CINCINNATI, April 28, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:


    --  First-quarter 2015 net income of $128 million, or 77 cents per share,
        compared with $91 million, or 55 cents per share, in the first quarter
        of 2014.
    --  $20 million or 26 percent rise in operating income* to $97 million, or
        59 cents per share, up from $77 million, or 46 cents per share, in the
        first quarter of last year.
    --  $37 million increase in first-quarter 2015 net income reflected the
        after-tax net effect of two primary items: $18 million improvement in
        the contribution from property casualty underwriting, including a
        favorable effect of $29 million from lower natural catastrophe losses;
        and a $17 million increase from net realized investment gains.
    --  $40.22 book value per share at March 31, 2015, up 8 cents or less than 1
        percent since December 31, 2014.
    --  1.3 percent value creation ratio for the first three months of 2015,
        compared with 2.6 percent for the same period of 2014.


    Financial Highlights

    (Dollars
     in
     millions
     except
     per
     share
     data)                    Three months ended March 31,
    ---------

                         2015                 2014         % Change
                         ----                 ----         --------

    Revenue
     Data

       Earned
        premiums                           $1,094                   $1,027      7

        Investment
        income,
        net of
        expenses                    139                        135           3

       Total
        revenues                  1,285                      1,189           8

    Income
     Statement
     Data

       Net
        income                               $128                      $91     41

       Realized
        investment
        gains,
        net                          31                         14         121

       Operating
        income*                               $97                      $77     26
                                              ===                      ===

    Per Share
     Data
     (diluted)

       Net
        income                              $0.77                    $0.55     40

       Realized
        investment
        gains,
        net                        0.18                       0.09         100

       Operating
        income*                             $0.59                    $0.46     28
                                            =====                    =====


       Book
        value                              $40.22                   $37.73      7

       Cash
        dividend
        declared                            $0.46                    $0.44      5

       Diluted
        weighted
        average
        shares
        outstanding               165.6                      165.0           0
       ------------               -----                      -----         ---



    *              The Definitions of Non-GAAP
                   Information and Reconciliation to
                   Comparable GAAP Measures defines
                   and reconciles measures presented
                   in this release that are not
                   based on U.S. Generally Accepted
                   Accounting Principles.

    **             Forward-looking statements and
                   related assumptions are subject
                   to the risks outlined in the
                   company's safe harbor statement.

Insurance Operations First-Quarter Highlights


    --  97.5 percent first-quarter 2015 property casualty combined ratio,
        improved from 100.3 percent for first-quarter 2014.
    --  3 percent growth in first-quarter net written premiums, largely
        reflecting price increases.
    --  $116 million first-quarter 2015 property casualty new business written
        premiums, down $7 million. Agencies appointed since the beginning of
        2014 contributed $6 million or 5 percent of total new business written
        premiums.
    --  5 cents per share contribution from life insurance operating income,
        down 1 cent from first-quarter 2014.

Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights


    --  3 percent or $4 million increase in first-quarter 2015 pretax investment
        income, with strong growth in stock portfolio dividends and slight
        growth in interest income.
    --  1 percent three-month increase in fair value of total investments plus
        cash at March 31, 2015, including a 1 percent increase for the bond
        portfolio and a 1 percent decrease for the equity portfolio.
    --  $1.819 billion parent company cash and marketable securities at March
        31, 2015, up 2.0 percent from year-end 2014.

Steady Contributions From Underwriting and Investments
Steven J. Johnston, president and chief executive officer, commented: "Consolidated operating earnings increased 26 percent over the same quarter a year ago, reaching $97 million on steady contributions from our underwriting and investment operations. Pretax investment income rose $4 million in the first quarter, powered by 13 percent growth in dividends from high-quality common stocks in our equity portfolio. Interest income from the bond portfolio rose 1 percent.

"Turning to insurance operations, our combined ratio improved to 97.5 percent, down 2.8 points compared with the first three months of 2014. Lower catastrophe and noncatastrophe weather-related losses led to $27 million of first-quarter property casualty underwriting profit before taxes - a nice improvement from our $1 million underwriting loss for the same period of 2014."

Maintaining Underwriting and Pricing Discipline
"Consolidated property casualty net written premiums grew 3 percent for the first three months of 2015, mainly due to pricing increases on renewal accounts. Commercial lines policies renewed with average percentage increases near the middle of the low-single-digit range, while our personal lines and excess and surplus lines policies renewed with average percentage increases in the mid-single-digit range.

