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27.3850 EUR   -0.09%
05/29 ROYAL DUTCH SHE : Local activist campaigns from on high, again
05/29DJAXA INVESTMENT : Royal Dutch Shell Plc
05/29DJM&G Inv Management Ltd Form 8.3 - Royal Dutch Shell Plc
Analysis summary4-Traders Strategies 

ROYAL DUTCH SHELL : In oversold situation

02/19/2013 | 04:26am
Opinion : Bullish above EUR 24.5
Target price : EUR 25.9
Stop loss: EUR 23.8
Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing

The EUR 24.5 support, currently tested, should allow Royal Dutch Shell to rally again.

Technically, in daily data, even if moving averages are still in a downtrend, a positive reaction in the EUR 24.5 area should stop this trend and allow a technical rebound towards EUR 25.9. Moreover, technical indicators show a significant oversold condition which strengthens this bullish scenario.

Therefore, the proximity of the EUR 24.5 support is an opportunity to take a long position in Royal Dutch Shell. The first goal is a return in the EUR 25.9 resistance area, that is a potential of 5.8 %. In fact, the security has to cross this area in order to re-establish a bullish trend. A stop loss order can be placed under the support currently tested.


Patrick Rejaunier
© 2013

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Financial Ratios

Size 2015e 2016e
Capitalization 189 580 M$ -
Entreprise Value (EV) 221 673 M$ 225 360 M$
Valuation 2015e 2016e
PER (Price / EPS) 13,6x 11,1x
Capitalization / Revenue 0,57x 0,51x
EV / Revenue 0,66x 0,61x
EV / EBITDA 5,36x 4,46x
Yield (DPS / Price) 6,47% 6,52%
Price to book (Price / BVPS) 1,06x 1,04x
Profitability 2015e 2016e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 6,31% 7,46%
operating Leverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) -1,15x 2,73x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 3,85% 4,83%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 7,33% 7,63%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 7,62% 9,72%
Rate of Dividend 87,8% 72,1%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2015e 2016e
CAPEX / Sales   9,47% 8,30%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 10,8% 10,7%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 0,53x 0,63x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 0,78x 0,71x
Income Statement Evolution
More Financials
EPS Revisions