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Talking Points:
- EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644
- Support: 1.3502-12, 1.3454, 1.3396
- Resistance:1.3583, 1.3613, 1.3650
The Euro fell as expected after prices produced a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern, sinking to the lowest level in a monthagainst US Dollar. Sellers are testing support in the 1.3502-12 area (38.2% Fibonacci expansion, June 5 low). A daily close below this boundary initially exposes 1.3454 (50% Fib). Alternatively, move back above 1.3583 (23.6% Fib) targets a falling trend line at 1.3613, followed by the July 10 high at 1.3650.
We sold EURUSD at 1.3644 in line with our long-term fundamental outlook and have since booked profit on half of the position. The stop-loss on our remaining exposure has been moved to the breakeven level.
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Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
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