Vision 2020: Clear strategy - Strong execution
Joe Kaeser, President and CEO
JP Morgan European Capital Goods CEO Conference | Pennyhill Park, June 16, 2017
Unrestricted © Siemens AG 2017
siemens.com
Notes and forward looking statements
This document contains statements related to our future business and financial performance and future events or developments involving Siemens that may constitute forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by words such as "expect," "look forward to," "anticipate" "intend," "plan," "believe," "seek," "estimate," "will," "project" or words of similar meaning. We may also make forward-looking statements in other reports, in presentations, in material delivered to shareholders and in press releases. In addition, our representatives may from time to time make oral forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on the current expectations and certain assumptions of Siemens' management, of which many are beyond Siemens' control. These are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and factors, including, but not limited to those described in disclosures, in particular in the chapter Risks in the Annual Report. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying expectations not occur or assumptions prove incorrect, actual results, performance or achievements of Siemens may (negatively or positively) vary materially from those described explicitly or implicitly in the relevant forward-looking statement. Siemens neither intends, nor assumes any obligation, to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated.
This document includes - in IFRS not clearly defined - supplemental financial measures that are or may be non-GAAP financial measures. These supplemental financial measures should not be viewed in isolation or as alternatives to measures of Siemens' net assets and financial positions or results of operations as presented in accordance with IFRS in its Consolidated Financial Statements. Other companies that report or describe similarly titled financial measures may calculate them differently.
Due to rounding, numbers presented throughout this and other documents may not add up precisely to the totals provided and percentages may not precisely reflect the absolute figures.
Delivering sustainable profitable growth
Book-to-bill ratio Revenue
Guidance FY 2017:
Guidance FY 2017:
1.09 1.09
Book-to-bill >1.0x 1.07
1.0x
in €bn
75.6
+4% 1)
79.6
Modest comparable growth
+4% 1)
37.939.3
FY 2015
FY 2016
H1 FY 2017
FY 2015
FY 2016
H1 FY 2016
H1 FY 2017
Industrial Business - Profit & Profit margin
Earnings per share
in €bn
+13%
Guidance FY 2017:
Profit margin 11.0 - 12.0%
+22%
in €
+30%
6.74
7.20 - 7.70
7.88.7
4.1
5.0
12.5%
5.18 2)
10.1%
10.8% 10.7%
4.14
H1 FY 2017
FY 2015
FY 2016
H1 FY 2016
H1 FY 2017
FY 2015
FY 2016
Guidance FY 2017
Comparable, i.e. adjusted for currency translation and portfolio effects
Unrestricted © Siemens AG 2017
Excluding €3.66 per share in portfolio gains from the divestments of the hearing aid business and our stake in BSH
Targeted efficiency improvements announced
Macroeconomic environment Siemens perspective on H2 FY 2017
Moderate growth pattern continues; waiting for tangible news on Infra-invest
Recovery momentum continues on broader scale
Consumption supports short cycle growth O-B-O-R1) provides investment inflection
Russia: Upside in Gas and Petrochemical Brazil: Another year wasted - Momentum shifts to Argentina
India: Opportunities all over - could be enhanced with more stringent reforms in
infrastructure
O-B-O-R: One Belt One Road
PG:
Very competitive environment in contracting markets needs very focused go-to-market
Revenue clearly below prior year with subsequent impact on profitability
DF:
Leadership in continued strong short cycle business drives market share gains
Mentor integration and MindSphere rollout weigh on margin; underlying levels OK
PD:
Sector weakness and shift of resource allocation require structural changes
We execute and deliver now & in the future
We are attractively valued
We offer good return
We have a compelling strategy
We have a strong ownership culture
Vision 2020 Milestones Guidance to market €1bn cost savings
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
€1.0bn
€400m
FY15
FY16
More details on pg. 13/14
More details on pg. 15
More details on pg. 16
Underperforming businesses
Project charges (€bn)
The future in mind
Management development
Next generation organizational efficiency ("Fleet of ships")
-3%
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17e
FY 16
H1 FY 17
No negative net impact
Value chain disruption as an opportunity
Average Cap Goods contains GE, ABB, Rockwell, Schneider, Toshiba, Alstom, Philips, Bombardier, Dassault Systèmes, Emerson, Honeywell, Roche and Vestas
Continued dividend increases for three years in a row
(Payout ratio: 40-60% of net income)
€3.00
€3.00
€5.401)
€3.00
+10%
€3.30
+6%
€3.50
+3%
€3.60
FY 2011
FY 2012
FY 2013
FY 2014
FY 2015
FY 2016
FY 2017e
Committed to share buyback
Up to €10bn share buyback within seven years
4.0
2.9 up to 3.0
open volume
Osram share price in €
70
60
50
40
30
Osram spin-off creates value
>+180% return
20 Issue price: €24
CY 2012
CY 2014-2015
CY 2016-2018
July 2013
July 2014
July 2015
July 2016
June 2017
Effect of OSRAM stock distribution to shareholders of €2.40 per share
Clear strategic imperatives
Biggest software business in the space
Building NEXT GENERATION
Healthcare
More details on pg. 20/21
Siemens - the REAL Digital Enterprise
Comprehensive
Integrated
Unique
Creating a leading renewable energy player
>165,000 employees own Siemens shares
Mandatory share ownership for Top Management
Attractive share matching for employees
Compelling management incentive plan fully aligned with capital market forces
"Open" performance reviews based on WHAT and HOW including 360° feedback
More details on page 25
"Always act as if it was your own company"One Siemens Financial Framework
Siemens
Growth:
Siemens > most relevant competitors1)
(Comparable revenue growth)
Capital efficiency
(ROCE2))
15 - 20%
Total cost productivity3) 3 - 5% p.a.
