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PHILIP MORRIS INTL (PM)

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PHILIP MORRIS INTL : Philip Morris International Inc. (PMI) Reports 2009 Third-Quarter Results

10/22/2009 | 07:05 am

Regulatory News:

  • Reported diluted earnings per share of $0.93 versus $1.01 in 2008, principally due to a $0.08 tax benefit recorded in 2008, as detailed on Schedules 4 and 13
  • Excluding currency, reported diluted earnings per share up 8.9%
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.93 versus the same amount in 2008, including the items detailed on Schedule 12
  • Excluding currency, adjusted diluted earnings per share up 18.3%
  • Increases its forecast for 2009 full-year reported diluted earnings per share to a range of $3.20 to $3.25, from $3.10 to $3.20. Excluding currency, diluted earnings per share are projected to increase by approximately 12%-14%
  • Increased its regular quarterly dividend during the quarter to $0.58 per common share, up by 7.4% from $0.54
  • Spent a total of $1.5 billion to repurchase 31.5 million shares of its common stock in the quarter
  • Completed the purchase of the South African affiliate of Swedish Match for ZAR 1.98 billion (approximately $262 million)

Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE / Euronext Paris: PM) today announced reported diluted earnings per share of $0.93 in the third quarter of 2009, down by 7.9% from $1.01 in the third quarter of 2008, principally due to a $0.08 tax benefit recorded in 2008 as detailed on the attached Schedules 4 and 13. Excluding currency, reported diluted earnings per share were up by 8.9%. Adjusted diluted earnings per share in the third quarter of 2009 and 2008 were $0.93, including the items detailed on the attached Schedule 12. Excluding currency, adjusted diluted earnings per share were up by 18.3%.

?The third quarter underscored our proven ability to deliver excellent results and improve our operating margins, with net revenues, adjusted operating companies income and earnings per share up, on a constant currency basis, by a strong 6.9%, 13.7% and 18.3%, respectively,? said Louis Camilleri, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.

?While we experienced lower organic volume in the quarter, this was largely anticipated given our pricing actions and the on-going impact of the economic crisis on total consumption levels, notably in Spain and Ukraine. Our year-to-date volume decline of 2.1% better reflects our estimated full-year organic volume performance.?

?Our strong operating cash flow of $6.4 billion year-to-date enabled us to reward shareholders with a 7.4% increase in the dividend and our robust share repurchase program has remained uninterrupted since its inception.?

Conference Call

A conference call, hosted by Hermann Waldemer, Chief Financial Officer, with members of the investment community and news media will be webcast at 9:00 a.m. Eastern Time on October 22, 2009. Access is available at www.pmintl.com.

2009 Full-Year Forecast

PMI increases its forecast for 2009 full-year reported diluted earnings per share to a range of $3.20 to $3.25, from $3.10 to $3.20, which includes, at current exchange rates, an unfavorable currency impact of approximately $0.52 per share. Excluding currency, diluted earnings per share are projected to increase by approximately 12%-14%. This guidance includes a pre-tax charge of $135 million ($93 million after-tax), equivalent to $0.04 per share, relating to the Colombian Investment and Cooperation Agreement announced during the second quarter of 2009, and excludes the impact of any potential future acquisitions, asset impairment and exit cost charges, and any unusual events.

The factors described in the Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements section of this release represent continuing risks to these projections.

Dividends and Share Repurchase Program

PMI increased its regular quarterly dividend during the quarter to $0.58, up 7.4% from $0.54, which represents an annualized rate of $2.32 per common share.

During the third quarter, PMI spent $1.5 billion to repurchase 31.5 million shares of its common stock. Since May 2008, when PMI began its previously-announced $13 billion, two-year share repurchase program, the company has spent a total of $9.6 billion to repurchase 209.6 million shares.

Acquisitions and Agreements

On September 14, 2009, PMI completed the purchase of Swedish Match South Africa (Proprietary) Limited (SMSA) for ZAR 1.98 billion (approximately $262 million), including acquired cash and working capital. While this acquisition did not impact third quarter results, it is anticipated to be immediately marginally accretive to PMI's earnings per share.

