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ROYAL DUTCH SHELL A (RDSA)

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ROYAL DUTCH SHELL : In oversold situation

02/19/2013 | 04:26am
Opinion : Bullish above EUR 24.5
Target price : EUR 25.9
Stop loss: EUR 23.8
EURONEXT AMSTERDAM
Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing

The EUR 24.5 support, currently tested, should allow Royal Dutch Shell to rally again.

Technically, in daily data, even if moving averages are still in a downtrend, a positive reaction in the EUR 24.5 area should stop this trend and allow a technical rebound towards EUR 25.9. Moreover, technical indicators show a significant oversold condition which strengthens this bullish scenario.

Therefore, the proximity of the EUR 24.5 support is an opportunity to take a long position in Royal Dutch Shell. The first goal is a return in the EUR 25.9 resistance area, that is a potential of 5.8 %. In fact, the security has to cross this area in order to re-establish a bullish trend. A stop loss order can be placed under the support currently tested.

ROYAL DUTCH SHELL : ROYAL DUTCH SHELL : In oversold situation

Patrick Rejaunier
© Zonebourse.com 2013



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Financial Ratios

Size 2015e 2016e
Capitalization 193 278 M$ -
Entreprise Value (EV) 226 706 M$ 229 989 M$
Valuation 2015e 2016e
PER (Price / EPS) 11,5x 9,58x
Capitalization / Revenue 0,53x 0,49x
EV / Revenue 0,63x 0,58x
EV / EBITDA 5,05x 4,34x
Yield (DPS / Price) 6,61% 6,68%
Price to book (Price / BVPS) 1,03x 0,94x
Profitability 2015e 2016e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 6,58% 7,49%
operating Leverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) -0,99x 2,54x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 4,19% 4,95%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 6,15% 6,48%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 8,46% 10,3%
Rate of Dividend 76,2% 64,0%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2015e 2016e
CAPEX / Sales   8,99% 8,18%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 10,8% 10,6%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 0,68x 0,76x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 0,74x 0,69x
Income Statement Evolution
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