Capital structure
(Industrial net debt/EBITDA)
up to 1.0x
Dividend payout ratio 40 - 60%4)
Profit Margin ranges of businesses (excl. PPA)5)
PG
11 - 15%
WP 5 - 8%
EM
7 - 10%
BT
8 - 11%
MO
6 - 9%
DF
14 - 20%
PD
8 - 12%
HC
15 - 19%
SFS6)
15 - 20%
ABB, GE, Rockwell, Schneider, Toshiba, weighted; 2) Based on continuing and discontinued operations; 3) Productivity measures divided by functional costs (cost of sales, R&D, SG&A expenses) of the group; 4) Of net income excluding exceptional non-cash items; 5) Excl. acquisition related amortization on intangibles; 6) SFS based on return on equity after tax
Value
Strengthen core
Stringent capital allocation
Scale up
Innovation initiative
Customer and market focus
Digitalization at work
Drive performance
Continuous productivity improvement
Stringent project execution
Fix underperforming businesses
Total cost base: Sum of cost of sales, R&D and SG&A expenses
Underperforming businesses (~€14.5bn revenue in FY 2016)
Fiscal
Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2020e
Profit
Margin -4% -3% +1% +3% ~6% >8%
Footprint adjustments ongoing Sharpened scope
~85%
~15%
Fiscal 2017 expectations: In 6% range
Under special management attention
FY 2017 Priorities:
Clear accountability and tight monitoring
Rigorous execution of business plans with focus on sustainable competitiveness; e. g. set up of Mechanical Drives business as standalone company within Siemens
Partnering and divestitures remain an option
April 16
January 16
Closing of acquisition
1| Areas of growth? Closing of divestment to AtoS
+
Strategic alliance agreement
(minor equity investment)
Closing of acquisition Purchase price of US$4.4bn
Nov 16
March 17
2| Potential profit pool? 3| Why Siemens?
4| Synergetic value?
5| Paradigm shifts?
January 16
Closing divestment of remaining assets to EQT
Siemens Turbomachinery Equipment GmbH
Divestment to Colfax announced
April 17
December 16
Closing of merger
Siemens 59% / Gamesa 41%
Unrestricted © Siemens AG 2017
Listing preparation announced
Closing of
50/50 joint venture
Closing date
Early focus on digitalization drives value and growth
Revenue FY 2016
Market CAGR FY17-20
Strategic direction
Digitalization
Leader
Siemens software
~€3.3bnDigital services
~€1.0bn~+8%
Strengthen leadership
by combining software,
Automation
Global #1
IoT operating system MindSphere
Enhanced automation
~€18bn
+12%1)
Classic services
+3-4%
platforms & services
Expand #1 position and utilize for digitalization
Electrifi- cation
Leader
Enhanced electrification
~€42bn
~€17bn
+1-2%
Differentiate through enhanced offerings with automation & digitalization
Note: Figures based on Industrial Business 1) Growth FY15 to FY16, rebased
Acquisitions 2007
2012
2016
2017
Cooperation 2016
Bringing together the virtual world of product development
with the real world of production automation
Integrating 3D simulation and test to create the digital twin of products to predict performance
Simulating all the physics for a more precise digital twin of products Creating the "System of Systems" view of the Digital Enterprise with Electronic Design Automation and Embedded Software
Complementing 3D-modelling Software for planning, construction and operation of infrastructure facilities
MindApps
Open ecosystem of applications
Apps from Siemens, manufacturers, operators and app developers
MindSphere
01
10 00
01 10 11
MindSphere
Various cloud infrastructures: Public, private or on-premise
Operational data integrated with the Digital Twin to optimize simulation and engineering (model-based analytics)
01 10
11 01
00 0110
10
10
10
10
10
01
10
01
01
01
01
01
01
00
01
00
01
01
01
01
01
11
01
11
11
11
11
11
11
10
00
10
10 1101
10 01
01 01
01 11
11 01
1010
0101
01 0100
00 0011
MindConnect
Installed base of millions of devices
Open standards (e.g. OPC UA) for connectivity
Secure plug-and-play connection of Siemens and 3rd party products
Merger of Siemens Wind Power and Gamesa closed as planned
Transaction description & rationale Key figures (pro forma, LTM Mar 2017; source SGRE Q1 17)
