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DEBENHAMS PLC

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Debenhams : The GBp 80.7 support area is tested

03/15/2013 | 04:31am
Opinion : Bullish above 80.7 GBp
Target price : 90.5 GBp
Stop loss: 78.1 GBp
LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE
Retail – Department Stores
The GBp 80.7 support area, currently tested, might facilitate a technical rebound. The company’s fundamentals could validate this scenario.

From a fundamental viewpoint, Debenhams is undervalued in terms of enterprise value. Based on the current price, its market capitalization, minus its net debt, represents 0.54 times its revenues. The PER ratio is only 8.36 and 7.94 times the two next years earnings.

The security follows a downward trend in the short and mid term. However, the selling pressure could run out of steam soon. Indeed, while the stock shows an oversold condition on a couple of technical indicators, the bullish trend line and the 100-week moving average should provoke a reversal towards the GBp 90.5 short term resistance.

So as to make the most of a potential technical rebound of Debenhams, it seems opportune to take a long position at the current price. The first objective will be set at GBp 90.5. Once this resistance crossed the security could reach the GBp 96.2 resistance. Investors should not insist under GBp 80.7 and are better to place a stop loss order under this threshold.

Debenhams : Debenhams : The GBp 80.7 support area is tested
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Financial Ratios

Size 2013e 2014e
Capitalization 1 190 M GBP -
Company Value 1 561 M GBP 1 553 M GBP
Valuation 2013e 2014e
PER (Price / EPS) 9,71x 9,37x
Capitalization / Revenue 0,46x 0,44x
EV / Revenue 0,60x 0,58x
EV / EBITDA 5,85x 5,60x
Yield (DPS / Price) 3,49% 3,69%
Profitability 2013e 2014e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 6,50% 6,50%
operating laverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) - 1,00x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 4,68% 4,56%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 6,05% 6,00%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 17,4% 17,2%
Rate of Dividend 33,9% 34,6%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2013e 2014e
CAPEX / Sales   4,67% 4,62%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 7,69% 7,74%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 0,77x 0,76x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 1,39x 1,31x
Income Statement Evolution
Debenhams Plc : Income Statement Evolution
More Financials
EPS Revisions
Debenhams Plc : EPS Revisions
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