, pretax                                                                                                                    $132                                             $132                                    0                                $263                                             $263                                    0
                                                                                                                                                                        ----                                             ----                                                                     ----                                             ----
    Investment interest credited to contract holders                                                                                                                     (20)                                             (20)                                   0                                 (41)                                             (40)                                  (3)
                                                                                                                                                                         ---                                              ---                                                                      ---                                              ---
    Realized investment gains and losses summary:
       Realized investment gains and losses                                                                                                                               19                                               67                                  (72)                                 44                                              105                                  (58)
       Change in fair value of securities with embedded derivatives                                                                                                        1                                                -                                   nm                                   5                                                4                                   25
       Other-than-temporary impairment charges                                                                                                                           (14)                                               -                                   nm                                 (30)                                             (30)                                   0
          Total realized investment gains and losses                                                                                                                       6                                               67                                  (91)                                 19                                               79                                  (76)
                                                                                                                                                                         ---                                              ---                                                                      ---                                              ---
    Investment operations profit                                                                                                                                        $118                                             $179                                  (34)                               $241                                             $302                                  (20)
                                                                                                                                                                        ====                                             ====                                                                     ====                                             ====
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              
    (In millions)                                                                                                                                         Three months ended June 30,                      Six months ended June 30,
    ------------
                                                                                                                                                  2012                                             2011                           Change %                                 2012                                             2011                           Change %
                                                                                                                                                  ----                                             ----                            -------                                  ----                                             ----                            -------
    Investment income:
       Interest                                                                                                                                                         $106                                             $106                                    0                                $212                                             $212                                    0
       Dividends                                                                                                                                                          27                                               27                                    0                                  53                                               53                                    0
       Other                                                                                                                                                               1                                                1                                    0                                   2                                                2                                    0
       Investment expenses                                                                                                                                                (2)                                              (2)                                   0                                  (4)                                              (4)                                   0
          Total investment income, net of expenses, pretax                                                                                                               132                                              132                                    0                                 263                                              263                                    0
          Income taxes                                                                                                                                                   (32)                                             (33)                                   3                                 (64)                                             (65)                                   2
          Total investment income, net of expenses, after tax                                                                                                           $100                                              $99                                    1                                $199                                             $198                                    1
                                                                                                                                                                        ====                                              ===                                                                     ====                                             ====
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              
          Effective tax rate                                                                                                                                            24.5%                                            24.6%                                                                    24.4%                                            24.5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              
          Average yield pretax                                                                                                                                           4.5%                                             4.6%                                                                     4.5%                                             4.6%
          Average yield after tax                                                                                                                                        3.4%                                             3.4%                                                                     3.4%                                             3.5%

    --  Flat second-quarter 2012 pre-tax investment income, as dividend and
        interest income matched second-quarter 2011.
    --  $53 million or 3 percent net decrease for the quarter ended June 30,
        2012, in pretax unrealized investment portfolio gains, including an $82
        million decrease in the equity portfolio. $6 million of pretax realized
        gains were harvested from the investment portfolio during the second
        quarter of 2012, including $5 million from the equity portfolio.


    (Dollars in millions except share data)                                                            At June 30,          At December 31,
    --------------------------------------
                                                                                                                      2012                     2011
                                                                                                                      ----                     ----
    Balance sheet data
       Invested assets                                                                                             $12,231                  $11,801
       Total assets                                                                                                 16,089                   15,635
       Short-term debt                                                                                                 104                      104
       Long-term debt                                                                                                  790                      790
       Shareholders' equity                                                                                          5,144                    5,033
       Book value per share                                                                                          31.66                    31.03
       Debt-to-total-capital ratio                                                                                    14.8%                    15.1%

                                            Three months ended June 30, Six months ended June 30,
                                                                   2012                           2011                2012                     2011
                                                                   ----                           ----                ----                     ----
    Performance measure
       Value creation ratio                                         0.0                            0.1                 4.6                      2.9
    --  $12.494 billion in consolidated cash and invested assets at June 30,
        2012, up 2 percent from $12.239 billion at year?end.
    --  $9.025 billion bond portfolio at June 30, 2012, with an average rating
        of A2/A. Fair value rose $246 million or 3 percent during the first six
        months of 2012.
    --  $3.139 billion equity portfolio was 25.7 percent of invested assets,
        including $891 million in pre-tax net unrealized gains at June 30, 2012.
        $183 million or 6 percent first-half 2012 growth in fair value.
    --  $3.722 billion of statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance
        group at June 30, 2012, down $25 million from $3.747 billion at year-end
        2011, after declaring $150 million in dividends to the parent company.
        Ratio of net written premiums to property casualty statutory surplus for
        the 12 months ended June 30, 2012, of 0.9-to-1, up from 0.8-to-1 at
        year-end 2011.
    --  Value creation ratio of 0.0 percent for the second quarter of 2012 is
        the net of 1.3 percent from shareholder dividends and negative 1.3
        percent from the change in book value per share.

