Log in
Forgot password ?
Become a member for free
Sign up
Sign up
Dynamic quotes 

4-Traders Homepage  >  Equities  >  CAIRO AND ALEXANDRIA STOCK EXCHANGE  >  Qatar National Bank Alahly SAE    QNBA   EGS60081C014

Mes dernières consult.
Most popular
News SummaryMost relevantAll newsofficial PublicationsSector newsTweets

Qatar National Bank Alahly SAE : QNB sees dip in Southeast Asia growth in Q4

share with twitter share with LinkedIn share with facebook
share via e-mail
01/14/2018 | 05:07am CEST

Tribune News Network Doha Sou the ast Asia (SEA) has had one of the most consistent growth uptrends despite some volatility in global growth in recent years, Qatar National Bank (QNB) said in its Economic Commentary released on Saturday. "Growth has increased each year and averaged a robust 4.9 percent since 2014," it said. SEA countries now collectively comprise over 5 percent of global GDP, ranking third among emerging market economies behind China and India. Much of this growth has been led by domestic fiscal policies aimed at closing the region's infrastructure gap, supportive monetary policy, favourable demographics and firming global trade, it said. "However, we have developed a growth tracker that suggests that SEA growth may have dipped in Q4 2017 as a result of a cooling in public and private investment. "To track SEA's increasing prominence in the global economy we have developed a model to monitor the region's economic growth in the latest quarter. "Our focus is on the largest five economies in the region: Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand, Malaysia, and Vietnam. More specifically, we model each country's GDP growth using higher frequency monthly data and combine the models to construct an aggregate indicator for SEA growth. "Broadly speaking, the models use higher frequency monthly data to predict quarterly real GDP growth in the latest or current quarter before the actual data is released." The models incorporate five main elements. First, the report said, QNB utilised industrial or manufacturing production indices as a proxy for investment. Industrial production is closely linked to GDP growth across all five countries and provides comprehensive sectoral coverage of the economy, including manufacturing, agriculture, construction and energy- the largest and most important sectors in SEA. The second element was retail sales. Monthly retail sales data exist for each country in sample except for the Philippines. This measure essentially captures consumption, which accounts for over half of the aggregated GDP amongst the SEA economies in question. The third was changes in the exchange rates relative to the US dollar. Across all four jurisdictions, exchange rate movements are reliable predictors of changes in net exports. As currencies weaken, it depresses imports and boosts the competitiveness of exports. Fourth, the report said, QNB included monthly changes in the fiscal balance to reflect current and capital spending by the government. "Considering the strong push by governments in the region to boost public investment spending, this is an important measure to capture that impact on growth in addition to the spillover effect felt through industrial production." Fifth was growth recorded in the previous quarter. "Often positive or negative sentiment from the previous quarter can impact consumer and investment intentions in the current period. The standard method to capture this type of dynamic is to include previous or lagged values of growth of one quarter," the report said.

(c) 2018 Qatar Tribune. All Rights Reserved. Provided by SyndiGate Media Inc. (Syndigate.info)., source Middle East & North African Newspapers

share with twitter share with LinkedIn share with facebook
share via e-mail
04/16QATAR NATIONAL BANK ALAHLY SAE : Global LNG demand to grow 5% over 2023-2030
04/15QATAR NATIONAL BANK ALAHLY SAE : North Field to raise Qatar's LNG output 30% by ..
04/13QATAR NATIONAL BANK ALAHLY SAE : Banks, industry drag down QSE early Wednesday
04/10QATAR NATIONAL BANK ALAHLY SAE : 1st quarter results
04/09QATAR NATIONAL BANK ALAHLY SAE : Supply of Fresh Fruits and Vegetables
04/09QATAR NATIONAL BANK ALAHLY SAE : Skip & Sewage Removal, Degreasing Services and ..
04/08QATAR NATIONAL BANK ALAHLY SAE : QNB raises Qatar 2018 GDP growth forecast to 2...
04/07QATAR NATIONAL BANK ALAHLY SAE : World Elite Mastercard of QNB wins ‘Best ..
04/02QATAR NATIONAL BANK ALAHLY SAE : Supply of Materials for Bakery and Confectioner..
04/02QATAR NATIONAL BANK ALAHLY SAE : Supply of Beverages - Hot (Tea, Coffee, Cocoa, ..
More news
Financials ( EGP)
Sales 2018 13 390 M
EBIT 2018 10 006 M
Net income 2018 6 605 M
Debt 2018 -
Yield 2018 -
P/E ratio 2018 7,56
P/E ratio 2019 5,74
Capi. / Sales 2018 3,59x
Capi. / Sales 2019 2,95x
Capitalization 48 101 M
Duration : Period :
Qatar National Bank Alahly Technical Analysis Chart | QNBA | EGS60081C014 | 4-Traders
Income Statement Evolution
Mean consensus OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts 3
Average target price 58,5  EGP
Spread / Average Target 8,4%
EPS Revisions
Mohamed Osman Ibrahim El-Dib Chairman & Managing Director
Ihab Ibrahim Rafaat Chief Operating Officer & IR Contact
Sameh Badry Chief Financial Officer
Tarek El-Mahmoudy Head-Technical Management & Banking Services
Tarek Abdel Raouf Magdy Fayed Executive Director & Chief Business Officer