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Talking Points:

  • Gold price stayed unchanged as investors awaited US FOMC meeting
  • Oil price rose following lower than expected inventory data from the API
  • Copper price also traded flat as USD held gains before event risk

Oil price rose after inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute showed on Tuesday that crude stockpile rose by 1.5 million barrels last week, about half of what was expected. Official production and inventory figures will be released by the U.S. government's Energy Information Administration on Wednesday. This inventory data is expected to show a fifth straight week of increase.

Copper pricetraded sideways as the USD held gains before Federal Reserve’s meeting. Copper premiums for China shipments have hit the lowest this year and physical market seems to be in no hurry to stock it up. Moreover, factories have swapped copper for its cheaper substitute – aluminium – with the help of technological innovation.

Gold price reached the lowest in nearly two weeks yesterday and was largely unchanged today as investors waited for the outcome of the Federal Reserve policy meeting. A statement is likely issued at 1800 GMT. Save haven demand has boosted gold to be the top performing asset since the start of this year, but that may change after FOMC’s decision.

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GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Gold price parked on support trend line for a second day as market participants finalised their bets ahead of US FOMC meeting. This is a major event that will no doubt dictate the upcoming direction of gold price. Investors may adjust their bets or stay put.

Gold Price Flat before Fed, Oil Price Rises on Lower Stockpile

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

COPPER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Copper price traded flat before major event risk today. The metal conformed to a range between support level at 2.1485 and past daily high at 2.3020. Low volatility is expected before the event risk.

Gold Price Flat before Fed, Oil Price Rises on Lower Stockpile

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Oil price recovered modestly after two days of losses. Downward momentum is still dominant, thus the downside of oil price remains vulnerable. FOMC event today may initiate changes in market sentiment, specifically regarding oil.

Gold Price Flat before Fed, Oil Price Rises on Lower Stockpile

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

--- Written by Nathalie Huynh, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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Contact and follow Nathalie on Twitter: @nathuynh


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