For additional information or to register for our conference call webcast, please visit www.cinfin.com/investors.

    Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers business, home and auto
     insurance, our main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance
     Company and its two standard market property casualty companies.
     The same local independent insurance agencies that market those
     policies may offer products of our other subsidiaries, including
     life and disability income insurance, annuities and surplus
     lines property and casualty insurance. For additional
     information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.
    -----------------------------------------------------------------

    Mailing Address:                       Street Address:
    ----------------                       ---------------
    P.O. Box 145496                        6200 South Gilmore Road
    ---------------                        -----------------------
    Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496            Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141
    ---------------------------            --------------------------

Safe Harbor Statement

This is our "Safe Harbor" statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2011 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 26.

Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:

    --  Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations,
        changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents
        or other causes
    --  Increased frequency and/or severity of claims
    --  Inadequate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting
        estimates
    --  Recession or other economic conditions resulting in lower demand for
        insurance products or increased payment delinquencies
    --  Declines in overall stock market values negatively affecting the
        company's equity portfolio and book value
    --  Events resulting in capital market or credit market uncertainty,
        followed by prolonged periods of economic instability or recession, that
        lead to:
        --  Significant or prolonged decline in the value of a particular
            security or group of securities and impairment of the asset(s)
        --  Significant decline in investment income due to reduced or
            eliminated dividend payouts from a particular security or group of
            securities
        --  Significant rise in losses from surety and director and officer
            policies written for financial institutions or other insured
            entities
    --  Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the
        company's ability to generate growth in investment income or interest
        rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity
        investments, including declines in accounts in which we hold bank-owned
        life insurance contract assets
    --  Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in
        the company's premium volume
    --  Delays or performance inadequacies from ongoing development and
        implementation of underwriting and pricing methods or technology
        projects and enhancements expected to increase our pricing accuracy,
        underwriting profit and competitiveness
    --  Changing consumer insurance-buying habits and consolidation of
        independent insurance agencies that could alter our competitive
        advantages
    --  Inability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of
        reinsurance purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the
        potential for non-payment or delay in payment by reinsurers
    --  Inability to defer policy acquisition costs for any business segment if
        pricing and loss trends would lead management to conclude that segment
        could not achieve sustainable profitability
    --  Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company's
        relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to
        add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company's
        opportunities for growth, such as:
        --  Downgrades of the company's financial strength ratings
        --  Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult
        --  Perceptions that the company's level of service, particularly claims
            service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the
            marketplace
    --  Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other
        regulatory agencies, including a change to a federal system of
        regulation from a state-based system, that:
        --  Impose new obligations on us that increase our expenses or change
            the assumptions underlying our critical accounting estimates
        --  Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or
            result in new statutes, rules and regulations
        --  Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable
            coverages or lines of business
        --  Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance related
            assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair
            our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or
            other rate changes
        --  Increase our provision for federal income taxes due to changes in
            tax law
        --  Increase our other expenses
        --  Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
        --  Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace
        --  Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the
            way we compensate agents
    --  Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
    --  Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of
        controls, that reduce the company's future ability to maintain effective
        internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act
        of 2002
    --  Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key
        employees due to retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt
        progress toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness
        of certain longstanding relationships with insurance agents and others
    --  Events, such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that
        could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters
        location
    --  Difficulties with technology or data security breaches, including cyber
        attacks, that could negatively affect our ability to conduct business
        and our relationships with agents, policyholders and others

Further, the company's insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets and Statements of Operations (unaudited)


    (Dollars in millions)                                                                                            June 30,  December 31,
                                                                                                                          2012         2011
                                                                                                                          ----         ----

    Assets
    Investments                                                                                                                     $12,231  $11,801
    Cash and cash equivalents                                                                                                           263      438
    Premiums receivable                                                                                                               1,210    1,087
    Reinsurance receivable                                                                                                              575      622
    Other assets                                                                                                                      1,810    1,687
                           Total assets                                                                                             $16,089  $15,635


    Liabilities
    Insurance reserves                                                                                                               $6,652   $6,553
    Unearned premiums                                                                                                                 1,762    1,633
    Deferred income tax                                                                                                                 359      303
    Long-term debt and capital
     lease obligation                                                                                                                   831      821
    Other liabilities                                                                                                                 1,341    1,292
                                                                                                                                      -----    -----
                           Total liabilities                                                                                         10,945   10,602