2009 THIRD-QUARTER CONSOLIDATED RESULTS

Management reviews operating companies income (OCI), which is defined as operating income before corporate expenses and amortization of intangibles, to evaluate segment performance and to allocate resources. In the following discussion, the term ?net revenues? refers to net revenues, excluding excise taxes, unless otherwise stated. Management also reviews OCI, operating margins and EPS on an adjusted basis (which may exclude the impact of currency and other items such as acquisitions or asset impairment and exit charges), EBITDA and net debt. Management believes it is appropriate to disclose these measures to help investors analyze business performance and trends. For a reconciliation of operating companies income to operating income, see the Condensed Statements of Earnings contained in this release. Reconciliations of adjusted measures to corresponding GAAP measures are also provided in this release. References to total international cigarette market, total cigarette market, total market and market shares are PMI estimates based on a number of sources. Comparisons are to the same prior-year period unless otherwise stated.

NET REVENUES

PMI Net Revenues* ($ Millions)

 

Third Quarter

      Excl.

2009

2008

Change

Currency

European Union $2,408 $2,671 (9.8)% 1.5%
Eastern Europe, Middle East & Africa 1,830 2,109 (13.2)% 6.9%
Asia 1,651 1,610 2.5% 3.0%
Latin America & Canada

698

563

24.0% 43.5%
Total PMI $6,587 $6,953 (5.3)% 6.9%

* Net revenues, excluding excise taxes.

Net revenues of $6.6 billion were down by 5.3% due to unfavorable currency of $846 million. Excluding currency, net revenues increased by 6.9%, primarily driven by favorable pricing of $590 million across all business segments, and the favorable impact of the 2008 Rothmans Inc., Canada acquisition, partly offset by unfavorable volume/mix, primarily in the EU and EEMA Regions. Excluding currency and acquisitions, net revenues increased by 4.1%.

OPERATING COMPANIES INCOME

PMI Operating Companies Income ($ Millions)

 

Third Quarter

      Excl.

2009

2008

Change

Currency

European Union $1,267 $1,325 (4.4)% 6.7%
Eastern Europe, Middle East & Africa 761 946 (19.6)% 11.1%
Asia 653 558 17.0% 9.1%
Latin America & Canada

226

110

+100.0% +100.0%
Total PMI $2,907 $2,939 (1.1)% 14.2%

Operating income declined 1.4% to $2.9 billion as shown on Schedule 1. Reported operating companies income declined 1.1% to $2.9 billion, due to unfavorable currency of $449 million. Excluding currency and the favorable impact of acquisitions of 3.1 percentage points of growth, operating companies income was up by 11.1%, driven by higher pricing, partly offset by unfavorable volume/mix.

Adjusted operating companies income declined 1.5% as shown in the table below and detailed on Schedule 11.

PMI Operating Companies Income ($ Millions)

 

Third Quarter

2009

 

2008

 

Change

Reported Operating Companies Income $2,907 $2,939 (1.1)%
Asset impairment and exit costs 1 13
Adjusted Operating Companies Income $2,908 $2,952 (1.5)%
Adjusted OCI Margin* 44.1% 42.5% 1.6 p.p.

*Margins are calculated as adjusted operating companies income, divided by net revenues, excluding excise taxes.

Excluding the unfavorable impact of currency, adjusted operating companies income margin was up by 2.7 percentage points to 45.2% as detailed on Schedule 11.

SHIPMENT VOLUME & MARKET SHARE

PMI Cigarette Shipment Volume by Segment (Million Units)

 

Third Quarter

2009

 

2008

 

Change

European Union 61,047 64,063 (4.7)%
Eastern Europe, Middle East & Africa 77,769 81,405 (4.5)%
Asia 54,484 55,946 (2.6)%
Latin America & Canada

25,978

24,500

6.0%
Total PMI 219,278 225,914 (2.9)%

PMI's cigarette shipment volume of 219.3 billion units was down by 2.9%, reflecting: gains in Latin America & Canada, from the acquisition of Rothmans Inc., offset by declines in the EU and EEMA due to the impact of the economic crisis, primarily in Spain and Ukraine; unfavorable comparisons due to a strong third quarter in 2008, mainly in EEMA; and declines in Asia due to trade inventory movements in Pakistan subsequent to the excise tax increase of June 2009. On an organic basis, which excludes acquisitions, PMI's cigarette shipment volume was down by 4.0%. However, on a year-to-date basis through September 2009, organic volume was down by 2.1%, which is more in line with PMI's expectations for the full year 2009.

