KASIKORNBANK Presentation for Analyst Meeting as of 4Q16 January 2017

For further information, please contact the Investor Relations Unit or visit our website at www.kasikornbank.com

1

KASIKORNBANK at a Glance
  • Established on June 8, 1945 with registered capital of Bt5mn (USD 0.14mn)

  • Listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) since 1976

Consolidated (as of December 2016)

Assets

Bt2,846bn (USD79.4bn)

Ranked #4 with 15.5% market share**

Loans*

Bt1,698bn (USD47.4bn)

Ranked #4 with 14.9% market share**

Deposits

Bt1,795bn (USD50.1bn)

Ranked #4 with 15.6% market share**

CAR

18.84% ***

ROE

13.23%

ROA

1.49%

Number of Branches

1,107

Number of ATMs

8,973

Number of Employees

21,029

Share Information

SET Symbol Share Capital:

KBANK, KBANK-F

Authorized Bt30.5bn (USD0.9bn) Issued and Paid-up Bt23.9bn (USD0.7bn) Number of Shares 2.4bn shares

Market Capitalization Bt425bn (USD11.9bn) Ranked #2 in Thai banking sector 4Q16 Avg. Share Price:

KBANK Bt174.52 (USD4.87)

KBANK-F Bt174.72 (USD4.88)

EPS Bt16.79 (USD0.47)

BVPS Bt134.44 (USD3.75)

Notes:

* Loans = Loans to customers less Deferred revenue

** Assets, loans and deposits market share is based on C.B.1.1 (Monthly statement of assets and liabilities) of 14 Thai commercial banks as of November 2016

*** Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) has been reported in accordance with Basel III Capital Requirement from 1 January 2013 onwards.

CAR is based on KASIKORNBANK FINANCIAL CONGLOMERATE. KASIKORNBANK FINANCIAL CONGLOMERATE means the company under

the Notification of the Bank of Thailand re: Consolidated Supervision, consisted of KBank, K Companies and subsidiaries operating in supporting KBank, Phethai Asset Management Co., Ltd. and other subsidiaries within the permitted scope from the BOT's to be financial conglomerate

Exchange rate at the end of December 2016 (Mid Rate) was Bt35.83 per USD (Source: Bank of Thailand)

2

Table of Contents

Topic Slide Page

  • Operating Environment 4 - 5

  • 2016 Key Financial Ratios 6

  • 2017 Financial Targets 7

  • Composition of Growth 8 - 11

  • The K-Strategy 12

  • Capital and Dividend 13 - 14

  • Summary 15

    3

    Operating Environment: Economic Outlook for 2017

    Key GDP Forecasts and Assumptions

    Supporting Factors:

    % YoY

    6.0

    3.0

    0.0

    2.8 3.3 3.0-3.6

    % YoY

    2015

    2016F*

    2017F*

    Range

    Base Case

    GDP

    2.8

    3.3

    3.0-3.6

    3.3

    Private Consumption

    2.1

    3.1

    2.0-2.4

    2.2

    Government Consumption

    2.2

    1.0

    3.0-3.4

    3.2

    Total Investment

    4.7

    3.0

    3.0-5.0

    4.4

    - Public investment

    29.8

    10.3

    6.5-10.5

    8.5

    - Private investment

    -2.0

    0.5

    2.4-3.2

    2.8

    Gov't Budget Deficit (% of GDP)

    -2.9

    -2.9

    -3.0 to -2.5

    -2.7

    Exports (Customs Basis)

    -5.8

    0.1

    -0.5 to 2.5

    0.8

    Imports (Customs Basis)

    -11.0

    -4.6

    0.2-4.5

    2.0

    Current Account (USD bn)

    32.1

    44.2

    38.0 - 48.0

    43.0

    Headline Inflation

    -0.9

    0.2

    1.3-2.3

    1.8

    Policy Interest Rate**

    1.50

    1.50

    1.50

    2015 2016F 2017F

  • Public spending and tourism sector remain key growth drivers of the Thai economy, although at a slower pace due to last year's high base of comparison

  • Export growth will turn slightly positive, attributable to a recovery in global commodity prices

Notes: The current MPC's policy rate is at 1.50% Source: * KResearch (as of December 21, 2016)

