MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌ AND ANALYSIS AND CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌

INNERGEX RENEWABLE ENERGY INC.‌‌‌‌‌

FOR THE YEAR ENDED‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌

DECEMBER 31, 2016 INTRODUCTION

This Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") is a discussion of the operating results, cash flows and financial position of Innergex Renewable Energy Inc. ("Innergex" or the "Corporation") for the year ended December 31, 2016, and reflects all material events up to February 23, 2017, the date on which this MD&A was approved by the Corporation's Board of Directors.

The MD&A should be read in conjunction with the audited consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes for the year ended December 31, 2016.

The audited consolidated financial statements attached to this MD&A and the accompanying notes for the year ended December 31, 2016, along with the 2015 comparative figures, have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS"). Some amounts included in this MD&A have been rounded to make reading easier, which may affect some calculations.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Establishment and Maintenance of DC&P and ICFR ...... Forward-Looking Information ..........................................

Non-IFRS Measures .......................................................

Additional Information and Updates ................................ Overview ........................................................................

Business Strategy ...........................................................

Market Trends ................................................................

Selected Annual Information ...........................................

Developments in 2016 ....................................................

Development Projects and Commissioning Activities...... Prospective Projects .......................................................

Operating Results ...........................................................

Liquidity and Capital Resources .....................................

3 Dividends 27

3 Financial Position 28

  1. Free Cash Flow and Payout Ratio 40

  2. Projected Financial Performance 42

  1. Segment Information 45

  2. Quarterly Financial Information 48

10 Fourth Quarter Results 49

12 Investments in Joint Ventures 51

14 Non-wholly Owned Subsidiaries 54

16 Risks and Uncertainties 60

  1. Critical Accounting Estimates 63

  2. Accounting Changes 64

25 Subsequent Events 65

ESTABLISHMENT AND MAINTENANCE OF DISCLOSURE CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES AND INTERNAL CONTROL OVER FINANCIAL REPORTING‌

The President and Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer of the Corporation have designed, or caused to be designed, under their supervision:

  • Disclosure controls and procedures ("DC&P") to provide reasonable assurance that: (i) material information relating to the Corporation is accumulated and communicated by others to the President and Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer in a timely manner, particularly during the period in which the interim and annual filings are being prepared; and (ii) the information required to be disclosed by the Corporation in its annual filings, interim filings and other reports filed or submitted by it under applicable securities legislation is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in securities legislation.

  • Internal control over financial reporting ("ICFR") to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with IFRS applicable to the Corporation.

In accordance with Regulation 52-109 - Certification of Disclosure in Issuers' Annual and Interim Filings, the President and Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer of the Corporation have certified that: (a) there were no material weaknesses relating to the DC&P and ICFR for the year ended December 31, 2016; (b) they have limited the scope of the Corporation's design of DC&P and ICFR to exclude the controls policies and procedures of Energie Antoigné, Energie du Porcien, Eoles Beaumont S.A.S., Energie des Cholletz, Eoliennes de Longueval, Energie Des Valottes, Société d'Exploitation du Parc Éolien du Bois d'Anchat, Montjean Energies and Theil Rabier Energies (the "French Entities"); and (c) there was no change to the ICFR that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the Corporation's ICFR during the year ended December 31, 2016. The design and evaluation of the operating effectiveness of the DC&P and ICFR for the French Entities will be completed in the 12 months following the dates of acquisition. A summary of the financial information about the French Entities is presented in the Non-wholly Owned Subsidiaries section of this MD&A.

FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION‌

To inform readers of the Corporation's future prospects, this MD&A contains forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws ("Forward-Looking Information"). Forward-Looking Information can generally be identified by the use of words such as "approximately", "may", "will", "could", "believes", "expects", "intends", "should", "plans", "potential", "project", "anticipates", "estimates", "scheduled" or "forecasts", or other comparable terminology that state that certain events will or will not occur. It represents the projections and expectations of the Corporation relating to future events or results as of the date of this MD&A.

Future-oriented financial information: Forward-Looking Information includes future-oriented financial information or financial outlook within the meaning of securities laws, such as expected production, projected revenues, projected Adjusted EBITDA , projected Free Cash Flow and estimated project costs , to inform readers of the potential financial impact of expected results, of the expected commissioning of Development Projects, of the potential financial impact of the acquisitions of the French Entities, of the Corporation's ability to sustain current dividends and dividend increases and of its ability to fund its growth. Such information may not be appropriate for other purposes.

Assumptions: Forward-Looking Information is based on certain key assumptions made by the Corporation, including those concerning hydrology, wind regimes and solar irradiation, performance of operating facilities, financial market conditions and the Corporation's success in developing new facilities.