Despite strong growth in Asia, total cigarette shipments of Marlboro of 76.9 billion units were down by 4.3%, primarily due to market declines in the EU and EEMA, largely due to the effects of the economic crisis in Spain and a softening of the premium segment in Russia and Ukraine. Total cigarette shipments of L&M of 23.4 billion units were down by 2.8%, with double-digit growth in the EU, offset primarily by a decline in Russia. Driven by a decrease in shipments in Russia and Ukraine, total cigarette shipments of Chesterfield declined 15.1%. Total cigarette shipments of Parliament were down by 4.1%, driven by declines in EEMA, partly offset by double-digit growth in Asia. Total cigarette shipments of Virginia Slims declined 5.5%, reflecting a decline in EEMA, partly offset by growth in all other regions. Total cigarette shipments of Lark increased by 9.1%, driven by strong growth in Turkey, and Bond Street increased by 4.3%, primarily in Russia.

Total shipment volume of other tobacco products (OTP), in cigarette equivalent units, grew by 4.7%, primarily fueled by Canada and the Nordics. Excluding acquisitions, shipment volume of OTP was down by 9.8%, primarily due to lower volume in Poland, reflecting the impact of the excise tax alignment of pipe tobacco to roll-your-own in the first quarter of 2009. Total shipment volume for cigarettes and OTP was down by 2.8%, and down by 4.1% excluding acquisitions.

PMI's market share performance improved in a number of markets, including Algeria, Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Bulgaria, Canada, the Dominican Republic, Egypt, Hungary, Korea, Mexico, Pakistan, the Philippines, Portugal, Russia, Slovakia, Switzerland, Turkey and Ukraine.

EUROPEAN UNION (EU)

2009 Third-Quarter Results

In the EU, net revenues declined by 9.8% to $2.4 billion, mainly due to unfavorable currency of $304 million. Excluding the impact of currency and acquisitions, net revenues increased by 1.1%, primarily reflecting higher pricing of $173 million across most markets, including a favorable comparison with 2008 in the Czech Republic, which more than offset unfavorable volume/mix of $144 million, largely due to total market declines and unfavorable distributor inventory movements.

Operating companies income declined by 4.4% to $1.3 billion, primarily due to unfavorable currency of $147 million. Excluding the impact of currency and acquisitions, operating companies income grew by 6.0%, primarily reflecting favorable pricing that more than offset unfavorable volume/mix.

Adjusted operating companies income declined by 5.0% as shown in the table below and detailed on Schedule 11.

EU Operating Companies Income ($ Millions)

 

Third Quarter

2009

 

2008

 

Change

Reported Operating Companies Income $1,267 $1,325 (4.4)%
Asset impairment and exit costs 1 10
Adjusted Operating Companies Income $1,268 $1,335 (5.0)%
Adjusted OCI Margin* 52.7% 50.0% 2.7 p.p.

*Margins are calculated as adjusted operating companies income, divided by net revenues, excluding excise taxes.

Excluding the unfavorable impact of currency, adjusted operating companies income margin was up by 2.2 percentage points to 52.2% as detailed on Schedule 11.

The total cigarette market in the EU declined by 1.6%. Adjusted for the favorable impact of the trade inventory distortion in the Czech Republic in anticipation of the January 2008 excise tax increase, the total cigarette market declined by 2.3%. The decline primarily reflects the impact of worsening economic conditions in Spain that were compounded by tax-driven price increases in June 2009.

PMI's cigarette shipment volume in the EU declined by 4.7%, primarily reflecting a lower total market as described above, and unfavorable distributor inventory movements, mainly in Spain.

PMI's market share in the EU was down by 0.2 share points to 38.9%. Adjusted for the trade inventory movements in the Czech Republic, PMI's market share was flat, as gains, primarily in Austria, Belgium and the Czech Republic, were offset by share declines in France, Poland, Spain and the U.K. Marlboro's share in the EU was down by 0.4 share points, reflecting a lower share in France, Germany and Spain, partially offset by a higher share in Italy, Poland and Portugal. The continuing roll-out of brand initiatives included, during the quarter, the Marlboro Red pack upgrade in Austria, France and Italy, the nationwide launch of Marlboro Gold Original in Belgium and the Netherlands, Marlboro Gold Advance in Norway and Portugal and Marlboro Gold Touch in Hungary. L&M continued to perform well in the EU, with market share up by 0.9 points to 5.7%, primarily driven by gains in Germany, Slovakia and Spain.

