Log in
E-mail
Password
Remember
Forgot password ?
Become a member for free
Sign up
Sign up
Settings
Settings
Dynamic quotes 
OFFON

4-Traders Homepage  >  Equities  >  London Stock Exchange  >  Legal & General Group Plc    LGEN   GB0005603997

SummaryQuotesChartsNewsAnalysisCalendarCompanyFinancialsConsensusRevisions 
News SummaryMost relevantAll newsSector news 

Legal & General Group Plc : Legal & General Property forecasts improved commercial property returns in 2013

share with twitter share with LinkedIn share with facebook
share via e-mail
0
02/07/2013 | 06:05pm CET

06 February 2013

In today's Fundamentals briefing, Legal & General Property's (LGP) Director of Research, Rob Martin, forecast improved UK commercial property returns in 2013, with a continued polarisation between the best and worst performing assets.

Whilst 2013 economic growth is likely to remain sluggish, there are signs that property returns are set to improve. An easing in commercial real estate credit markets and the persuasive valuation case for UK commercial property should mean that prices for the market as a whole will be broadly stable in the next 12 months, in contrast to a fall of approximately 3% over 2012 (source: IPD Quarterly Index for all property).  Total returns are therefore likely to be dominated by income return, currently at 6%.  Given the attractive level of yield, whilst sentiment is likely to remain relatively volatile, LGP sees upside risk to medium-term total returns from a positive repricing of property as an asset class.

"Three key drivers underpin our more positive outlook for 2013. First, central banks look determined to boost growth and this has fed through to our economic growth forecasts, which have been marked higher.  This gradual improvement should translate into greater occupier confidence in bearing the cost of moving into modern, well-located buildings. But given relatively weak growth in absolute terms, the majority of new lettings are likely to be moves from substandard, poorly-located buildings rather than outright expansion" explained Rob.

"Second, there is evidence of an easing in commercial real estate credit markets. US and emerging market banks, insurance companies and debt funds are increasingly originating new debt capital to the sector and there has been a greater willingness amongst the UK banks to lend to commercial property in recent months.  However, these positive signs must not be over played - appetite from new lenders remains very selective and is generally focused on originating low-risk loans secured against high quality assets.

Our third driver for optimism on future returns is the valuation case," said Rob. "The risk premium offered by investment in commercial real estate is comparatively attractive against historic averages."

Despite these more positive signs, LGP holds a strong view that conditions will remain highly challenging for certain property sectors and asset types in the medium term. Conversely, certain parts of the market offer better than average performance potential. Delivering outperformance for investors will be a blend of good strategic positioning and diligent stock selection and asset management.

"A number of subsectors which have been shunned by the risk adverse environment are now priced to deliver above-average returns.  We favour the higher-yielding sections of the office and industrial markets, primarily outside of London. To ensure that assets can deliver, the focus is on those which by virtue of their specification, their local market and microlocation can find tenants through the cycle and do not depend on a robust economic recovery. Within London, opportunities to drive strong returns are set to be linked to a far greater degree to transport infrastructure improvements and particular occupier hotspots than has been the case in recent years.

"By contrast, we view the prospects for many retail property sub-sectors as below average, due to the challenges of e-retailing, the growing role of supermarkets in selling non-food items and the relative weakness of consumer spending.  One of the key barometers of success will be ensuring that rents are priced at levels that allow retailers to trade profitably.  We do, however, believe that the strength of the retail market in London, benefiting as it does from the growth in international tourism, is a sustainable long-term trend.

"We also see significant opportunities to invest in a wider spectrum of real estate assets, including student accommodation and health care. Among the advantages to these sectors is the availability of long, index-linked contracts which provide a good match for many investors' liabilities."

Notes to editors

Legal & General Property (LGP) is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Legal & General Investment Management (LGIM), one of Europe's largest institutional asset managers and a major global investor. LGIM manages approximately £391bn of assets on behalf of more than 3,300 clients (30 September 2012) and provides products and solutions spanning all asset classes. LGP is the third largest institutional property fund manager in the UK, managing or co-managing 16 separate funds or vehicles and two segregated mandates with an aggregate asset value of £10.4bn as at 30 September 2012. 

