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26.999 EUR   -1.64%
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Analysis summary4-Traders Strategies 

ROYAL DUTCH SHELL : In oversold situation

02/19/2013 | 04:26am
Opinion : Bullish above EUR 24.5
Target price : EUR 25.9
Stop loss: EUR 23.8
Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing

The EUR 24.5 support, currently tested, should allow Royal Dutch Shell to rally again.

Technically, in daily data, even if moving averages are still in a downtrend, a positive reaction in the EUR 24.5 area should stop this trend and allow a technical rebound towards EUR 25.9. Moreover, technical indicators show a significant oversold condition which strengthens this bullish scenario.

Therefore, the proximity of the EUR 24.5 support is an opportunity to take a long position in Royal Dutch Shell. The first goal is a return in the EUR 25.9 resistance area, that is a potential of 5.8 %. In fact, the security has to cross this area in order to re-establish a bullish trend. A stop loss order can be placed under the support currently tested.


Patrick Rejaunier
© 2013

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Financial Ratios

Size 2015e 2016e
Capitalization 199 632 M$ -
Entreprise Value (EV) 232 410 M$ 234 984 M$
Valuation 2015e 2016e
PER (Price / EPS) 9,67x 8,76x
Capitalization / Revenue 0,50x 0,48x
EV / Revenue 0,59x 0,56x
EV / EBITDA 4,46x 4,09x
Yield (DPS / Price) 6,43% 6,30%
Price to book (Price / BVPS) 1,03x 0,93x
Profitability 2015e 2016e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 7,07% 7,64%
operating Leverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) - 2,48x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 5,17% 5,45%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 6,78% 9,80%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 10,3% 11,1%
Rate of Dividend 62,2% 55,2%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2015e 2016e
CAPEX / Sales   8,37% 8,08%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 10,4% 10,6%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 0,76x 0,56x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 0,63x 0,62x
Income Statement Evolution
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