"We are encouraged by the incremental progress of our strategic initiatives to improve pricing precision and adequacy, mitigate losses and achieve efficiencies. Our increasing expertise in pricing segmentation gives us the confidence we need to defend and retain our adequately priced accounts while walking away from those we believe to be underpriced.

"As competition heats up, we're focused on maintaining our underwriting and pricing discipline. While that focus may temporarily slow our march toward $5 billion in direct written premium, other advantages will continue to support our continued steady, profitable growth: the strong front-line underwriting of our independent insurance agencies; our program of property inspections; our three-year policies for qualifying commercial accounts; and our expanding product suite for high net worth personal lines clients."

Continued Balance Sheet Strength
"We continued to build on our record of 26 consecutive years of overall favorable reserve development with first quarter net favorable reserve development on prior accident years. The combined ratio effect for the quarter was similar to full-year 2014, as the strengthening of auto reserves was offset by favorable development for our workers' compensation and main property lines of business. At the same time, we also took action during the quarter to further strengthen the balance sheet, a result of our reserving discipline. We prudently strengthened reserves for our commercial and personal auto lines of business to address rising loss cost trends for auto-related claims. For our other lines of business in total, we essentially maintained our actuarial best estimate of ultimate loss and loss expense ratios for all accident years in aggregate at levels consistent with our year-end 2014 estimates.

"Book value per share rose to $40.22 driven by the contribution of our insurance operations, and consolidated cash and total investments topped $15 billion. This ample capital allows us to execute on our long-term strategies and, at the same time, continue to pay dividends to shareholders through the normal variability of investment and insurance markets.

"In January, the board of directors expressed its confidence in our financial strength by again raising the indicated cash dividend. Our value creation ratio, which considers those dividends as well as growth in book value, was 1.3 percent for the first quarter. Our associates are determined to do things just a little better every day, strengthening our ability to compete by enhancing the advantages of our local independent agencies. That has been and continues to be our plan for creating shareholder value far into the future."


                                                                   Insurance Operations Highlights

    Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Results

    (Dollars in millions)                                                                                 Three months ended March 31,

                                                                                                    2015                   2014                % Change
                                                                                                    ----                   ----                --------

    Earned premiums                                                                                      $1,041                                           $979           6

    Fee revenues                                                                                       2                                  1                        100
                                                                                                     ---                                ---

       Total revenues                                                                              1,043                                980                          6


    Loss and loss expenses                                                                           689                                676                          2

    Underwriting expenses                                                                            327                                305                          7

       Underwriting profit (loss)                                                                           $27                                           $(1)         nm
                                                                                                            ===                                            ===


    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                                                                 Pt. Change
                                                                                                                                            ----------

         Loss and loss expenses                                                                    66.1%                             69.1%                     (3.0)

         Underwriting expenses                                                                      31.4                               31.2                        0.2
                                                                                                    ----                               ----                        ---

               Combined ratio                                                                      97.5%                            100.3%                     (2.8)
                                                                                                    ====                              =====                       ====


                                                                                                                                             % Change

    Agency renewal written premiums                                                                        $983                                           $956           3

    Agency new business written premiums                                                             116                                123                        (6)

    Other written premiums                                                                          (33)                              (42)                        21

       Net written premiums                                                                              $1,066                                         $1,037           3
                                                                                                         ======                                         ======


    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                                                                 Pt. Change

         Current accident year before catastrophe losses                                           63.1%                             62.3%                       0.8

         Current accident year catastrophe losses                                                    5.2                                9.9                      (4.7)

         Prior accident years before catastrophe losses                                            (1.1)                             (2.1)                       1.0

         Prior accident years catastrophe losses                                                   (1.1)                             (1.0)                     (0.1)

               Loss and loss expense ratio                                                         66.1%                             69.1%                     (3.0)
                                                                                                    ====                               ====                       ====


    Current accident year combined ratio before catastrophe losses                                 94.5%                             93.5%                       1.0
                                                                                                    ====                               ====                        ===