These funds include:

Specialist Pooled Funds
The Leisure Fund Limited Partnership; Industrial Property Investment Fund; Arlington Business Parks Partnership; and the English Cities Fund

Single Asset Vehicles
Bracknell Regeneration Partnership; Central Saint Giles Partnership; Performance Retail Limited Partnership and Warrington Retail Limited Partnership

Balanced Funds
Life Fund; Linked Pensions; Linked Life; Managed Fund; Property Unit Trust; UK Property Income Fund; LPI Income Property Fund and the Hybrid Property Fund

LGP's UK-focused fund management platform has built and retained a strong track record of out-performance across the sector. Owing to its size, diversity and penetration, it benefits from best in class banking and property industry contacts which, along with its wealth of in-house skill and expertise, have enabled it to continue to attract and secure high quality market opportunities. Taking a client-centric approach, the business places the highest priority upon integrity and transparency, leveraging upon the significant resources provided by the wider LGIM platform. Sector specialists cover each sphere of the market and are supported by LGP's market-leading research capability.

LGP's sector specialisms cross all facets of the real estate market. In particular, the Company has a major development platform, responsible for delivering West End landmark building, Central Saint Giles, and Agar Street, its high profile Covent Garden office scheme, amongst others, and is currently involved in bringing forward a number of significant town-centre retail and leisure regeneration projects, including Bracknell, Trowbridge, Milton Keynes, Northampton, Hounslow and Eastbourne.

Legal & General Property Limited.

Registered address:
One Coleman Street
London EC2R 5AA.
Registered in England 2091897.

distributed by
share with twitter share with LinkedIn share with facebook
share via e-mail
0
Latest news on LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC
12/09 LEGAL & GENERAL : appoints new CEO of General Insurance business
12/08 LEGAL & GENERAL : *jefferies raises legal & general grou price target to 225 (21..
12/08 LEGAL & GENERAL : build to rent fund hits £1bn
12/07 LEGAL & GENERAL : Build to Rent funds increased to £163;1 billion
12/07 LEGAL & GENERAL : LGIM 2017 market outlook
12/07 LEGAL & GENERAL : Build to Rent funds increased to £1 billion
12/07 LEGAL & GENERAL : Says Build-To-Rent Fund Reaches GBP1.00 Billion
12/06 *TRADERS : Macquarie cuts legal & general grou to 'underperform' ('neutral')
12/05 LEGAL & GENERAL : Building a country that works for everyone
12/05 LEGAL & GENERAL : Sees Structural Growth Opportunities Ahead
More news
Sector news : Investment Management
12/10DJT ROWE PRICE : SEC Asks Money Managers To Reveal Silicon Valley Valuations -- Up..
12/09DJFinancial-Services Firms Start to Scout for New Office Space
12/09DJMORNINGSTAR : SEC Asks Money Managers To Reveal Silicon Valley Valuations
12/09 Exclusive - Blackstone-backed hedge fund offers to buy NorthStar Realty Europ..
12/09DJGenerator Hostels for Sale in Deal Expected to Bring Up to $500 Million
More sector news : Investment Management
News from SeekingAlpha
11/18 Legal & General Group (LGGNY) Investor Presentation - Slideshow
07/05 Bank of England slashes banks' capital requirements
06/29 WALL STREET BREAKFAST : World Leaders Gather For Key Summits
06/29 Moody's lowers outlook on U.K. banking system
2015 Interested In A 5% Dividend? Take A Look At Legal & General
Advertisement
Financials ( GBP)
Sales 2016 1 549 M
EBIT 2016 1 641 M
Net income 2016 1 225 M
Finance 2016 1 359 M
Yield 2016 5,88%
P/E ratio 2016 11,56
P/E ratio 2017 11,49
EV / Sales 2016 8,49x
EV / Sales 2017 8,09x
Capitalization 14 517 M
More Financials
Chart LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC
Duration : Period :
Legal & General Group Plc Technical Analysis Chart | LGEN | GB0005603997 | 4-Traders
Full-screen chart
Technical analysis trends LEGAL & GENERAL G...
Short TermMid-TermLong Term
TrendsBullishBullishNeutral
Technical analysis
Income Statement Evolution
More Financials
Consensus
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus HOLD
Number of Analysts 20
Average target price 2,43  GBP
Spread / Average Target -0,49%
Consensus details
EPS Revisions
More Estimates Revisions
Managers
NameTitle
Nigel D. Wilson Group Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director
John Kingman Chairman
Mark J. Gregory Chief Financial Officer & Executive Director
Rudolph Harold Peter Markham Non-Executive Director
Stuart Godfrey Popham Independent Non-Executive Director
More about the company
Sector and Competitors
1st jan.Capitalization (M$)
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP ..-8.96%18 255
T. ROWE PRICE GROUP IN..7.15%18 647
KKR & CO. L.P.9.88%13 811
HARGREAVES LANSDOWN PL..-18.06%7 360
THE CARLYLE GROUP LP3.71%5 291
EATON VANCE CORP33.77%4 909
More Results