** KBank Capital Markets Research (as of December 6, 2016)

Challenges:

  • Trade protectionism of the US and other countries may negatively affect economic recovery and stability in the medium term

  • Risks could be incurred from Brexit implementation and fragility in Europe

  • Fed Funds rate hike will produce impacts on capital movements, asset prices and foreign exchange

  • China's economy may continue to slow down, but possibility of hard landing is limited

  • Purchasing power of the Thai household sector is limited by the persistent high household debt

    4

    Interest Rate Outlook
    • The Fed will likely raise its interest rate further by 0.25% in 2017

US Core PCE* Price Index

US Policy Interest Rate

% YoY

3

% Fed's Projected Appropriate

3 Policy Path

2

2

1 1

0

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

0

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017f 2018f 2019f

  • The BOT may keep its benchmark rate unchanged at 1.50% this year in order to support the overall economy, if inflation rate stays within its target range

  • Factors to watch: capital outflows, asset prices' correction, higher cost of funding, and a weaker Baht

    Note: *PCE = Personal Consumption Expenditure

    5

    2016 Key Financial Ratios

    Consolidated

    2015 Actual

    2016 Actual

    2016 Targets

    Key Message

    ROE

    14.54%

    13.23%

    N/A

    Lower than 2015 ROE and ROA, as a result of economic slowdown, which reflects in lower revenue growth and higher provisioning expenses

    ROA

    1.60%

    1.49%

    N/A

    NIM

    3.67%

    3.52%

    3.3 - 3.5%

    Achieved high-end of 2016 target range attributed to well managed cost of fund, although yield dropped from the year 2015; in line with interest rates trend

    Loan Growth

    5.42% YoY

    5.45% YoY

    6 - 7%

    Slightly lower than 2016 target range mainly due to SME and retail business; however, loan growth was still in line with economic growth

    Non-Interest Income Growth*

    12.57% YoY

    1.96% YoY

    Up to 10%

    2016 non-interest income growth reflects large base effect; in line with the economic slowdown, especially in insurance business. However, non-interest income ratio maintained from previous year and in line with the target

    Non-Interest Income Ratio

    42.37%

    41.54%

    About 40%

    Cost to Income Ratio**

    45.19%

    41.63%

    45.0 - 47.0%

    Improved from the year 2015 and better than 2016 target range due to cost management regime

    Credit Cost (bps)

    168 bps

    204 bps

    Up to 190 bps

    Prudent credit cost. NPL ratio started to fall in 4Q16, although the NPL ratio was higher than in 2015; in line with slow economic recovery

    NPL Ratio (Gross)***

    2.70%

    3.32%

    3.5 - 3.6%

    Note: * Non-Interest Income includes Net Premium Earned - net (Net Premium Earned less Underwriting Expenses) from Muang Thai Life Assurance PCL (MTL); KBank has a 38.25% economic interest in MTL; on the consolidated basis, Bancassurance fees are not included in net fee income, due to the elimination of inter-company transactions (the accounting treatment from the Muang Thai Group Holding consolidation); Non-Interest Income = Total Operating Income - net less Interest Income - net

    ** Cost to Income Ratio = Total Other Operating Expenses to Total Operating Income - net (Total Operating income less Underwriting Expenses)

    *** NPL Ratio (Gross) = NPL (gross) to total loans; NPL (gross) used in the calculation are loans to general customers and loans to financial institutions that are non-performing loans; total loans used in the calculation are loans to general customers and loans to financial institutions

    6

    2017 Financial Targets

    Consolidated

    2016 Actual

    2016 Targets

    2017 Targets

    Notes

    ROE

    13.23%

    N/A

    N/A

    ROA

    1.49%

    N/A

    N/A

    NIM

    3.52%

    3.3-3.5%

    3.3-3.5%

    Ranking maintained among large commercial banks

    Loan Growth

    5.45% YoY

    6-7%

    4-6%

    Decent and sustainable loan growth; in line with economic growth; subject to the success of government measures

    Non-Interest Income Growth*

    1.96% YoY

    Up to 10%

    Up to 5%

    Sensible growth from fee-driven businesses, reflects large base effect; in line with the economy and uncertainty factors, e.g. national e-payment