    --  $29 million or 3 percent growth of first-quarter 2015 property casualty
        net written premiums, largely due to price increases.
    --  $7 million or 6 percent decrease in first-quarter 2015 new business
        premiums written by agencies. Key factors affecting the decrease
        included strong competition, disciplined pricing and the impact of
        underwriting profitability initiatives, partially offset by
        contributions from new agency appointments and other growth initiatives.
        The net amount included a $6 million increase in standard market
        property casualty production from agencies appointed since the beginning
        of 2014 and an increase of $1 million for excess and surplus lines.
    --  1,475 agency relationships in 1,891 reporting locations marketing
        property casualty insurance products at March 31, 2015, compared with
        1,466 agency relationships in 1,884 reporting locations at year-end
        2014. During the first quarter of 2015, 23 new agency appointments were
        made.
    --  2.8 percentage-point first-quarter 2015 combined ratio improvement,
        including decreases of 4.8 points for losses from natural catastrophes
        and 3.1 points from noncatastrophe weather-related losses. Those
        decreases were partially offset by a 2.8 point increase from lower
        underwriting profit for our auto lines of business, largely due to
        reserve strengthening.
    --  2.2 percentage-point first-quarter 2015 benefit from favorable prior
        accident year reserve development of $22 million, compared with 3.1
        points or $29 million for first-quarter 2014.
    --  0.2 percentage-point increase in the first-quarter underwriting expense
        ratio, largely due to strategic investments to enhance underwriting
        expertise plus an increase in premium taxes and related fees that offset
        higher earned premiums and ongoing expense management efforts.


    Commercial Lines Insurance Results

    (Dollars in millions)                                                Three months ended March 31,

                                                                    2015                 2014                % Change
                                                                    ----                 ----                --------

    Earned premiums                                                      $733                                         $692          6

    Fee revenues                                                       1                                1                        0
                                                                     ---                              ---

       Total revenues                                                734                              693                        6


    Loss and loss expenses                                           474                              469                        1

    Underwriting expenses                                            234                              222                        5
                                                                     ---                              ---

       Underwriting profit                                                $26                                           $2         nm
                                                                          ===                                          ===


    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                               Pt. Change

         Loss and loss expenses                                    64.7%                           67.9%                   (3.2)

         Underwriting expenses                                      31.9                             32.0                    (0.1)

               Combined ratio                                      96.6%                           99.9%                   (3.3)
                                                                    ====                             ====                     ====


                                                                                                           % Change
                                                                                                           --------

    Agency renewal written premiums                                      $730                                         $713          2

    Agency new business written premiums                              79                               90                     (12)

    Other written premiums                                          (26)                            (32)                      19

       Net written premiums                                              $783                                         $771          2
                                                                         ====                                         ====


    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                               Pt. Change

         Current accident year before catastrophe losses           61.3%                           59.4%                     1.9

         Current accident year catastrophe losses                    5.3                              8.9                    (3.6)

         Prior accident years before catastrophe losses            (0.6)                             0.0                    (0.6)

         Prior accident years catastrophe losses                   (1.3)                           (0.4)                   (0.9)

               Loss and loss expense ratio                         64.7%                           67.9%                   (3.2)
                                                                    ====                             ====                     ====


    Current accident year combined ratio before catastrophe losses 93.2%                           91.4%                     1.8
                                                                    ====                             ====                      ===

    --  $12 million or 2 percent increase in first-quarter 2015 commercial lines
        net written premiums, as higher renewal written premiums offset lower
        new business written premiums.
    --  $17 million rise in first-quarter renewal written premiums included
        commercial lines renewal pricing changes, with the percentage of
        increase in the first quarter of 2015 averaging near the middle of the
        low-single-digit range.
    --  $11 million or 12 percent decrease in first-quarter 2015 new business
        written by agencies, reflecting underwriting and pricing discipline in a
        competitive market environment.
    --  3.3 percentage-point first-quarter 2015 combined ratio improvement,
        driven by a 4.5 point decrease for losses from natural catastrophes.
    --  1.9 percentage-point first-quarter 2015 benefit from favorable prior
        accident year reserve development of $14 million, compared with 0.4
        points or $3 million for first-quarter 2014.


