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SAIC Motor Corporation Limited : The area of CNY 12.2 might facilitate a technical rebound

07/24/2012 | 11:48am
Opinion : Bullish above 12.2 CNY
Target price : 13.29 CNY
Stop loss: 11.9 CNY
SHANGHAI STOCK EXCHANGE
Auto / Truck Manufacturers
SAIC Motor is now the largest listed vehicle-making corporation on the Chinese A-share stock market. In 2011, the company restructured its assets and went public. The main businesses include R&D, production and sales of vehicles (including passenger and commercial vehicles) and components (including engine, transmission, power train, chassis, interior and exterior trim, electronic and electric parts, etc.), as well as automotive trade in services ( including auto financing business).
SAIC Motor Corporation Limited shows relatively strong fundamentals and is coming back to attractive price.

According to Surperformance rating, the company is an opportunity for a trading strategy. Indeed, it is a good compromise between its value and its visibility.

Technically, the security fell sharply for several weeks. This fall has lead SAIC Motor toward the CNY 12.2 support area which could become useful as a stepping stone for a technical rebound. The target of this bullish trend is the CNY 13.29 resistance. Even though moving averages are still in a bearish trend, the oversold situation could encourage a renewed interest in the stock.

Considering technical and fundamental elements, it seems to be an appropriate timing to take immediately a long position in SAIC Motor in order to benefit from the CNY 12.2 support area. A first target price will be the CNY 13.29 resistance, ie a potential of 7.2%. Only a crossing of CNY 13.29 would validate a bullish trend in order to aim a higher target price. A stop loss order will be placed under the CNY 12 area.
SAIC Motor Corporation Limited : SAIC Motor Corporation Limited : The area of CNY 12.2 might facilitate a technical rebound
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Financial Ratios

Size 2013e 2014e
Capitalization 170 235 M CNY -
Company Value 135 672 M CNY 141 006 M CNY
Valuation 2013e 2014e
PER (Price / EPS) 7,40x 6,72x
Capitalization / Revenue 0,32x 0,29x
EV / Revenue 0,26x 0,24x
EV / EBITDA 4,10x 4,01x
Yield (DPS / Price) 3,41% 3,48%
Profitability 2013e 2014e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 5,71% 5,81%
operating laverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) - 1,21x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 4,75% 4,77%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 6,95% 6,79%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 16,6% 15,9%
Rate of Dividend 25,2% 23,4%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2013e 2014e
CAPEX / Sales   1,49% 1,34%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 5,69% 3,59%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 0,68x 0,70x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) -1,04x -0,83x
Income Statement Evolution
SAIC Motor Corporation Lim : Income Statement Evolution
More Financials
EPS Revisions
SAIC Motor Corporation Lim : EPS Revisions
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