    Non-Interest Income Ratio

    41.54%

    About 40%

    About 40%

    Cost to Income Ratio**

    41.63%

    45.0 - 47.0%

    Mid-40s

    Focus on cost management under pressure from income slowdown

    Credit Cost per year (bps)

    204 bps

    Up to 190 bps

    200-225 bps

    NPL ratio will start to fall in 4Q16; stabilize and move in a narrow range in 2017; credit cost will lag the NPL movement, and peak in 2017

    NPL Ratio (Gross)***

    3.32%

    3.5-3.6%

    3.3-3.4%

    Note: * Non-Interest Income includes Net Premium Earned - net (Net Premium Earned less Underwriting Expenses) from Muang Thai Life Assurance PCL (MTL); KBank has a 38.25% economic interest in MTL; on the consolidated basis, Bancassurance fees are not included in net fee income, due to the elimination of inter-company transactions (the accounting treatment from the Muang Thai Group Holding consolidation); Non-Interest Income = Total Operating Income - net less Interest Income - net

    ** Cost to Income Ratio = Total Other Operating Expenses to Total Operating Income - net (Total Operating income less Underwriting Expenses)

    *** NPL Ratio (Gross) = NPL (gross) to total loans; NPL (gross) used in the calculation are loans to general customers and loans to financial institutions that are non-performing loans; total loans used in the calculation are loans to general customers and loans to financial institutions

    7

    Composition of Growth: Loans by Business (9M16)
    • Moderate loan growth momentum in line with full-year target

Consolidated

Amount (Bt bn)

Dec15* 9M16

9M16

Loan Grow th (%YTD)

9M16

Yield Range (%)

Loan Grow th Target

(%)

2016

2017

Corporate Loans

468

511

9.1%

3-5%

4-6%

4-6%

SME Loans

618

642

3.9%

6-8%

5-7%

4-6%

Retail Loans

422

420

(0.6%)

5-7%

5-7%

5-7%

Other Loans

102

99

(2.4%)

Total Loans

1,610

1,672

3.8%

5.8%

6-7%

4-6%

Loan Portfolio Structure Loan Portfolio

Bt bn

2,000

1,600

1,327

1,439

1,527

1,610 1,672

29% 31%

Co rporate

1,200

31%

30%

31%

0

7%

6%

6%

6%

6%

Others

2012

2013

2014

2015

9M16

* December 2015 loan base is not comparable with previous reports, due to customer migration to larger segments and changes to comply with TFRS 8

800

36%

36%

37%

Re tail

400

26%

27%

27%

26%

25%

38% 38%

SME

9M16

2017 Outlook

Corporate Loans

  • Mainly from commerce, gems and jewelry, and utilities

  • Growth target from large public/private investment projects; focusing on construction, construction materials, and real estate

  • Focus on industries related to domestic consumption and tourism

SME

Loans

  • Mainly from short-term domestic credits from construction and construction materials, hotels and restaurants, food and beverage, and automotive and parts

  • Growth target reflects domestic consumption demand, government stimulus measures, and international trade benefits of AEC

  • Focus industries: construction, construction materials, automotive and parts, and hardware

Retail Loans

  • Mainly from mortgage loans, with cautious growth by selecting high potential customers and proactively monitoring loan portfolio quality

  • Sustainable growth target in line with industry; maintain lead market position in key products

  • Focus on potential target customers with acceptable risk; proactively monitor and strictly control loan portfolio quality

Loan Definition

Corporate Loans: Loans of KBank and KBank's Subsidiaries in Corporate Segments (annual sales turnover > Bt400mn)

SME Loans: Loans of KBank and KBank's Subsidiaries in SME Segments (annual sales turnover ≤ Bt400mn)

Retail Loans: Loans of KBank and KBank's Subsidiaries in Retail Segments

Other Loans: Loans in Enterprise Risk Management Division (NPL + Performing Restructured Loans) and other loan types

Note: Since 1Q13, as per the Bank of Thailand's requirement, the Bank has complied with TFRS 8 (Operating Segments) to present operating results for each key segment in financial reports

8

Kasikornbank pcl published this content on 18 January 2017 and is solely responsible for the information contained herein.
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