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Analysis summary4-Traders Strategies 

Panera Bread Co : Upper bound as target

02/22/2013 | 10:33am
Opinion : Bullish above USD 152.4
Target price : USD 164.2
Stop loss: USD 151.7
Restaurants & Bars

Panera Bread shows relatively strong fundamentals and is coming back to attractive price.

In the recent months, the earnings estimates for the next year are regularly revised upward by analysts. With an EPS estimated at USD 7.05 for this year and USD 8.1 for the next year, Panera Bread is currently paid 22.02 and 19.15 times the results.

In the mid-term, the trend is neutral. The stock is trading within a range between USD 155 and USD 164.2. Panera Bread is not likely to continue its downtrend because it is near to the strong USD 152/155 support area, the lower bound of the trading range.

It seems opportune to take a long position at the current price. A confirmation of this pattern would enable the security to reach the USD 164.2 resistance. A stop loss will be set at USD 151.7.

Panera Bread Co : Panera Bread Co : Upper bound as target

© 2013

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Financial Ratios

Size 2015e 2016e
Capitalization 4 217 M$ -
Entreprise Value (EV) 4 167 M$ 4 215 M$
Valuation 2015e 2016e
PER (Price / EPS) 24,5x 22,3x
Capitalization / Revenue 1,54x 1,44x
EV / Revenue 1,53x 1,44x
EV / EBITDA 10,3x 9,78x
Yield (DPS / Price) - -
Price to book (Price / BVPS) 4,81x 4,22x
Profitability 2015e 2016e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 9,59% 9,61%
operating Leverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) - 1,03x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 6,14% 6,12%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 24,0% 25,9%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 23,2% 23,5%
Rate of Dividend - -
Balance Sheet Analysis 2015e 2016e
CAPEX / Sales   8,65% 7,89%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 15,7% 15,8%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 0,26x 0,24x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) -0,12x -0,00x
Income Statement Evolution
More Financials
EPS Revisions
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