    Personal Lines Insurance Results

    (Dollars in millions)                                                 Three months ended March 31,

                                                                     2015                 2014                % Change
                                                                     ----                 ----                --------

    Earned premiums                                                       $268                                          $254            6

    Fee revenues                                                        1                                -                       nm
                                                                      ---                              ---

       Total revenues                                                 269                              254                         6


    Loss and loss expenses                                            191                              188                         2

    Underwriting expenses                                              81                               73                        11
                                                                      ---                              ---

       Underwriting loss                                                  $(3)                                         $(7)          57
                                                                           ===                                           ===


    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                                Pt. Change

         Loss and loss expenses                                     71.0%                           74.1%                    (3.1)

         Underwriting expenses                                       30.4                             28.9                       1.5

               Combined ratio                                      101.4%                          103.0%                    (1.6)
                                                                    =====                            =====                      ====


                                                                                                            % Change

    Agency renewal written premiums                                       $223                                          $218            2

    Agency new business written premiums                               24                               21                        14

    Other written premiums                                            (6)                             (8)                       25

       Net written premiums                                               $241                                          $231            4
                                                                          ====                                          ====


    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                                Pt. Change

         Current accident year before catastrophe losses            66.8%                           67.8%                    (1.0)

         Current accident year catastrophe losses                     5.6                             13.3                     (7.7)

         Prior accident years before catastrophe losses             (0.7)                           (4.5)                      3.8

         Prior accident years catastrophe losses                    (0.7)                           (2.5)                      1.8

               Loss and loss expense ratio                          71.0%                           74.1%                    (3.1)
                                                                     ====                             ====                      ====


    Current accident year combined ratio before catastrophe losses  97.2%                           96.7%                      0.5
                                                                     ====                             ====                       ===

    --  $10 million or 4 percent increase in first-quarter 2015 personal lines
        net written premiums, including growth in new business and higher
        renewal written premiums that benefited from rate increases.
    --  $3 million or 14 percent increase in first-quarter new business written
        by agencies, with growth in nearly 80 percent of the 31 states where we
        market personal lines policies.
    --  1.6 percentage-point first-quarter 2015 combined ratio improvement,
        driven by a 5.9 point decrease for losses from natural catastrophes that
        was largely offset by less benefit from favorable prior accident year
        reserve development before catastrophe losses.
    --  1.4 percentage-point first-quarter 2015 benefit from favorable prior
        accident year reserve development of $3 million, compared with 7.0
        points or $17 million for first-quarter 2014.


    Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance Results

    (Dollars in millions)                                              Three months ended March 31,

                                                                     2015                    2014              % Change
                                                                     ----                    ----              --------

    Earned premiums                                                           $40                                       $33         21


    Loss and loss expenses                                             24                                19                      26

    Underwriting expenses                                              12                                10                      20
                                                                      ---                               ---

       Underwriting profit                                                     $4                                        $4          0
                                                                              ===                                       ===


    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                                 Pt. Change
                                                                                                            ----------

         Loss and loss expenses                                     59.4%                            56.6%                    2.8

         Underwriting expenses                                       28.9                              30.3                   (1.4)
                                                                     ----                              ----                    ----

               Combined ratio                                       88.3%                            86.9%                    1.4
                                                                     ====                              ====                     ===


                                                                                                             % Change

    Agency renewal written premiums                                           $30                                       $25         20

    Agency new business written premiums                               13                                12                       8

    Other written premiums                                            (1)                              (2)                     50

       Net written premiums                                                   $42                                       $35         20
                                                                              ===                                       ===


    Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                                 Pt. Change
                                                                                                            ----------

         Current accident year before catastrophe losses            72.1%                            80.6%                  (8.5)

         Current accident year catastrophe losses                     1.2                               3.0                   (1.8)

         Prior accident years before catastrophe losses            (13.6)                           (27.1)                   13.5

         Prior accident years catastrophe losses                    (0.3)                              0.1                   (0.4)

               Loss and loss expense ratio                          59.4%                            56.6%                    2.8
                                                                     ====                              ====                     ===


    Current accident year combined ratio before catastrophe losses 101.0%                           110.9%                  (9.9)
                                                                    =====                             =====                    ====

    --  $7 million or 20 percent growth in first-quarter 2015 excess and surplus
        lines net written premiums, matching the growth percentage reported for
        full-year 2014. Average renewal pricing for the quarter increased near
        the low end of the mid-single-digit range.
    --  $1 million or 8 percent increase in first-quarter new business written
        by agencies, rising in part due to enhanced service to agencies provided
        by recent-quarter additions to our excess and surplus lines field staff.
    --  1.4 percentage-point first-quarter 2015 combined ratio increase,
        including a lower ratio for current accident year loss experience that
        was offset by less benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve
        development.
    --  13.9 percentage-point first-quarter 2015 benefit from favorable prior
        accident year reserve development of $5 million, compared with 27.0
        points or $9 million for first-quarter 2014.


