Ralf P. Thomas, CFO
Q2 FY 2017 Analyst Call | Munich, May 4, 2017
Unrestricted © Siemens AG 2017
siemens.com
Notes and forward looking statementsThis document contains statements related to our future business and financial performance and future events or developments involving Siemens that may constitute forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by words such as "expect," "look forward to," "anticipate" "intend," "plan," "believe," "seek," "estimate," "will," "project" or words of similar meaning. We may also make forward-looking statements in other reports, in presentations, in material delivered to shareholders and in press releases. In addition, our representatives may from time to time make oral forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on the current expectations and certain assumptions of Siemens' management, of which many are beyond Siemens' control. These are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and factors, including, but not limited to those described in disclosures, in particular in the chapter Risks in the Annual Report. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying expectations not occur or assumptions prove incorrect, actual results, performance or achievements of Siemens may (negatively or positively) vary materially from those described explicitly or implicitly in the relevant forward-looking statement. Siemens neither intends, nor assumes any obligation, to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated.
This document includes - in IFRS not clearly defined - supplemental financial measures that are or may be non-GAAP financial measures. These supplemental financial measures should not be viewed in isolation or as alternatives to measures of Siemens' net assets and financial positions or results of operations as presented in accordance with IFRS in its Consolidated Financial Statements. Other companies that report or describe similarly titled financial measures may calculate them differently.
Due to rounding, numbers presented throughout this and other documents may not add up precisely to the totals provided and percentages may not precisely reflect the absolute figures.
Q2 FY 2017 Another strong quarter - profitable growth continuingSuccessful closing of Siemens Gamesa merger and Mentor acquisition
Orders +1% at €22.6bn despite tough comps - excluding €3.1bn Egypt orders up +17% Substantial volume from large orders and base orders clearly up
Accelerated revenue growth to +5% supported by all Divisions; book-to-bill at 1.12x
Strong quarter with 8 out of 9 Divisions in or above target range
Industrial Business margin expansion to 12.1% (+120bps) driven by strong operational execution
Net income stable at €1.5bn impacted by higher tax rate - EPS at 1.79€
Strong Industrial Business free cash flow of €2.0bn, up 32% y-o-y
Major orders around the world secure further growthEnergy Management (EM) Wind Power and Renewables (WP)
HVDC link India
India's first HVDC link in VSC1) technology to support govern- ment's vision of 24x7 power for all
Combined order volume ~$520m for Siemens and Sumitomo Electric
HVDC solution example 1) VSC: Voltage Sourced Converter
7 MW Turbine (SWT-7.0-154)
EnBW Hohe See, Germany
497 MW complete offshore wind
power plant solution
Delivery out of new Hull and Cuxhaven factories
Grid connection in 2019
Order volume ~€1.4bn
Power & Gas (PG) Mobility (MO)
12 industrial gas turbines for
Argentina
Four turnkey industrial power plants
Combined capacity of ~690 MW
Order volume ~$570m incl. long- term service contract
Rhine Valley network, Germany
First order for 24 trains based on the new Mireo platform
15 double-decker trainsets from
the proven Desiro family
Customer Deutsche Bahn
SGT-A65 TR gas turbine
Mireo mass transit platform
PG: Stringent execution in a difficult global market environment WP: Capturing growth - excellent margin ahead of mergerPower and Gas (PG)
+4%1)
6.2
3.1
3.9
3.9
4.1
+48%1)
+4%1)
2.1
3.1
1.5
1.5
Wind Power and Renewables (WP)
Orders
Revenue
Orders
Revenue
€bn
€bn
Egypt
project
