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What’s inside:

  • The S&P 500 continues to be range-bound
  • Upper and lower boundaries highlighted
  • Looking for the FOMC today to break the market out from the range

Yesterday was just another day of sideways price action in the S&P 500 (FXCM: SPX500). Today isn’t likely to be much more exciting than days past until after the FOMC rate decision and release of its policy statement at 18:00 GMT.

There are no expectations the Fed will make a change to rates today, so the focus will be on any language changes the Fed might make in its statement which provide further scope into the timeline of a possible rate hike. How the market reacts, time will tell; no predictions on this end will made about which way the Fed will lean with its language and which way the market will move as a result.

The S&P has been suspended in air for about two weeks now, and we have gone over reasons recently why they market is more likely to decline than rise in the short-term. (You can check out details here.) But until either the top or bottom-side of the recent range is broken, then there is little to do except for perhaps fade the upper and lower-bounds.

Resistance is in the 2174/78 vicinity while support comes in around 2160/55. Today would be as good as any day to see either or both sides of the range breached. A clean break of either support or resistance will be needed to pique our interest.

S&P 500: Looking to the FOMC to Spring It Free

See which way the crowd is leaning via the “Speculative Sentiment Index.”

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX.

You can email him at probinson@fxcm.com with any questions or comments.


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