In the Czech Republic, the total cigarette market was up 10.3%, reflecting a favorable comparison to 2008, which was adversely affected by trade inventory movements related to the January 2008 excise tax increase. Adjusted for this distortion, the total market is estimated to have declined by 10.8%, due mainly to tax-driven price increases in the third quarter of 2008 and industry price increases in 2009. PMI's shipments were flat and adjusted market share increased by an estimated 3.6 points to 50.5%.

In France, the total cigarette market was up by 4.7%, primarily due to reduced travel abroad as a result of the economic crisis. PMI's shipments were up by 2.9%. Market share decreased by 0.5 points to 40.1%, driven by a lower share for Marlboro, down by 0.9 points to 26.2%, reflecting an overall decline in the premium segment. However, PMI's share of the premium segment was stable due to a higher share for the Philip Morris brand, up by 0.5 market share points.

In Germany, the total cigarette market was down by 2.8%, primarily reflecting the impact of the June 2009 price increase. PMI's shipments were down by 3.1%, whilst market share was essentially flat at 35.3%, despite the extended availability of certain competitor products at old retail prices and in the 17 cigarettes per pack format. PMI's share performance reflected a higher share for L&M, up 1.4 share points, largely offset by a lower Marlboro share, down by 1.2 share points to 21.8%.

In Italy, the total cigarette market was down by 1.9%, mainly reflecting the impact of price increases in February 2009. Although PMI's shipments were down by 3.4%, mainly due to the total market decline and adverse distributor inventory movements, market share was flat at 54.5%, primarily reflecting a 0.5 share point growth by Marlboro to 23.1%, fueled by the recent successful launch of Marlboro Gold Touch, offset by a share decline for Diana.

In Poland, the total cigarette market was up by 8.3%, primarily reflecting the favorable impact of trade inventory movements following the depletion of old tax sticker inventories, during the second quarter of 2009, in compliance with anti-forestalling regulation. Although PMI's shipments were up by 5.5%, market share was down by 0.9 points to 36.1%, primarily reflecting lower share in the super low price segment, partly offset by higher Marlboro share, up by 1.7 share points to 9.5%.

In Spain, the total cigarette market was down by 10.2%, due primarily to the adverse economic environment, the price increases of January and June 2009 and a decline in tourism. PMI's shipments were down by 23.5%, reflecting the lower total market and the impact of unfavorable distributor inventory movements. Although PMI's market share was down by 0.2 points to 32.1%, share was up 0.3 points compared to the second quarter 2009. Marlboro share, whilst down by 1.5 points to 15.3%, was essentially flat compared to the second quarter 2009. Market share of L&M was up by 2.3 share points.

EASTERN EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA (EEMA)

2009 Third-Quarter Results

In EEMA, net revenues decreased by 13.2% to $1.8 billion, due to unfavorable currency of $425 million. Excluding the impact of currency and acquisitions, net revenues grew by 6.7%, driven by favorable pricing of $263 million, primarily in Russia, Turkey and Ukraine, which more than offset unfavorable volume/mix of $121 million.

Operating companies income decreased by 19.6% to $761 million, due to unfavorable currency of $290 million. Excluding the impact of currency and acquisitions, operating companies income was up by a robust 10.6%, driven by strong growth in profitability in Russia, Turkey and Ukraine, mainly due to higher pricing.

EEMA Operating Companies Income ($ Millions)

 

Third Quarter

2009

 

2008

 

Change

Reported Operating Companies Income $761 $946 (19.6)%
Asset impairment and exit costs 0 0
Adjusted Operating Companies Income $761 $946 (19.6)%
Adjusted OCI Margin* 41.6% 44.9% (3.3) p.p.

*Margins are calculated as adjusted operating companies income, divided by net revenues, excluding excise taxes.

Excluding the impact of unfavorable currency, adjusted operating companies income margin was up by 1.7 percentage points to 46.6% as detailed on Schedule 11.

