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Francesca's Holdings Corp : Technical rebound's potential

09/12/2012 | 09:42am
Opinion : Bullish above 28 USD
Target price : 37 USD
Stop loss: 26.9 USD
NASDAQ
Retail – Apparel / Accessories
Francesca's Holdings Corporation operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiary, retails women's apparel products that cater to the 18-35 year-old fashion conscious, female customers. Fracesca's offers apparel, jewelry, accessories, and gifts.

From a fundamental viewpoint, the company seems overvalued. Nonetheless, recently, EPS estimates for the two coming years have been revised upward by analysts. This positive fact opens the way for a better evaluation of the security by investors.

Technically, the security fell sharply in the last trading sessions. This fall has lead Francesca's Holdings Corp towards the USD 28 support area which could become useful as a stepping stone for a technical rebound. The target of this bullish trend is the USD 32.01 resistance. Even though moving averages are still in a bearish trend, the oversold situation could encourage a renewed interest in Francesca's Holdings Corp. So as to make the most of a potential technical rebound of Francesca's Holdings Corp, it seems opportune to take a long position at the current price. A confirmation of this pattern would enable the security to reach the USD 36.28 resistance. Investors should not insist under USD 28 and are better to place a stop loss order under this threshold.
Francesca's Holdings Corp : Francesca's Holdings Corp : Technical rebound's potential
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Financial Ratios

Size 2014e 2015e
Capitalization 1 359 M$ -
Company Value 1 287 M$ 1 237 M$
Valuation 2014e 2015e
PER (Price / EPS) 24,0x 19,4x
Capitalization / Revenue 3,67x 3,00x
EV / Revenue 3,48x 2,73x
EV / EBITDA 12,2x 9,54x
Yield (DPS / Price) - -
Profitability 2014e 2015e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 26,0% 26,2%
operating laverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) 0,95x 1,03x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 15,7% 15,9%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 51,2% 42,3%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 57,8% 43,4%
Rate of Dividend - -
Balance Sheet Analysis 2014e 2015e
CAPEX / Sales   6,73% 6,28%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 17,8% 17,3%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 0,31x 0,38x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) -0,68x -0,94x
Income Statement Evolution
Francesca's Holdings Corp : Income Statement Evolution
More Financials
EPS Revisions
Francesca's Holdings Corp : EPS Revisions
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