-38%1)
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Profit
Q2/16 - Iran effect: Revenue: €174m Profit: €130m Margin: ~280bps
Profit margin
Profit
Profit margin
€m
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Orders down due to tough comparables
Revenue growth driven by rapid backlog conversion
Strong execution & high service contribution
Sharply higher volume from large orders
Revenue growth in onshore and service
Higher productivity & capacity utilization, strong execution
-14%
-240bps
11-15%
535 461
14.9%
13.6%
11.5%
11.2%
€m
+13%
137
155
9.6%
9.4%
+90bps
10.4%
5-8%
10.3%
1) Comparable, i.e. adjusted for currency translation and portfolio effects
x.x% Margin as reported
x.x% Margin excl. severance (and excl. integration cost D-R for PG only)
EM: Growth acceleration and margin expansion BT: Continued outstanding performance across all metricsEnergy Management (EM)
+31%
172
225
6.8%
+120bps
7.7%
7-10%
6.3%
7.5%
€m
+112%
+700bps
8-11%
235
111
7.9%
7.7%
14.8%
14.7%
Building Technologies (BT)
Orders
Revenue
Orders
Revenue
€bn
€bn
+17%1)
+9%1)
+10%1)
+10%1)
3.0
3.6
2.7
3.0
1.5
1.6
1.4
1.6
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Profit
Profit margin
Profit
Pension effect
€94m (590bps)
Profit margin
€m
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
High volume of large orders
Global revenue growth, led by transmission
Profitability up broad based, led by High Voltage Products
Excellent top-line growth across all regions drove
profitability
DF: Very strong short cycle momentum - clear market share gains PD: Operational progress - realignment continuesDigital Factory (DF)
Process Industries and Drives (PD)
Orders
Revenue
Orders
Revenue
€bn
€bn
+9%1)
+11%1)
-1%1)
+1%1)
2.6
2.9
2.4
2.7
2,3
2,3
2.1
2.2
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Profit
Profit margin
Profit
Profit margin
€m
+33%
+270bps
14-20%
€m
+50%
8-12%
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Strong top-line growth and margin expansion driven by
short cycle demand from automotive & machine building
Top-line growth particularly in China and Europe
Growth in Process Automation offset by decline in
commodity related businesses
Higher margin Process Automation drives profitability
363
482
15.5%
15.1%
18.2%
17.8%
134
89
4.5%
+200bps
6.5%
4.1% 6.1%
Comparable, i.e. adjusted for currency translation and portfolio effects
x.x% Margin as reported
x.x% Margin excl. severance
MO: Stringent execution and resumption of top line growth HC: Solid performance with strength in AsiaMobility (MO)
+7%1)
1.8 2.2
1.9
2.0
153
213
8.2%
+250bps
10.8%
6-9%
8.0%
10.5%
3.2
3.4
3.3
3.4
+40bps
15-19%
555
588
17.2%
16.7%
17.5%
17.1%
Healthineers (HC)
Orders
Revenue
Orders
Revenue
€bn
€bn
+19%1)
+2%1)
+2%1)
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Profit
Profit margin
Profit
Profit margin
€m
+39%
Pension effect
€28m (140bps)
€m
+6%
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Broad based order growth with strong U.S. contribution
Profit up on increased revenue and larger share from high margin rail infrastructure business
Double digit order growth in China
Revenue growth driven by Diagnostic Imaging
Final U.S. FDA clearance for AtellicaTM Solution
Below Industrial Business - Q2 FY 2017
Expectations for H2 FY 2017
in €m
2,492
3
207
18
-281
-168
Therein:
-€100m Pensions
-€181m Corp. Items
SFS: H2 in line with prior year
CMPA: includes other portfolio elements; volatility remains; H2 broadly in line with prior year
SRE: H2 in line with prior year, dependent on disposal gains
Corporate Items: H2 in line with prior year
Pension: ~€125m per quarter
PPA: in line with H1 FY 2017 plus additional effects of ~€0.3bn from Mentor and Gamesa
Elimination, Corporate Treasury, Other: H2 in line with prior year, including higher interest expenses
Tax: expect 26 - 30% for FY 2017
-75
Including effects related to:
Asset retirement obligation of ~€314m
Impairment of Primetals of
-€230m
-738
1,458
25 1,483
Tax rate
@34%
IB SFS
CMPA
SRE
Corp. Items
& Pen.
PPA
Elim. Corp. Treas., Other
Tax
Inc. Cont. Ops
Disc. Ops.