Risks and uncertainties: Forward-Looking Information involves risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results or performance to be materially different from those expressed, implied or presented by the Forward-Looking Information. These are referred to in the Corporation's Annual Information Form in the "Risk Factors" section and include, without limitation: the ability of the Corporation to execute its strategy for building shareholder value; its ability to raise additional capital and the state of capital markets; liquidity risks related to derivative financial instruments ("Derivatives"); variability in hydrology, wind regimes and solar irradiation; delays and cost overruns in the design and construction of projects; the ability to secure new power purchase agreements or to renew any power purchase agreement; health, safety and environmental risks; uncertainties surrounding the development of new facilities; obtainment of permits; equipment failure or unexpected operations and maintenance activity; interest rate fluctuations and refinancing risk; financial leverage and restrictive covenants governing current and future indebtedness; the possibility that the Corporation may not declare or pay a dividend; changes in governmental support to increase electricity to be generated from renewable sources by independent power producers; variability of installation performance and related penalties; the ability to attract new talent or to retain officers or key employees; litigation; performance of major counterparties; social acceptance of renewable energy projects; relationships with stakeholders; equipment supply;

the exposure to many different forms of taxation in various jurisdictions; changes in general economic conditions; regulatory and political risks; the ability to secure appropriate land; reliance on power purchase agreements; availability and reliability of transmission systems; foreign market growth and development risks; foreign exchange fluctuations; increases in water rental cost or changes to regulations applicable to water use; assessment of water, wind and sun resources and associated electricity production; dam failure; natural disasters and force majeure; cybersecurity; sufficiency of insurance coverage limits and exclusions; a credit rating that may not reflect actual performance of the Corporation or a lowering (downgrade) of the credit rating; potential undisclosed liabilities associated with acquisitions; integration of the facilities and projects acquired and to be acquired; failure to realize the anticipated benefits of acquisitions; reliance on shared transmission and interconnection infrastructure; and the fact that revenues from the Miller Creek facility will vary based on the spot price of electricity.

Although the Corporation believes that the expectations and assumptions on which Forward-Looking Information is based are reasonable under the current circumstances, readers are cautioned not to rely unduly on this Forward-Looking Information as no assurance can be given that it will prove to be correct. Forward-Looking Information contained herein is made as at the date of this MD&A and the Corporation does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any Forward-Looking Information, whether as a result of events or circumstances occurring after the date hereof, unless so required by law.

Forward-Looking Information in this MD&A

The following table outlines the Forward-Looking Information contained in this MD&A, which the Corporation considers important to better inform readers about its potential financial performance, together with the principal assumptions used to derive this information and the principal risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from this information.

Principal Assumptions Principal Risks and Uncertainties

Expected production

For each facility, the Corporation determines a long-term average annual level of electricity production ("LTA") over the expected life of the facility, based on engineers' studies that take into consideration a number of important factors: for hydroelectricity, the historically observed flows of the river, the operating head, the technology employed and the reserved aesthetic and ecological flows; for wind energy, the historical wind and meteorological conditions and turbine technology; and for solar energy, the historical solar irradiation conditions, panel technology and expected solar panel degradation. Other factors taken into account include, without limitation, site topography, installed capacity, energy losses, operational features and maintenance. Although production will fluctuate from year to year, over an extended period it should approach the estimated long-term average. On a consolidated basis, the Corporation estimates the LTA by adding together the expected LTA of all the facilities in operation that it consolidates (excludes Umbata Falls and Viger-Denonville, which are accounted for using the equity method).

Improper assessment of water, wind and sun resources and associated electricity production

Variability in hydrology, wind regimes and solar irradiation

Equipment failure or unexpected operations and maintenance activity

Natural disaster

Projected revenues

For each facility, expected annual revenues are estimated by multiplying the LTA by a price for electricity stipulated in the power purchase agreement secured with a public utility or other creditworthy counterparty. These agreements stipulate a base price and, in some cases, a price adjustment depending on the month, day and hour of delivery, except for the Miller Creek hydroelectric facility, which receives a price based on a formula using the Platts Mid- C pricing indices, and the Horseshoe Bend hydroelectric facility, for which 85% of the price is fixed and 15% is adjusted annually as determined by the Idaho Public Utility Commission. In most cases, power purchase agreements also contain an annual inflation adjustment based on a portion of the Consumer Price Index. On a consolidated basis, the Corporation estimates annual revenues by adding together the projected revenues of all the facilities in operation that it consolidates (excludes Umbata Falls and Viger-Denonville, which are accounted for using the equity method).

Production levels below the LTA caused mainly by the risks and uncertainties mentioned above

Unexpected seasonal variability in the production and delivery of electricity

Lower-than-expected inflation rate

Innergex Renewable Energy Inc. published this content on 24 February 2017 and is solely responsible for the information contained herein.
Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 24 February 2017 17:13:10 UTC.

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