    Life Insurance Results

    (Dollars in
     millions)             Three months ended March 31,
    -----------

                   2015           2014                % Change
                   ----           ----                --------

    Term life insurance            $34                          $32         6

    Universal life
     insurance              10                                8       25

    Other life
     insurance,
     annuity, and
     disability income
     products                9                                8       13
                           ---                              ---

        Earned premiums     53                               48       10

    Investment income,
     net of expenses        37                               35        6

    Other income             1                                2     (50)
                           ---                              ---

    Total revenues,
     excluding realized
     investment gains
     and losses             91                               85        7

    Contract holders'
     benefits incurred      60                               56        7

    Underwriting
     expenses incurred      18                               15       20
                           ---                              ---

        Total benefits and
         expenses           78                               71       10
                           ---                              ---

    Net income before
     income tax and
     realized
     investment gains,
     net                    13                               14      (7)

    Income tax               5                                5        0

    Net income before
     realized
     investment gains,
     net                            $8                           $9      (11)
                                   ===                          ===

    --  $5 million or 10 percent increase in first-quarter 2015 earned premiums,
        including a 6 percent increase for term life insurance, our largest life
        insurance product line.
    --  $1 million decrease to $8 million in three-month 2015 fixed annuity
        deposits received. Cincinnati Life does not offer variable or indexed
        annuities.
    --  $1 million decrease in three-month 2015 profit, primarily due to the
        unfavorable effect of unlocking of interest rates and other actuarial
        assumptions.
    --  $23 million or 3 percent three-month 2015 increase to $927 million in
        GAAP shareholders' equity for The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company,
        largely reflecting an increase in fair value of the fixed-maturity
        portfolio due to a decrease in interest rates.


                                                                Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights

    Investments Results

    (Dollars in millions)                                                                                        Three months ended March 31,
    --------------------

                                                                                                     2015           2014                   % Change
                                                                                                     ----           ----                   --------

    Investment income, net of expenses                                                                             $139                                $135         3

    Investment interest credited to contract holders'                                                      (21)                               (21)             0

    Realized investment gains, net                                                                           47                                  22            114

          Investments profit                                                                                       $165                                $136        21
                                                                                                                   ====                                ====


    Investment income:

       Interest                                                                                                    $105                                $104         1

       Dividends                                                                                             36                                  32             13

       Other                                                                                                  -                                  1          (100)

       Less investment expenses                                                                               2                                   2              0
                                                                                                            ---                                 ---

          Investment income, before income taxes                                                            139                                 135              3

          Less income taxes                                                                                  33                                  32              3
                                                                                                            ---                                 ---

          Total investment income                                                                                  $106                                $103         3
                                                                                                                   ====                                ====


    Investment returns:

          Effective tax rate                                                                              23.6%                              24.0%

         Average invested assets plus cash and cash equivalents                                                 $14,435                             $13,571

          Average yield pretax                                                                            3.85%                              3.98%

          Average yield after-tax                                                                          2.94                                3.04

    Fixed-maturity returns:

    Effective tax rate                                                                                    27.0%                              27.1%

    Average amortized cost                                                                                       $8,929                              $8,624

    Average yield pretax                                                                                  4.70%                              4.82%

    Average yield after-tax                                                                                3.43                                3.52

    --  $4 million or 3 percent rise in first-quarter 2015 pretax investment
        income, including 13 percent growth in equity portfolio dividends and 1
        percent growth in interest income.
    --  $43 million or 2 percent first-quarter 2015 decrease in pretax net
        unrealized investment portfolio gains, including a $89 million decrease
        for the equity portfolio. The total decrease included the offsetting
        effect of $46 million of pretax net realized gains from investment
        portfolio security sales or called bonds during the first quarter of
        2015, including $43 million from the equity portfolio.


    Balance Sheet Highlights

    (Dollars in
     millions except
     share data)             At March 31,         At December 31,
    ----------------

                                   2015                     2014
                                   ----                     ----

    Balance sheet
     data:

       Total investments                  $14,476                        $14,386

       Total assets                18,897                         18,753

       Short-term debt                 49                             49

       Long-term debt                 791                            791

       Shareholders'
        equity                      6,608                          6,573

       Book value per
        share                       40.22                          40.14

       Debt-to-total-
        capital ratio               11.3%                         11.3%
       --------------                ----                           ----

