13 November 2017
With the release of the Senate's tax reform plan highlighting important differences from the House of Representative's version, the equity markets appear vulnerable to headlines, particularly concerning the corporate tax provision. The high yield market may also come under pressure as it did last week, especially if reports continue to suggest a cap on the deductibility of interest payments. The movement of the high-yield market is often a warning sign for equity markets, so investors will keep their eyes on high-yield performance, as well as small- and mid-cap performance.
The reaction of small business owners should also not be overlooked. 'Small business owners are very much attuned to what the tax reform package will offer them,' Krosby said. 'Small business is important to this economy because two out of every three new jobs has come from a small business owner.' The White House, she adds, will follow the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index very closely on Tuesday.
In addition to the PPI-FD and CPI, important data releases will include manufacturing numbers from Wednesday's Empire State Manufacturing Survey, Thursday's Industrial Production report and Friday's Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index. Housing data will be followed closely from the Housing Market Index on Thursday and Housing Starts on Friday. The Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey will also be released on Thursday.
To talk to Quincy Krosby about her views of the market, contact Lisa M. Bennett or Dara Scerbo.
Read Quincy Krosby's full Q4 Market Commentary: The End Game
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