Net Income
Significant operational free cash flow improvement - Overall more balanced development738
1,452
Q1 FY 17 Q2 FY 17 H1 FY 17
+32%
1,951
Free cash flow Industrial Business free cash flow
€m
+1.4bn
€m
714
1,477
812
84
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
-728
Q1 FY 16 Q2 FY 16 H1 FY 16
Strong free cash flow improvement driven by PG, BT, DF
Net operating working capital increase mainly due to Mentor integration
Value
Strengthen core
Stringent capital allocation
Scale up
Innovation initiative
Customer and market focus
Digitalization at work
Drive performance
Continuous productivity improvement
Stringent project execution
Fix underperforming businesses
Ownership culture drives high performance team
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Strategic
direction
Operational
consolidation
Optimization Accelerated growth
and outperformance
Continuous productivity drives operational performance - Siemens Operating Model key to ensure culture of adaptabilityGross margin improvement on track
+120bps y-o-y
Ongoing rigorous total cost productivity
in % of total cost base1)
28.6%
28.9%
29.9%
31.8%
~€3bn
~€4bn
At least 4% of
total cost base
~4%~5%
FY 2014
FY 2015
FY 2016
H1 FY 17
FY 2015
FY 2016
FY 2017e
Divisional productivity programs Functional productivity initiatives
Siemens Operating Model drives change towards a fast learning, innovative and agile company
Sales
Excellence
PLM and
Innovation
Production
and Logistics
Project
Business
Service
Business
Total cost base: Sum of cost of sales, R&D and SG&A expenses
Productivity deep dive: Supply chain management drives competitivenessSCM performance indicators Ramp up of Cost & Value Engineering on track
Cost & Value Engineering (CVE)
in €bn
Cross functional and divisional approach
More than 200 CVE-experts operational; >600 planned until 2020
Teamcenter Product Cost Management software as backbone
2.3
FY 2015
3.4
FY 2016
5.6
FY 2017e
>12
FY 2020
Target
Example Power Generation
Example Energy Management
Global Value Sourcing
In % of procurement volume (~€40bn)
35%
26%
27%
29%
FY 2015
FY 2016
FY 2017e
FY 2020
Target
Project in Bolivia: 22 Heat Recovery Steam Generators for SGT800 turbine
Deep analysis of material & manufacturing process with suppliers and e-bidding
26% cost savings versus initial offer
Benchmark of internal factory with external supplier
Value flow optimization along lean principles
~30% savings potential of manufacturing cost identified
Mobility - Acquisition of HaCon Energy Management - Partnership with SAP
Implementation of Mobility digitalization strategy to expand intermodal digital offering
Leading software provider for public transportation,
mobility and logistics
Trip planning software used by more than 100 customers in ~25 countries
~300 employees
Closing in first half of CY 2017 expected
Global reseller agreement between SAP & Siemens
Siemens Meter Data Management solution EnergyIP combined with SAP for utilities solution
Address digital end-to-end scenarios for utility customers in an increasingly distributed energy landscape
Real-time processing of data will change business models
Digital twin across the entire value chain -
for products, for production and complete plants
R&D collaboration to digitalize the adidas
SPEEDFACTORY
Key highlights
Rapid expansion of MindSphere ecosystem
Around 70 million assets and connected sensors
Siemens part manufacturing platform for additive manufacturing announced
(Copyright: adidas AG)
Guidance FY 2017EPS ("all-in")
in €
7.20 - 7.70
6.80 - 7.20
6.74
FY 2016
FY 2017e FY 2017e
as of as of
Q4 FY 16 Q1 FY 17
Note: FY 2016 weighted average number of shares of 809m
Guidance Update
We confirm our expectations for fiscal 2017 presented with our results for Q1 FY 2017.
We continue to expect modest growth in revenue, net of effects from currency translation and portfolio transactions, and anticipate that orders will exceed revenue for a book-to-bill ratio above 1.
We expect the profit margin of our Industrial Business in the range of 11.0% to 12.0%, and basic EPS from net income in the range of €7.20 to
€7.70.
This outlook now includes portfolio changes already closed by the middle of fiscal 2017, particularly the acquisition of Mentor Graphics and the Gamesa merger, which are expected to burden Industrial Business profit margin and basic EPS from net income fiscal 2017.
The outlook continues to exclude charges related to legal and regulatory
matters as well as potential burdens associated with pending portfolio matters.
Appendix One Siemens Financial Framework Clear targets to measure success and accountabilitySiemens
One Siemens
Financial Framework
Growth:
Siemens > most
relevant competitors1)
(Comparable revenue growth)
Capital efficiency
(ROCE2))
15 - 20%
Total cost productivity3) 3 - 5% p.a.
