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Analysis summary4-Traders Strategies 

ROYAL DUTCH SHELL : In oversold situation

02/19/2013 | 04:26am
Opinion : Bullish above EUR 24.5
Target price : EUR 25.9
Stop loss: EUR 23.8
Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing

The EUR 24.5 support, currently tested, should allow Royal Dutch Shell to rally again.

Technically, in daily data, even if moving averages are still in a downtrend, a positive reaction in the EUR 24.5 area should stop this trend and allow a technical rebound towards EUR 25.9. Moreover, technical indicators show a significant oversold condition which strengthens this bullish scenario.

Therefore, the proximity of the EUR 24.5 support is an opportunity to take a long position in Royal Dutch Shell. The first goal is a return in the EUR 25.9 resistance area, that is a potential of 5.8 %. In fact, the security has to cross this area in order to re-establish a bullish trend. A stop loss order can be placed under the support currently tested.

Patrick Rejaunier
Copyright (c) 2014

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Financial Ratios

Size 2014e 2015e
Capitalization 228 517 M$ -
Entreprise Value (EV) 257 923 M$ 258 449 M$
Valuation 2014e 2015e
PER (Price / EPS) 10,3x 9,68x
Capitalization / Revenue 0,52x 0,54x
EV / Revenue 0,58x 0,61x
EV / EBITDA 4,29x 4,44x
Yield (DPS / Price) 5,35% 5,70%
Profitability 2014e 2015e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 7,65% 7,85%
operating Leverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) -5,47x -0,27x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 4,84% 5,34%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 8,32% 8,41%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 12,1% 16,3%
Rate of Dividend 55,0% 55,2%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2014e 2015e
CAPEX / Sales   7,59% 7,95%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 10,4% 10,6%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 0,58x 0,64x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 0,49x 0,51x
Income Statement Evolution
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