Merger of the entire Siemens Wind Power business incl. Service with Gamesa closed on April 3, 2017
Creation of a global leader in the wind power industry with a
well balanced geographic footprint and a large installed base
New management team appointed with Markus Tacke as CEO
and Andrew Hall as CFO
Announcement of Rosa García as non-executive Chairwoman of the combined company's Board of Directors
New company brand reflects strengths of united company
Ownership: Siemens 59%, Iberdrola ~8%, free float ~33%
Global HQ and listing in Spain
Siemens to fully consolidate the combined and listed entity
as of Q3 FY17
Combined business1)
Installed Base 76 GW
Backlog €22.2bn
Revenue €11.7bn
LTM recurrent EBIT €1.2bn
LTM recurrent EBIT Margin 9.9%
Synergies €230m EBIT full impact in year 4 post closing
1) Excluding transaction adjustments (e.g. effects from purchase accounting), incl. full consolidation of Adwen, stand-alone savings and normalization adjustments
Leading position in key markets and resilient performance
Distinct trends at work
Profit margin
CAGR
(FX comp.)
13.2%
+4ppts
+2.9%
17.2%
Transformation of Healthcare providers continues:
Providers today seek relevant suppliers/partners
Revenue
in €bn
Free cash flow
in €bn
11.1
1.8
+21%
13.5
2.2
Industrialization Consolidation Health management
that understand challenges in a changing Healthcare market and
are able to address broad issues in multi-hospital provider systems
FY2011 financials excluding Audiology and Hospital Information Systems business
Growth fields: We will further strengthen our attractive business
Molecular Diagnostics Advanced TherapiesServices
Build up molecular diagnostics portfolio utilizing our global presence and strong customer partnerships
Grow rapidly into therapy: build upon our expertise in hybrid ORs and core imaging
Build new services portfolio to solve system wide hospital challenges incl. clinical data analytics capabilities
Transformation in the healthcare market continues…
… listing best suited to manage transition
Paradigm shifts visible: Transition from
product business to solving hospital system wide challenges
fee for service to managing outcome based health
Race for customer relevance intensified
Competitor & provider consolidation ongoing
Investments required to respond to paradigm shifts
Strengthen and build position in identified growth fields
High strategic flexibility and capital allocation in light of changing healthcare market
Focus on key success factors continues
STRENGTHEN THE HEALTHINEERS BUSINESS IN SIEMENS
Ownership culture embedded in performance management
WHAT targets
WHAT was achieved
Considers target achievements, overall results, a person's contribution to the company's performance
HOW expectations
HOW were the results accomplished
Considers to what extent the expectations are met, a person's impact on others, feedback from those being affected by the person's HOW behavior
Incentive System - Transparency through simplicity
1/3
1/3
1/3
Base compensation
(Cash)
1/3
Variable compensation (Bonus in cash)
1/3
1/3
Long-term
stock-based compensation (Siemens Stock Awards)
ROCE
Earnings per share
Performance of Siemens stock compared to 5 competitors
Individual targets
Plus share ownership guidelines - e.g. for President and CEO: 3 times base compensation
Q2 FY 2017
Another strong quarter - profitable growth continuing
Successful closing of Siemens Gamesa merger and Mentor acquisition
Orders +1% at €22.6bn despite tough comps - excluding €3.1bn Egypt orders up +17% Substantial volume from large orders and base orders clearly up
Accelerated revenue growth to +5% supported by all Divisions; book-to-bill at 1.12x
Strong quarter with 8 out of 9 Divisions in or above target range
Industrial Business margin expansion to 12.1% (+120bps) driven by strong operational execution
Net income stable at €1.5bn impacted by higher tax rate - EPS at 1.79€
Strong Industrial Business free cash flow of €2.0bn, up 32% y-o-y
Financial cockpit - Q2 FY 2017
Orders
Revenue
Profit Industrial Business (IB)
Net Income
in €bn
22.3
+1%
(+2%)
22.6
Comp.
