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QEP Resources, Inc. : Technical rebound is forming

01/18/2012 | 01:10pm
Opinion : Bullish above USD 25
Target price : USD 30
NYSE
Integrated Oil & Gas

The company QEP Resources Inc. shows relatively strong fundamentals and is coming back to attractive price.

From a fundamental viewpoint, the company seems weak valued in terms of enterprise value. Basing on the current price, the enterprise's capitalization, reprocessed its financial position net of debt, representing approximately 2.26 times its turnover. These value match only 14.12 and 12.37 times the two next years' results. In addition, the company's earnings prospects have been revised upwards in recent months by analysts covering the enterprise. On a fundamental plan and on the basis of current prices, the share seems correctly valued in terms of enterprise value. However, earnings per share for the next two years has been recently revised upwards by analysts covering the stock. This positive fact opens the way to a better stock's evaluation from market share.

Technically, the company has a negative configuration on the short term and under the resistance area of 30.05 USD as identified by downward trend of moving average 20-days, at the moment situated at 29.7 USD. However, after had fallen about 14% in the past sessions, the share is at the moment in oversold condition and in daily chart close to an important technical support placed at 24.82 USD. This level might stop bearish trend in the short term.

Within trading strategy, we could take advantage from proximity and relevance of support's level currently testing for buy with a good timing QEP Resources, Inc. 's share. The potential gain is 67.8 %. We could place a stop loss at 24.1 in order to cover a new downwards trend.

QEP Resources, Inc. : QEP Resources, Inc. : Technical rebound is forming
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Financial Ratios

Size 2014e 2015e
Capitalization 6 137 M$ -
Entreprise Value (EV) 9 746 M$ 9 877 M$
Valuation 2014e 2015e
PER (Price / EPS) 30,1x 20,6x
Capitalization / Revenue 2,02x 1,86x
EV / Revenue 3,21x 2,99x
EV / EBITDA 6,11x 5,51x
Yield (DPS / Price) 0,23% 0,23%
Profitability 2014e 2015e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 18,4% 17,6%
operating Leverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) 1,79x 0,48x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 6,51% 9,05%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) - -
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 6,30% 7,80%
Rate of Dividend 7,06% 4,84%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2014e 2015e
CAPEX / Sales   56,0% 56,0%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 46,8% 48,6%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) - -
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 2,26x 2,09x
Income Statement Evolution
QEP Resources Inc : Income Statement Evolution
More Financials
EPS Revisions
QEP Resources Inc : EPS Revisions
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