Capital structure
(Industrial net debt/EBITDA)
up to 1.0x
Dividend payout ratio 40 - 60%4)
Profit Margin ranges of businesses (excl. PPA)5)
PG
11 - 15%
EM
7 - 10%
MO 6 - 9%
PD
8 - 12%
SFS6) 15 - 20%
WP 5 - 8%
BT
8 - 11%
DF
14 - 20%
HC
15 - 19%
ABB, GE, Rockwell, Schneider, Toshiba, weighted; 2) Based on continuing and discontinued operations; 3) Productivity measures divided by functional costs (cost of sales, R&D, SG&A expenses) of the group; 4) Of net income excluding exceptional non-cash items; 5) Excl. acquisition related amortization on intangibles; 6) SFS based on return on equity after tax
Siemens Vision 2020 Clear intents for our seven overarching goalsGOAL
INTENT
KPI
1Implement stringent company gover-
nance with effective support functions
Live lean governance and
drive continuous optimization
€1bn cost savings by FY 2016 achieved
Continued productivity of 3-5%
2Strengthen portfolio
3Execute financial
target system
4Expand global management
Sharpen our business focus in electrification, automation, and digitalization
Grow our company value
Get closer to our customers and markets
Tap growth fields
> 8% margin in underperforming businesses
15-20% ROCE
Growth > most relevant competitors
> 30% of Division and BU management outside Germany
5Be a partner of choice
for our customers
Foster an intimate and trusting partnership
w
1
≥ 20% improvement in Net Promoter Score
ith our customers
6Be an employer of choice
Unleash the full potential of our people
> 75% approval rating in leadership and diversity in SGES
7Foster
Ownership Culture
Ignite pride and passion for Siemens,
through a new mindset and equity ownership
≥ 50% increase in number
of employee shareholders
Financial cockpit - Q2 FY 2017Orders
in €bn
Revenue
Net Income
in €bn
Profit Industrial Business (IB)
+1%
(+2%)
Comp.
(nom.)
+5%
(+6%)
in €bn
22.3
22.6
19.0
20.2
B-t-B
1.17
1.12
Margin
Q2 FY 16
+18%
0%
1.5
1.5
2.1
.4%
12.1%
11
.4%
10.9%
12
2.5
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16 Q2 FY 17 Q2 FY 16 Q2 FY 17
EPS ("all-in")
in €
14.9%
13.3%
ROCE ("all-in")
0%
1.78
1.79
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 16
Capital structure
≤1
15 - 20%
1.2x
1.2x
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 17
Q2 FY 17
x.x% Margin as reported
x.x% Margin excl. severance
Net debt bridge - Q2 FY 2017SFS Debt
Post emp. Benefits
Credit guarantees
Fair value adj. (hedge accounting)
Q2
+23.2
-10.5
-0.7
+0.5
ΔQ1
+0.0
+0.7
+0.0
-0.1
Adj. ind. Net Debt/ EBITDA (c/o)
1.2x
(Q1 FY17: 0.7x)
therein a.o.:
Mentor Graphic acquisition -3.5
CAPEX -0.5
-19.8
Operating Activities
-26.0
-13.5
therein:
Δ Inventories -1.0
Δ Trade and other receivables +0.1
Δ Trade payables +0.5
-2.9
-0.2
Net Debt Q1 2017
Cash & cash equiv.
€10.81)
1.7
Cash flows from op.
activities
(w/o ∆ working capital)
therein:
Dividend paid
Interest paid
-0.4
∆ Working
Capital
-4.0
Cash flows from
investing activities
-3.5
Financing and
other topics
Net Debt Q2 2017
Cash & cash equiv.