    --  $15.116 billion in consolidated cash and total investments at March 31,
        2015, up 1 percent from $14.977 billion at year-end 2014.
    --  $9.596 billion bond portfolio at March 31, 2015, with an average rating
        of A2/A. Fair value increased $136 million or 1 percent during the first
        quarter of 2015.
    --  $4.789 billion equity portfolio was 33.1 percent of total investments,
        including $2.041 billion in pretax net unrealized gains at March 31,
        2015. First-quarter 2015 decrease in fair value of $69 million or 1
        percent.
    --  $4.436 billion of statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance
        group at March 31, 2015, down $36 million from $4.472 billion at
        year-end 2014, after declaring $100 million in dividends to the parent
        company. The ratio of net written premiums to property casualty
        statutory surplus for the 12 months ended March 31, 2015, was 0.9-to-1,
        unchanged from year-end 2014.
    --  Value creation ratio of 1.3 percent for first three months of 2015
        included 1.4 percent from net income before net realized investment
        gains and 0.1 percent from investment portfolio realized gains and
        changes in unrealized gains.

For additional information or to register for our conference call webcast, please visit cinfin.com/investors.

About Cincinnati Financial
Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers business, home and auto insurance, our main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company and its two standard market property casualty companies. The same local independent insurance agencies that market those policies may offer products of our other subsidiaries, including life and disability income insurance, fixed annuities and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. For additional information about the company, please visit cinfin.com.


    Mailing Address:            Street Address:

    P.O. Box 145496             6200 South Gilmore Road

    Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496  Fairfield, Ohio
                                 45014-5141

Safe Harbor Statement
This is our "Safe Harbor" statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2014 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 33.

Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:


    --  Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations,
        changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents
        or other causes
    --  Increased frequency and/or severity of claims or development of claims
        that are unforeseen at the time of policy issuance
    --  Inadequate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting
        estimates
    --  Declines in overall stock market values negatively affecting the
        company's equity portfolio and book value
    --  Domestic and global events resulting in capital market or credit market
        uncertainty, followed by prolonged periods of economic instability or
        recession, that lead to:
        --  Significant or prolonged decline in the value of a particular
            security or group of securities and impairment of the asset(s)
        --  Significant decline in investment income due to reduced or
            eliminated dividend payouts from a particular security or group of
            securities
        --  Significant rise in losses from surety and director and officer
            policies written for financial institutions or other insured
            entities
    --  Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the
        company's ability to generate growth in investment income or interest
        rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity
        investments, including declines in accounts in which we hold bank-owned
        life insurance contract assets
    --  Recession or other economic conditions resulting in lower demand for
        insurance products or increased payment delinquencies
    --  Difficulties with technology or data security breaches, including
        cyberattacks, that could negatively affect our ability to conduct
        business and our relationships with agents, policyholders and others
    --  Disruption of the insurance market caused by technology innovations such
        as driverless cars that could decrease consumer demand for insurance
        products
    --  Delays or performance inadequacies from ongoing development and
        implementation of underwriting and pricing methods, including telematics
        and other usage-based insurance methods, or technology projects and
        enhancements expected to increase our pricing accuracy, underwriting
        profit and competitiveness
    --  Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in
        the company's premium volume
    --  Changing consumer insurance-buying habits and consolidation of
        independent insurance agencies that could alter our competitive
        advantages
    --  Inability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of
        reinsurance purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the
        potential for nonpayment or delay in payment by reinsurers
    --  Inability to defer policy acquisition costs for any business segment if
        pricing and loss trends would lead management to conclude that segment
        could not achieve sustainable profitability
    --  Inability of our subsidiaries to pay dividends consistent with current
        or past levels
    --  Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company's
        relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to
        add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company's
        opportunities for growth, such as:
        --  Downgrades of the company's financial strength ratings
        --  Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult
        --  Perceptions that the company's level of service, particularly claims
            service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the
            marketplace
        --  Inability or unwillingness to nimbly develop and introduce coverage
            product updates and innovations that our competitors offer and
            consumers expect to find in the marketplace
    --  Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other
        regulatory agencies, including a change to a federal system of
        regulation from a state-based system, that:
        --  Impose new obligations on us that increase our expenses or change
            the assumptions underlying our critical accounting estimates
        --  Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or
            result in new statutes, rules and regulations
        --  Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable
            coverages or lines of business
        --  Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance?related
            assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair
            our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or
            other rate changes
        --  Increase our provision for federal income taxes due to changes in
            tax law
        --  Increase our other expenses
        --  Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
        --  Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace
        --  Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the
            way we compensate agents
    --  Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
    --  Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of
        controls, that reduce the company's future ability to maintain effective
        internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act
        of 2002
    --  Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key
        employees due to retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt
        progress toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness
        of certain longstanding relationships with insurance agents and others
    --  Events, such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that
        could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters
        location

Further, the company's insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, global, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.