    Shareholders' Equity
    Common stock and paid-in
     capital                                                                                                                          1,499    1,489
    Retained earnings                                                                                                                 3,851    3,863
    Accumulated other
     comprehensive income                                                                                                             1,010      901
    Treasury stock                                                                                                                   (1,216)  (1,220)
                                                                                                                                     ------   ------
                           Total shareholders' equity                                                                                 5,144    5,033

                            Total liabilities and
                            shareholders' equity                                                                                    $16,089  $15,635



    (Dollars in millions except
     per share data)                                   Three months ended June 30, Six months ended June 30,
                                                                                          2012                 2011                    2012     2011
                                                                                          ----                 ----                    ----     ----

    Revenues
    Earned premiums                                                                       $877                 $773                  $1,716   $1,555
    Investment income, net of
     expenses                                                                              132                  132                     263      263
    Realized investment gains
     and losses                                                                              6                   67                      19       79
    Other revenues                                                                           5                    3                       8        7
                                                                                           ---                  ---                     ---      ---
                           Total revenues                                                1,020                  975                   2,006    1,904


    Benefits and Expenses
    Insurance losses and
     policyholder benefits                                                                 687                  801                   1,269    1,376
    Underwriting, acquisition
     and insurance expenses                                                                287                  253                     561      515
    Interest expense                                                                        13                   14                      27       27
    Other operating expenses                                                                 4                    6                       8       10
                           Total benefits and expenses                                     991                1,074                   1,865    1,928


    Income (loss) Before Income
     Taxes                                                                                  29                  (99)                    141      (24)

    Provision (benefit) for
     Income Taxes                                                                           (3)                 (49)                     23      (35)
                                                                                           ---                  ---                     ---      ---

    Net Income (loss)                                                                      $32                 $(50)                   $118      $11
                                                                                           ===                 ====                    ====      ===

    Per Common Share:
    Net income (loss)-basic                                                              $0.20               $(0.31)                  $0.73    $0.07
    Net income (loss)-diluted                                                            $0.20               $(0.31)                  $0.72    $0.07

Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

(See attached tables for 2012 reconciliations; prior-period reconciliations available at www.cinfin.com/investors.)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners' (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.

Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas - property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures to improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and to help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management's control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.

    --  Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net
        realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment
        gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from
        net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success
        of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment
        gains (or losses) are integral to the company's insurance operations
        over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or
        losses in any period may be subject to management's discretion and is
        independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under
        applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be
        recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without
        actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized
        investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be
        material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying
        business operations in that period. For these reasons, many investors
        and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more
        meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity
        analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally
        focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating
        income so that all investors have what management believes to be a
        useful supplement to GAAP information.
    --  Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies
        prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers
        also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules
        as defined in the NAIC's Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual,
        which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance
        departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various
        organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study
        industry trends and compare insurance companies.
    --  Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty
        written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and
        recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy.
        Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business
        efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is
        calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written
        and earned premium is unearned premium.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

                                                                                   Balance Sheet Reconciliation
                                                                                                                                                                                                 
    (Dollars are per share)                       Three months ended June 30,                           Six months ended June 30,
    ----------------------
                                                     2012                                 2011                                              2012                                 2011
                                                     ----                                 ----                                              ----                                 ----
    Value creation ratio
       End of period book value                              $31.66                               $30.88                                            $31.66                               $30.88
       Less beginning of period book value                    32.07                                31.27                                             31.03                                30.79
                                                              -----                                -----                                             -----                                -----
       Change in book value                                   (0.41)                               (0.39)                                             0.63                                 0.09
       Dividend declared to shareholders                       0.40                                 0.40                                              0.81                                 0.80
                                                                                                    ----                                                                                   ----
       Total contribution to value creation
        ratio                                                $(0.01)                               $0.01                                             $1.44                                $0.89
                                                                                                                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                                                 
       Contribution to value creation ratio from change
        in book value*                                        (1.3)%                               (1.2)%                                              2.0%                                 0.3%
       Contribution to value creation ratio from
        dividends declared to shareholders**                    1.3                                  1.3                                               2.6                                  2.6
       Value creation ratio                                     0.0%                                 0.1%                                              4.6%                                 2.9%
                                                                ===                                  ===                                               ===                                  ===
                                                                                                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                 
    *    Change in book value divided by the beginning of period book value
    **   Dividend declared to shareholders divided by beginning of period book value

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

                                                  Net Income Reconciliation

    (In millions
     except per
     share data)      Three months ended June 30,        Six months ended June 30,
                         2012     2011       2012        2011
                         ----     ----       ----        ----
    Net income
     (loss)                        $32                            $(50)             $118    $11
    Net realized
     investment
     gains and
     losses                          4                              44                13     51
                                   ---                             ---               ---    ---
    Operating
     income (loss)                  28                             (94)              105    (40)
    Less
     catastrophe
     losses                        (96)                           (189)             (154)  (216)
    Operating
     income before
     catastrophe
     losses                       $124                             $95              $259   $176
                                  ====                             ===              ====   ====