PMI's cigarette shipment volume decreased by 4.5%, principally due to: Ukraine, which suffered from the unfavorable impact of a series of tax-driven price increases, the largest of which was implemented in May of this year that raised PMI's prices by 22% to 50%, and worsening economic conditions; Romania, reflecting a double-digit total cigarette market decline following tax-driven price increases in 2009; and Turkey, reflecting unfavorable trade inventory movements following price increases in 2009. This decline was partially offset by increased cigarette shipment volume in Algeria, Egypt and several markets in the Middle East.

In Russia, PMI's shipment volume decreased by 0.8%. Shipment volume of PMI's premium portfolio was down by 15.2%, primarily due to declines in Marlboro and Parliament of 20.8% and 8.0%, respectively, reflecting down-trading from the premium segment. In the mid-price segment, shipment volume of Chesterfield was down by 10.7%, partially offset by Muratti, up by 1.5%. In the low-price segment, shipment volume of Bond Street and Optima was up by 32.4% and 22.7%, respectively. According to a new retail audit panel implemented with AC Nielsen this year, which more accurately reflects the coverage of the market, PMI's market share of 25.6% was up by 0.6 points. Parliament, in the super-premium segment, was up by 0.1 share point and Marlboro, in the premium segment, was down 0.2 share points, but stable compared to the second quarter 2009.

In Turkey, PMI's shipment volume was down by 4.1%, driven by trade inventory movements following the price increase in early July 2009. Total PMI's market share of 43.2% grew by 1.6 points, driven by Parliament, up by 0.6 share points, and Lark Recess Blue, launched in the fourth-quarter of 2008, with a share of 4.2%.

In Ukraine, PMI's shipment volume declined 23.0%, broadly in line with the total market contraction, reflecting a worsening economy and the impact of significant tax-driven price increases. Total PMI's market share was up by 0.1 share point to 35.6%, with share gains for both premium Parliament and mid-price Chesterfield offset by lower Marlboro share.

ASIA

2009 Third-Quarter Results

In Asia, net revenues increased by 2.5% to $1.7 billion. Excluding the impact of unfavorable currency of $7 million, net revenues grew by 3.0%, driven by favorable pricing of $72 million, which more than offset unfavorable volume/mix of $24 million.

Operating companies income grew by 17.0% to reach $653 million, primarily fueled by higher pricing and favorable currency. Excluding the impact of currency, driven by the Japanese Yen, operating companies income grew by 9.1%.

Asia Operating Companies Income ($ Millions)

 

Third Quarter

2009

 

2008

 

Change

Reported Operating Companies Income $653 $558 17.0%
Asset impairment and exit costs 0 0
Adjusted Operating Companies Income $653 $558 17.0%
Adjusted OCI Margin* 39.6% 34.7% 4.9 p.p.

*Margins are calculated as adjusted operating companies income, divided by net revenues, excluding excise taxes.

Excluding the impact of favorable currency, adjusted operating companies income margin was up by 2.0 percentage points to 36.7% as detailed on Schedule 11.

PMI's cigarette shipment volume decreased by 2.6%, mainly due to declines in Indonesia, reflecting the timing of the Ramadan holiday, Japan, reflecting a lower total market, and Pakistan, resulting from a trade inventory correction subsequent to the June 2009 excise tax increase, partially offset by growth in Korea. Shipment volume of Marlboro grew by 5.9%, reflecting a strong performance across the region, particularly in Indonesia, Japan, Korea and the Philippines.

In Indonesia, PMI's shipment volume declined by 1.1%, reflecting the timing of the Ramadan holiday, partly offset by growth from Marlboro, up by 2.9%, benefiting from the launch of Marlboro Black Menthol in March, and A Mild, which has established itself as Indonesia's leading cigarette brand franchise in terms of market share with shipment volume up by 9.4%.

In Japan, the total cigarette market declined by 3.0%. Adjusting for various factors, including the impact of the nationwide implementation of vending machine age verification in July 2008 and trade inventory movements, the total market is estimated to have declined by approximately 3.9%. PMI's shipments were down by 3.2%, broadly in line with the total market decline. PMI's market share of 24.0% was flat and share of Marlboro increased by 0.4 points to 10.6%, driven by the August 2008 launch of Marlboro Black Menthol, the November 2008 launch of Marlboro Filter Plus One and the June 2009 launch of Marlboro Black Menthol One. Market share of Lark was flat at 6.6%, but up versus the second quarter 2009, benefiting from the March 2009 national roll-out of Lark Classic Milds, and the introduction of Lark Mint Splash which



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