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ROYAL DUTCH SHELL : In oversold situation

02/19/2013 | 04:26am
Opinion : Bullish above EUR 24.5
Target price : EUR 25.9
Stop loss: EUR 23.8
Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing
The EUR 24.5 support, currently tested, should allow Royal Dutch Shell to rally again.

Technically, in daily data, even if moving averages are still in a downtrend, a positive reaction in the EUR 24.5 area should stop this trend and allow a technical rebound towards EUR 25.9. Moreover, technical indicators show a significant oversold condition which strengthens this bullish scenario.

Therefore, the proximity of the EUR 24.5 support is an opportunity to take a long position in Royal Dutch Shell. The first goal is a return in the EUR 25.9 resistance area, that is a potential of 5.8 %. In fact, the security has to cross this area in order to re-establish a bullish trend. A stop loss order can be placed under the support currently tested.
Patrick Rejaunier
Copyright (c) 2014

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Financial Ratios

Size 2014e 2015e
Capitalization 269 172 M$ -
Entreprise Value (EV) 303 009 M$ 300 953 M$
Valuation 2014e 2015e
PER (Price / EPS) 11,6x 10,9x
Capitalization / Revenue 0,60x 0,61x
EV / Revenue 0,68x 0,68x
EV / EBITDA 4,97x 4,77x
Yield (DPS / Price) 4,57% 4,85%
Profitability 2014e 2015e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 8,57% 9,08%
operating Leverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) -0,15x -
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 5,02% 5,59%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 8,94% 9,31%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 12,4% 12,2%
Rate of Dividend 53,2% 52,7%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2014e 2015e
CAPEX / Sales   7,51% 7,67%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 9,95% 10,8%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 0,56x 0,60x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 0,56x 0,50x
Income Statement Evolution
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL A : Income Statement Evolution
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