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FRESNILLO PLC

 (FRES)

13
Delayed Quote. Delayed BATS Europe - 06/18 11:30:00 am
1069.5 GBp   -2.51%
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Fresnillo Plc : Cut to sell after the rally

09/10/2012 | 04:27am
Opinion : Bearish under 1830 GBp
Target price : 1627 GBp Potential: 5.63%
Stop loss: 1900 GBp
LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE
Precious Metals / Minerals
Fresnillo plc is a silver and gold mining and exploration company. The company owns and operates silver and gold mines in Mexico. Fresnillo also holds a portfolio of development and exploration projects located along the silver and gold belts of Mexico.

From a fundamental viewpoint, firstly, we note the high valuation of the company. PER for the current year is at 26.37x and expected at 22.62x for next year. With a valuation ratio of 8.73x, the group appears overvalued compared to its business activity. In add analysts polled by Thomson Reuters have revised downwards the earnings per share.

The share has taken benefit from last gold rally, in fact rose over than 14% in the last trading sessions. The share is reaching two important levels, which could stop the bullish trend. We advise to give attention the area between GBp 1780 and 1830. These resistances could give an opportunity to short the share and to take benefit from potential bearish trend. If downward trend will be set up we fix target price at GBp 1627.
Fresnillo Plc : Fresnillo Plc : Cut to sell after the rally
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Financial Ratios

Size 2013e 2014e
Capitalization 12 694 M$ -
Company Value 11 951 M$ 11 993 M$
Valuation 2013e 2014e
PER (Price / EPS) 22,7x 19,0x
Capitalization / Revenue 6,04x 5,34x
EV / Revenue 5,68x 5,05x
EV / EBITDA 10,3x 8,60x
Yield (DPS / Price) 2,90% 2,81%
Profitability 2013e 2014e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 43,8% 45,5%
operating laverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) -4,78x 1,33x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 25,5% 26,9%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 15,2% 16,5%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 19,5% 21,2%
Rate of Dividend 65,7% 53,4%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2013e 2014e
CAPEX / Sales   34,9% 31,3%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 38,6% 46,2%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 1,68x 1,63x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) -0,64x -0,50x
Income Statement Evolution
Fresnillo Plc : Income Statement Evolution
More Financials
EPS Revisions
Fresnillo Plc : EPS Revisions
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