* * *



                                                Cincinnati Financial Corporation
                           Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets and Statements of Income (unaudited)

    (Dollars in millions)                                  March 31,                December 31,

                                                                 2015                        2014
                                                                 ----                        ----

    Assets

       Investments                                                        $14,476                             $14,386

       Cash and cash
        equivalents                                               640                                     591

       Premiums receivable                                      1,433                                   1,405

       Reinsurance recoverable                                    539                                     545

      Deferred policy
       acquisition costs                                          571                                     578

       Other assets                                             1,238                                   1,248

          Total assets                                                    $18,897                             $18,753
                                                                          =======                             =======


    Liabilities

       Insurance reserves                                                  $7,137                              $6,982

       Unearned premiums                                        2,109                                   2,082

       Deferred income tax                                        824                                     840

       Long-term debt and
        capital lease
        obligations                                               825                                     827

       Other liabilities                                        1,394                                   1,449

          Total liabilities                                    12,289                                  12,180
                                                               ------                                  ------


    Shareholders' Equity

       Common stock and paid-
        in capital                                              1,607                                   1,611

       Retained earnings                                        4,557                                   4,505

       Accumulated other
        comprehensive income                                    1,716                                   1,744

       Treasury stock                                         (1,272)                                (1,287)
                                                               ------                                  ------

          Total shareholders'
           equity                                               6,608                                   6,573
                                                                -----                                   -----

          Total liabilities and
           shareholders' equity                                           $18,897                             $18,753
                                                                          =======                             =======


    (Dollars in millions
     except per share data)                                   Three months ended March 31,

                                                                 2015                        2014
                                                                 ----                        ----

    Revenues

       Earned premiums                                                     $1,094                              $1,027

       Investment income, net
        of expenses                                               139                                     135

       Realized investment
        gains, net                                                 47                                      22

       Other revenues                                               5                                       5

          Total revenues                                        1,285                                   1,189
                                                                -----                                   -----


    Benefits and Expenses

       Insurance losses and
        policyholder benefits                                     749                                     732

       Underwriting,
        acquisition and
        insurance expenses                                        345                                     320

       Interest expense                                            13                                      14

       Other operating expenses                                     4                                       4
                                                                  ---                                     ---

          Total benefits and
           expenses                                             1,111                                   1,070
                                                                -----                                   -----


    Income Before Income
     Taxes                                                        174                                     119
                                                                  ---                                     ---


    Provision for Income
     Taxes                                                         46                                      28
                                                                  ---                                     ---


    Net Income                                                               $128                                 $91
                                                                             ====                                 ===


    Per Common Share:

       Net income-basic                                                     $0.78                               $0.56

       Net income-diluted                                        0.77                                    0.55
       ------------------                                        ----                                    ----

Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
(See attached tables for reconciliations; additional prior-period reconciliations available at cinfin.com/investors.)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners' (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.

Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas - property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures to improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and to help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management's control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.



    --  Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net
        realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment
        gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from
        net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success
        of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment
        gains (or losses) are integral to the company's insurance operations
        over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or
        losses in any period may be subject to management's discretion and is
        independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under
        applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be
        recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without
        actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized
        investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be
        material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying
        business operations in that period.For these reasons, many investors and
        shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful
        measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts
        who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on
        this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so
        that all investors have what management believes to be a useful
        supplement to GAAP information.
    --  Value creation ratio: This is a measure of shareholder value creation
        that management believes captures the contribution of the company's
        insurance operations, the success of its investment strategy and the
        importance placed on paying cash dividends to shareholders. The value
        creation ratio measure is made up of two primary components: (1) rate of
        growth in book value per share plus (2) the ratio of dividends declared
        per share to beginning book value per share. Management believes this
        non-GAAP measure is a useful supplement to GAAP information, providing a
        meaningful measure of long-term progress in creating shareholder value.
        It is intended to be all-inclusive regarding changes in book value per
        share, and uses originally reported book value per share in cases where
        book value per share has been adjusted, such as adoption of Accounting
        Standards Updates with a cumulative effect of a change in accounting.
    --  Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies
        prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers
        also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules
        as defined in the NAIC's Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual,
        which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance
        departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various
        organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study
        industry trends and compare insurance companies.
    --  Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty
        written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and
        recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy.
        Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business
        efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is
        calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written
        and earned premium is unearned premium.



