Change in the valuation following anticipated business-model transition
TARGET CHANGE
CHANGE IN EPS
2016 : € -0.04 vs 0.02 ns
2017 : € 0.03 vs 0.12 -75.8%

We have integrated the final 2015 figures and downgraded our bottom-line forecast for the coming years, due to the massive investments required to set up a manufacturing chain which will hamper margins until 2018.


CHANGE IN NAV
€ 1.94 vs 2.12 -8.15%

The gross asset value hasn't changed with our update; however, due to our new forecast, the net cash position translated into a net debt, which mechanically impacted the NAV.


CHANGE IN DCF
€ 2.08 vs 2.28 -9.03%

Despite the new short-term profitability being below our previous expectations, the long-term hypothesis remains rather similar, i.e. 2025e sales of above €28m. However, the estimated EBITDA margin is now crossing the 20% threshold in 2026 instead of 2025, which negatively impacts the DCF value combined with the initial net debt situation (vs. net cash previously).