    Diluted per
     share data:
       Net income
        (loss)                   $0.20                          $(0.31)            $0.72  $0.07
       Net realized
        investment
        gains and
        losses                    0.03                            0.27              0.07   0.31
                                  ----                            ----              ----   ----
       Operating
        income (loss)             0.17                           (0.58)             0.65  (0.24)
       Less
        catastrophe
        losses                   (0.59)                          (1.16)            (0.94) (1.32)
       Operating
        income before
        catastrophe
        losses                   $0.76                           $0.58             $1.59  $1.08
                                 =====                           =====             =====  =====
                                                                           Property Casualty Reconciliation
                                                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                         Three months ended June 30, 2012
                                                    Consolidated  Commercial    Personal        E&S
                                                    ------------  ----------    --------        ---
    Premiums:
       Written premiums                                                 $903                                 $626                                 $250                                  $27
       Unearned premiums change                                          (77)                                 (36)                                 (36)                                  (5)
                                                                         ---                                  ---                                  ---                                  ---
       Earned premiums                                                  $826                                 $590                                 $214                                  $22
                                                                                                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                             
    Statutory ratio:
       Statutory combined ratio                                        107.7%                               101.8%                               124.4%                               109.4%
       Contribution from catastrophe losses                             17.8                                 15.2                                 26.6                                  3.5
       Statutory combined ratio excluding
        catastrophe losses                                              89.9%                                86.6%                                97.8%                               105.9%
                                                                        ====                                 ====                                 ====                                =====
                                                                                                                                                                                             
       Commission expense ratio                                         18.1%                                17.8%                                18.2%                                25.3%
       Other expense ratio                                              12.1                                 13.9                                  8.3                                  5.3
                                                                        ----                                 ----                                  ---                                  ---
       Statutory expense ratio                                          30.2%                                31.7%                                26.5%                                30.6%
                                                                        ====                                 ====                                 ====                                 ====
                                                                                                                                                                                             
    GAAP ratio:
       GAAP combined ratio                                             109.5%                               103.5%                               126.1%                               110.7%
       Contribution from catastrophe losses                             17.8                                 15.2                                 26.6                                  3.5
       Prior accident years before catastrophe
        losses                                                          (9.8)                               (12.3)                                (3.9)                                 0.7
                                                                        ----                                -----                                 ----                                  ---
       GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe
        losses and prior years reserve development
                                                           101.5%                                 100.6%                               103.4%                               106.5%
                                                           =====                                  =====                                =====                                =====
                                                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                        Six months ended June 30, 2012
                                                    Consolidated  Commercial    Personal        E&S
                                                    ------------  ----------    --------        ---
    Premiums:
       Written premiums                                               $1,746                               $1,252                                 $443                                  $51
       Unearned premiums change                                         (122)                                 (94)                                 (20)                                  (8)
                                                                        ----                                  ---                                  ---                                  ---
       Earned premiums                                                $1,624                               $1,158                                 $423                                  $43
                                                                                                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                                                             
    Statutory ratio:
       Statutory combined ratio                                        103.4%                                97.2%                               119.4%                               111.3%
       Contribution from catastrophe losses                             14.6                                 11.2                                 25.0                                  3.5
       Statutory combined ratio excluding
        catastrophe losses                                              88.8%                                86.0%                                94.4%                               107.8%
                                                                        ====                                 ====                                 ====                                =====
                                                                                                                                                                                             
       Commission expense ratio                                         18.5%                                17.8%                                19.6%                                25.8%
       Other expense ratio                                              12.2                                 13.7                                  9.0                                  5.4
                                                                        ----                                 ----                                  ---                                  ---
       Statutory expense ratio                                          30.7%                                31.5%                                28.6%                                31.2%
                                                                        ====                                 ====                                 ====                                 ====
                                                                                                                                                                                             
    GAAP ratio:
       GAAP combined ratio                                             104.4%                                98.9%                               118.6%                               112.1%
       Contribution from catastrophe losses                             14.6                                 11.2                                 25.0                                  3.5
       Prior accident years before catastrophe
        losses                                                         (10.8)                               (13.0)                                (5.8)                                 0.2
                                                                       -----                                -----                                 ----                                  ---
       GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe
        losses and prior years reserve development
                                                           100.6%                                 100.7%                                99.4%                               108.4%
                                                           =====                                  =====                                 ====                                =====
                                                                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                                                             
    Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.
    Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

SOURCE Cincinnati Financial Corporation

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