(nom.)
19.0
+5%
(+6%)
20.2
in €bn
2.1
+18%
2.5
in €bn
0%
1.5 1.5
1.17
1.12
Margin
11.4% 12.4%
10.9% 12.1%
Q2 FY 16 Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16 Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
EPS ("all-in")
in €
0%
1.78
1.79
ROCE ("all-in")
14.9%
13.3%
15 - 20%
Capital structure
S1
1.2x
1.2x
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
x.x% Margin as reported
x.x% Margin excl. severance
Significant operational free cash flow improvement - Overall more balanced development
Free cash flow Industrial Business free cash flow
€m +1.4bn
738
1,452
€m +32%
1,951
1,477
714
812 84
Q2 FY 16 Q2 FY 17
-728
Q1 FY 16
Q2 FY 16
H1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17 Q2 FY 17 H1 FY 17
Strong free cash flow improvement driven by PG, BT, DF
Net operating working capital increase mainly due to Mentor integration
Profit margin
1%
~6%
3%
~85%
in range
FY12
Avg. FY07 - 14
FY15
~0.2
~0.7
~1.2
More details on pg. 17
EV / EBITDA Multiple
Competitor S
Competitor A
Competitor G
Competitor R
Average Cap Goods1)
14.0x
8.7x
10.6x
10.9x
11.0x
10.8x
Source: Thomson Reuters; Next twelve months multiple as of June 8, Siemens and GE adjusted for SFS / GE Capital
Ownership culture drives high performance team
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Strategic direction
Operational consolidation
Optimization
Accelerated growth and outperformance
GOAL
INTENT
KPI
1Implement stringent company gover-
nance with effective support functions
Live lean governance and
drive continuous optimization
€1bn cost savings by FY 2016 achieved
Continued productivity of 3-5%
2Strengthen portfolio
3Execute financial
target system
4Expand global management
Sharpen our business focus in electrification, automation, and digitalization
Grow our company value
Get closer to our customers and markets
Tap growth fields
> 8% margin in underperforming businesses
15-20% ROCE
Growth > most relevant competitors
> 30% of Division and BU management outside Germany
5Be a partner of choice
for our customers
Foster an intimate and trusting partnership
w
1
� 20% improvement in Net Promoter Score
ith our customers
6Be an employer of choice
Unleash the full potential of our people
> 75% approval rating in leadership and diversity in SGES
7Foster
Ownership Culture
Ignite pride and passion for Siemens,
through a new mindset and equity ownership
� 50% increase in number
of employee shareholders
Guidance FY 2017
EPS ("all-in")
Guidance Update
in €
6.74
FY 2016
6.80 - 7.20
FY 2017e
as of Q4 FY 16
7.20 - 7.70
FY 2017e
as of Q1 FY 17
We confirm our expectations for fiscal 2017 presented with our results for Q1 FY 2017.
We continue to expect modest growth in revenue, net of effects from currency translation and portfolio transactions, and anticipate that orders will exceed revenue for a book-to-bill ratio above 1.
We expect the profit margin of our Industrial Business in the range of 11.0% to 12.0%, and basic EPS from net income in the range of €7.20 to
€7.70.
This outlook now includes portfolio changes already closed by the middle of fiscal 2017, particularly the acquisition of Mentor Graphics and the Gamesa merger, which are expected to burden Industrial Business profit margin and basic EPS from net income in fiscal 2017.
The outlook continues to exclude charges related to legal and regulatory matters as well as potential burdens associated with pending portfolio matters.
Note: FY 2016 weighted average number of shares of 809m
Gross margin improvement on track
+120bps y-o-y
Ongoing rigorous total cost productivity
in % of total cost base1)
28.6%
28.9%
29.9%
31.8%
~€3bn
~€4bn
At least 4% of
total cost base
~4%~5%
FY 2014
FY 2015
FY 2016
H1 FY 17
FY 2015
FY 2016
FY 2017e
Divisional productivity programs Functional productivity initiatives
Siemens Operating Model drives change towards a fast learning, innovative and agile company
Sales Excellence
PLM and Innovation
Production and Logistics
Project Business
Service Business
FY 20111) FY 2016
August
August 3, 2017
Q3 Earnings Release
September
September 8, 2017
Morgan Stanley Industrials & Natural Resources conference (London)
November
November 9, 2017
Q4 Earnings Release
Investor RelationsInternet:
www.siemens.com/investorrelations
Email:
investorrelations@siemens.com
IR-Hotline:
+49 89 636-32474
Fax:
+49 89 636-1332474
Siemens AG published this content on 16 June 2017 and is solely responsible for the information contained herein.
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