O'Reilly Automotive Inc at Gabelli & Company Automotive Aftermarket Symposium on November 03, 2015 / 10:15PM


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ORLY - O'Reilly Automotive Inc at Gabelli & Company Automotive

Aftermarket Symposium


EVENT DATE/TIME: NOVEMBER 03, 2015 / 10:15PM GMT


CORPORATE PARTICIPANTS Greg Henslee O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. - President & CEO Tom McFall O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. - EVP of Finance & CFO Jeremy Fletcher O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. - VP Finance and Controller


CONFERENCE CALL PARTICIPANTS Brian Sponheimer Gabelli & Company - Analyst


PRESENTATION Brian Sponheimer - Gabelli & Company - Analyst

So our next presenter continues to set a standard for the industry that really only they have been able to surpass, with continued same-store sales growth in the mid- to high-single-digit range. Just an outstanding operator that continues to drive not only operating profit dollars, but expand margins and use that cash flow to both grow their footprint and buy back shares, all of which they've done at a very smart-- that has been smart from a valuation range because, ho-hum, every year O'Reilly has gone up. And this year it's no different with the stock up about $50 year to date.


The Company has about 100 million shares and trades around $260 for about a $26.7 billion equity cap. About-- what I'd I do?



Greg Henslee - O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. - President & CEO

I asked Tom if we traded again at the $260.



Brian Sponheimer - Gabelli & Company - Analyst

$262.47 was not too long ago.



Greg Henslee - O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. - President & CEO

Yes.



Brian Sponheimer - Gabelli & Company - Analyst

$1.1 billion of net debt. $27.8 billion to enterprise value.


We're delighted to have Greg Henslee, the Company's CEO; Tom McFall, the Company's CFO; and Jeremy Fletcher with us today. We will go right into Q&A. And I thank the gentlemen for coming.



Greg Henslee - O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. - President & CEO

Thanks, Brian.


So we wanted to do our standard deck and they didn't want us to, so we're just going to answer questions. You guys have seen the deck before, I bet.




Brian Sponheimer - Gabelli & Company - Analyst

I think at this point few in here don't know who you are.



Greg Henslee - O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. - President & CEO

Oh. Okay.



Brian Sponheimer - Gabelli & Company - Analyst

Let's just talk about the industry in general. We've heard-- the fundamentals continue to be relatively similar to what we've seen over the course of the last three years. Maybe just talk about some of the puts and takes that you see from an industry fundamental basis as we roll through the next couple of years.



Greg Henslee - O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. - President & CEO

Okay. Well, I think some of the positives are that miles driven's done a good pace of increase during the last year or so. The gas price is down. The economy seems to be doing a little better in general. And of course the average age of cars continues to increase, which I think we're all kind of learning for the first time what it means as cars get this old in the United States and, from our perspective, it's very positive.


Cars have proven to take more maintenance and it's the kind of maintenance that people are willing to invest in, because it's not engines and transmissions and differentials that might cause one to decide whether or not they keep the car or whether or not the car should be scrapped or continued to be driven. It's the kind of maintenance that people are willing to invest in because the car has a good drive train and a decent interior and decent exterior and things like that. So, we see that as very positive and we feel like the industry has a lot of tailwinds for that reason.


On I guess the other side, things I think of from a macro perspective, there's always the threat that fuel prices could increase abruptly because of some macroeconomic thing and that, as history has proven, hits miles driven pretty quick. And when that happens, that affects our business and others in our business.


The complexity of vehicles I think is a positive from the perspective that each repair costs a little more money. It's a negative from the perspective that it takes more training on behalf of technicians that work on cars to be able to work on cars. And that's one of our industry's biggest challenges is making sure we have a population of technicians that are able to work in the shops and work on cars that are very computer managed and sensor managed. And that's a pretty big change from back a few years ago, but it's one that we've kind of evolved into. The big challenge now, of course, is just making sure that we continue to force the OEs, because they're unwilling for the most part to do it voluntarily, to provide the aftermarket the information that we need to train our technicians to be the repair specialists that consumers typically expect.



Brian Sponheimer - Gabelli & Company - Analyst

I think it's been undeniable that you've gained a significant amount of market share just by virtue of your comps over the course of the last five years. We're seeing two competitors change how they think about distribution and investing heavily. How do you-- one, how do you continue to gain share if [first-store delivery] rises at some of your main competitors and, two, in the event that price is used as a differentiator, how do you hold price to maintain operating profit dollars?



Greg Henslee - O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. - President & CEO

Yes. Well, we've always had good competitors. I've been with O'Reilly for 31 years. And I remember back 31 years ago the store that I ran was a-- we had tough competitors back then. I mean I fought every day for the business that we did. And today we've got 4,550 store managers out there fighting for business. No customers on the wholesale side give us their business because they think we're this great company or they think that we deserve it because the trade rags recognize us as a leader and all that kind of that stuff. They give it to us because we have store managers that are out there working hard to provide the service levels that allow the shops to be more successful. And we support them with a distribution system that allows them to have the part and say yes; in many cases, more than our competitors.


So, it's a combination of high service level, strong relationships, professional parts people. And it's an ongoing battle. There's no day that we wake up and we feel like that we've got this book of business that's for sure coming to us. We feel like we have to go out and earn it every day. And that's what we say to our store managers and that's what they go out and do.


I think that over the next 5-10 years the competitive landscape's going to change. We'll have new competitors. I think that with AutoZone and Advance beefing up their distribution infrastructure to make availability less of an advantage for companies like us and GPC and others, I think we'll have new competitors because I think they're putting pressure on some of the independent aftermarket players. I think that some of the gains that Advance and AutoZone have had is they've stepped up their distribution and inventory they deploy in their stores. I think they've taken some business away from the more independently-owned part of the aftermarket and I think they'll continue to fall under pressure. And those of us like the NAPA stores and our stores and some of the strong two-step undercar locations, we're in good shape to compete I think with whoever the competitor is and it looks like that's going to change over time.



Brian Sponheimer - Gabelli & Company - Analyst

How much of your recent growth is measurable in such a way that you can see that some of the CSK stores that you acquired in 2008 and 2009 have now reached full maturity where they have first call with their target markets, with the sellers?



Greg Henslee - O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. - President & CEO

Yes. Well, the CSK stores have done great. I don't think we really have any that we would say are-- I think it's-- it's really hard to say that any of our stores are at full maturity. We've got a competitor in every market. And store managers would never say to me or to Jeff Shaw, our operations guys, that they think they've got all the business they can get in that market. I mean that's just never the case. If we thought that, we'd jump in the car and I'd run over the shop and say, well, why is there NAPA invoice on this guy's desk, because there would be. You hardly ever have all of a shop's business.


The CSK stores have ramped up well. Those stores are doing what we would expect them to do from a volume standpoint. We certainly can and will do more business out of what was the old CSK stores, but we're not nearly where those stores can eventually be and will be over time. But I don't think we'll ever get to a point to where we say, yes, those stores finally got there and we're there. It's an ongoing piece of work.



Brian Sponheimer - Gabelli & Company - Analyst

You all have done a terrific job driving operating profit dollars through both sales growth and in taking costs out. The one piece of this business, or really aftermarket in general, that's been missing is price. What's it going to take to see some price inflation absent some of the more commodity-based items that you sell, where we can really see that be the-- where inflation really helps drive that profit dollar?



Greg Henslee - O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. - President & CEO

Yes. One of you guys want to take that or do you--?

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