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Serco Group plc : Back to the GBp 556

12/28/2012 | 04:33am
Opinion : Bullish above GBp 537.5
Target price : GBp 556
Stop loss: GBp 529
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Serco Group’s share price was heavily penalized and is now in an oversold situation near to a solid support area.

After several weeks of fall, the stock is coming back close to the GBp 537.5 support. Moving averages are bearish and technical indicators illustrate the oversold situation. The GBp 537.5 area could cause a positive reaction for the coming trading sessions and allow a technical rebound towards the GBp 556 pivot point.

Considering technical elements, it seems to be an appropriate timing to take a long position in Serco Group in order to benefit from the GBp 537.5 support area. A first target price will be the GBp 556. A stop loss order will be placed under the mid-term support currently tested.

Serco Group plc : Serco Group plc : Back to the GBp 556

© 2012

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Financial Ratios

Size 2014e 2015e
Capitalization 1 164 M GBP -
Entreprise Value (EV) 1 840 M GBP 1 646 M GBP
Valuation 2014e 2015e
PER (Price / EPS) 35,8x
Capitalization / Revenue 0,25x 0,29x
EV / Revenue 0,39x 0,41x
EV / EBITDA 9,48x 10,3x
Yield (DPS / Price) 1,46% 0,23%
Price to book (Price / BVPS) 1,21x 1,43x
Profitability 2014e 2015e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 2,74% 2,47%
operating Leverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) -7,25x -1,55x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) -22,9% 0,61%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 3,90% 2,75%
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 13,8% 3,09%
Rate of Dividend -1,69% 8,36%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2014e 2015e
CAPEX / Sales   1,24% 1,30%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 0,59% 1,84%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) -5,86x 0,22x
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 3,48x 3,01x
Income Statement Evolution
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