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Kosmos Energy Ltd : Historic lows

08/14/2012 | 09:28am
Opinion : Bearish under 0 USD
Target price : 8 USD
Stop loss: 9.6 USD
NYSE
Oil / Gas Exploration / Production
Kosmos Energy is an oil and gas exploration and production company. The Company's discoveries include hydrocarbon resources offshore along West Africa's Atlantic coast.

The company has a high level of valuation as shown by the “enterprise value/revenue” ratio at 6.52x for the current year. Besides, according to the analysts polled by Thomson Reuters, the earnings per share have been recently downgraded.

Technical analysis shows a bearish trend in the short-term: indeed, prices are very close to a major support area located at USD 9.29 which once broken could extend the downward movement. Moreover, moving averages are trending down which reduces the probability for a short-term rebound.
The most active investors could initiate a short position after the breakdown of the support to take advantage of prices decline. However, if the stock goes beyond this support, we recommend to liquidate the position, hence a stop market is placed above USD 9.29.
Kosmos Energy Ltd : Kosmos Energy Ltd : Historic lows
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Financial Ratios

Size 2013e 2014e
Capitalization 4 173 M$ -
Company Value 4 588 M$ 4 496 M$
Valuation 2013e 2014e
PER (Price / EPS) 46,4x 43,9x
Capitalization / Revenue 4,13x 3,85x
EV / Revenue 4,54x 4,15x
EV / EBITDA 6,67x 6,18x
Yield (DPS / Price) - -
Profitability 2013e 2014e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 30,3% 34,2%
operating laverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) 2,57x 2,92x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 8,87% 8,66%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 6,64% 5,73%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 18,7% 22,2%
Rate of Dividend - -
Balance Sheet Analysis 2013e 2014e
CAPEX / Sales   48,5% 60,1%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 54,8% 58,6%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 1,34x 1,51x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 0,60x 0,44x
Income Statement Evolution
Kosmos Energy Ltd : Income Statement Evolution
More Financials
EPS Revisions
Kosmos Energy Ltd : EPS Revisions
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