                                            Cincinnati Financial Corporation

                                              Balance Sheet Reconciliation

    (Dollars
     are per
     share)                                           Three months ended March 31,
    --------

                                                        2015                       2014
                                                        ----                       ----

    Value
     creation
     ratio:

       End of
        period
        book
        value                                                    $40.22                         $37.73

       Less
        beginning
        of period
        book
        value                                          40.14                              37.21
                                                       -----                              -----

       Change in
        book
        value                                           0.08                               0.52

       Dividend
        declared
        to
        shareholders                                    0.46                               0.44
                                                        ----                               ----

       Total
        value
        creation                                                  $0.54                          $0.96
                                                                  =====                          =====


    Value
     creation
     ratio
     from
     change in
     book
     value*                                             0.2%                              1.4%

    Value
     creation
     ratio
     from
     dividends
     declared
     to
     shareholders**                                      1.1                                1.2

    Value
     creation
     ratio                                              1.3%                              2.6%
                                                         ===                                ===


    *    Change in book value divided by the beginning of period book value

    **   Dividend declared to shareholders divided by beginning of period book value



                                            Net Income Reconciliation


    (Dollars
     in
     millions
     except
     per share
     data)                                          Three months ended March 31,

                                                        2015                       2014
                                                        ----                       ----

       Net income                                                  $128                            $91

       Realized
        investment
        gains,
        net                                               31                                 14
                                                         ---                                ---

       Operating
        income                                            97                                 77

       Less
        catastrophe
        losses                                          (28)                              (57)

       Operating
        income
        before
        catastrophe
        losses                                                     $125                           $134
                                                                   ====                           ====


    Diluted
     per share
     data:

       Net income                                                 $0.77                          $0.55

       Realized
        investment
        gains,
        net                                             0.18                               0.09
                                                        ----                               ----

       Operating
        income                                          0.59                               0.46

       Less
        catastrophe
        losses                                        (0.17)                            (0.34)

       Operating
        income
        before
        catastrophe
        losses                                                    $0.76                          $0.80
                                                                  =====                          =====



                                                                                                                                                                Cincinnati Financial Corporation

                                                                                                                                                           Property Casualty Insurance Reconciliation


    (Dollars in millions)                                                                                                                                                                   Three months ended March 31, 2015

                                                                                                                                                               Consolidated              Commercial                  Personal      E&S
                                                                                                                                                               ------------              ----------                  --------      ---

    Premiums:

       Written premiums                                                                                                                                                 $1,066                                                $783              $241           $42

       Unearned premiums change                                                                                                                                 (25)                                            (50)                       27            (2)
                                                                                                                                                                 ---                                              ---                       ---            ---

       Earned premiums                                                                                                                                                  $1,041                                                $733              $268           $40
                                                                                                                                                                        ======                                                ====              ====           ===


    Statutory ratios:

       Combined ratio                                                                                                                                          96.1%                                           94.6%                   101.4%         89.3%

       Contribution from catastrophe losses                                                                                                                      4.1                                              4.0                       4.9            0.9

       Combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses                                                                                                             92.0%                                           90.6%                    96.5%         88.4%
                                                                                                                                                                ====                                             ====                      ====           ====


       Commission expense ratio                                                                                                                                17.8%                                           16.8%                    19.3%         26.6%

       Other underwriting expense ratio                                                                                                                         12.2                                             13.1                      11.1            3.3

       Total expense ratio                                                                                                                                     30.0%                                           29.9%                    30.4%         29.9%
                                                                                                                                                                ====                                             ====                      ====           ====


    GAAP ratios:

       Combined ratio                                                                                                                                          97.5%                                           96.6%                   101.4%         88.3%

       Contribution from catastrophe losses                                                                                                                      4.1                                              4.0                       4.9            0.9

       Prior accident years before catastrophe losses                                                                                                          (1.1)                                           (0.6)                    (0.7)        (13.6)
                                                                                                                                                                ----                                             ----                      ----          -----

    Current accident year combined ratio before catastrophe losses                                                                                             94.5%                                           93.2%                    97.2%        101.0%
                                                                                                                                                                ====                                             ====                      ====          =====


    Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on dollar amounts in thousands.

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SOURCE Cincinnati Financial Corporation