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Analysis summary4-Traders Strategies 

D.R. Horton, Inc. : The bullish trend is not over

02/11/2013 | 10:03am
Opinion : Bullish above USD 22.55
Target price : USD 23.8 Potential: 3.12%
Stop loss: USD 22.1

The economic and financial situation of the company is still strong. Estimated sales from Thomson Reuters consensus are encouraging showing a rise by more than 40% between 2012 and 2013. Debt is decreasing rapidly and the leverage is reducing at 3.67. Moreover, the group has just published a Q1 2013 net income of USD 66.3 million against USD 27.7 million in the same period one year ago, beating analysts' estimates.

Technically, the security is in an uptrend on all time scales and it is supported by moving averages. The bullish trend will not be stopped until prices are above the USD 22.55 pivot point, which converges with the 20-day moving average. This trend should allow the stock to reach its USD 23.8 resistance, which will be the first target price.

Thanks to these good indicators, it seems relevant to take a long position in D.R. Horton, around the USD 22.55 area. The target price is the USD 23.8 resistance. A stop loss will be set under the USD 22.55.

D.R. Horton, Inc. : D.R. Horton, Inc. : The bullish trend is not over

© 2013

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Financial Ratios

Size 2015e 2016e
Capitalization 10 023 M$ -
Entreprise Value (EV) 12 868 M$ 12 567 M$
Valuation 2015e 2016e
PER (Price / EPS) 14,8x 12,9x
Capitalization / Revenue 0,99x 0,87x
EV / Revenue 1,27x 1,09x
EV / EBITDA 10,6x 9,18x
Yield (DPS / Price) 0,83% 0,87%
Price to book (Price / BVPS) 1,73x 1,54x
Profitability 2015e 2016e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 10,1% 10,3%
operating Leverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) 0,99x 1,11x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 6,74% 6,82%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 6,27% 6,65%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 12,3% 12,5%
Rate of Dividend 12,3% 11,2%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2015e 2016e
CAPEX / Sales   0,46% 0,53%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 0,54% 5,48%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 1,08x 1,03x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 2,35x 1,86x
Income Statement Evolution
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