€11.21)
12.5
Net Debt adjustments Adj. ind. Net Debt
Q2 2017
Including current available-for-sale financial assets
-
SFS Key figures - Q2 FY 2017
Key financials SFS
Assets
Income before income taxes
Return on Equity after tax
Operating and Investing Cash Flow
Assets
€27.2bn
€207m 26.3%
€171m
Liabilities and Equity
€bn €bn
24.0 1.3
1.6
0.2
27.2
27.2
2.7
23.2
1.3
Leases & Loans1)
Equity Investments
Other Assets
& Inventory2)
Cash
Total Assets
Total Liabilities
& Equity
Allocated Equity
Total Debt Accruals
& Other Liabilities
Operating and finance leases, loans, asset-based lending loans, factoring and forfaiting receivables
Intercompany receivables, securities, (positive) fair values of derivatives, tax receivables, fixed assets, intangible assets, land and building, prepaid expenses and inventories
Provisions decreased in Q2, mainly due to slightly increased discount rate assumptions and strong equity performanceQ2 FY 2017 Key financials - Pension and similar obligations
in €bn1)
FY 2014
FY 2015
FY 2016
Q1 FY 2017
Q2 FY 2017
Defined benefit obligation (DBO)2)
(35.6)
(36.8)
(42.2)
(39.0)
(38.4)
Fair value of plan assets2)
26.3
27.1
28.7
28.1
28.1
Provisions for pensions and similar obligations
(9.3)
(9.8)
(13.7)
(11.1)
(10.5)
Discount rate
3.0%
3.0%
1.7%
2.3%
2.3%
Interest Income
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.1
0.1
Actual return on plan assets
2.9
0.5
3.3
-0.5
0.3
All figures are reported on a continuing basis.
Fair value of plan assets including effects from asset ceiling (Q2 2017: €-0.1bn); difference between DBO and fair value of plan assets additionally resulted in net defined benefit assets (Q2 FY 2017: €+0.2bn); Defined Benefit Obligation (DBO), including other post-employment benefit plans (OPEB)
Note: Beginning with fiscal 2017, we report 'provisions for pensions and similar obligations' as presented in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position, which also include Siemens` underfunding of other post-employment benefit plans.
Prior years are presented on a comparable basis.
Executing Vision 2020 Underperforming businesses on track to meet FY 17 expectationsProfit
Margin
-4%
-3%
+1%
+3%
~6%
>8%
Footprint adjustments ongoing
Sharpened scope
In 6% range
~15%
Under special
management attention
FY 2017 Priorities:
Clear accountability and tight monitoring
Rigorous execution of business plans with focus on sustainable competitiveness; e. g. set up of Mechanical Drives business as standalone company within Siemens
Partnering and divestitures remain an option
Underperforming businesses (~€14.5bn revenue in FY 2016)
Fiscal
Year
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017e
2020e
Fiscal 2017 expectations:
~85%
Executing Vision 2020 - Portfolio strengthening continues along our strategic imperativesIntegration ahead of plan
April 16
March 17
1| Areas of growth?
2| Potential profit pool?
3| Why Siemens?
Siemens Turbomachinery Equipment GmbH
Divestment to Colfax announced Cash consideration of €195m
Closing of acquisition | EV of US$4.5bn
April 17
Closing of merger Siemens share 59%
4| Synergetic value? 5| Paradigm shifts?
December 16
Closing date
Listing preparation announced
50/50 joint venture closed
Merger of Siemens Wind Power and Gamesa closed as plannedTransaction description & rationale Key figures (pro forma, LTM Dec 2016; source prospectus)
Merger of the entire Siemens Wind Power business incl. Service with Gamesa closed on April 3, 2017
Creation of a global leader in the wind power industry with a
well balanced geographic footprint and a large installed base
New management team appointed with Ignacio Martín as CEO for the transition phase and Andrew Hall as CFO
Announcement of Rosa García as non-executive
Chairwoman of the combined company's Board of Directors
New company brand reflects strenghts of united company
Ownership: Siemens 59%, Iberdrola ~8%, free float ~33%
Global HQ and listing in Spain
Siemens to fully consolidate the combined and listed entity
as of Q3 FY17
Combined business1)
Installed Base 75 GW
Backlog €21bn
Revenue €11bn
LTM recurrent EBIT €1.1bn
LTM recurrent EBIT Margin 9.7%
Synergies €230m EBIT full impact in year 4 post closing
Excluding transaction adjustments (e.g. effects from purchase accounting), incl. Adwen; EBIT adjusted
for normalization items (-€6m) and stand-alone effects (+€121m), excluding synergies
Financial calendarMay
May 4-5, 2017
Roadshow UK (London)
May 8, 2017
Roadshow Germany (Frankfurt)
May 15, 2017
Healthineers Teach-In call (Webcast)
May 31, 2017
Roadshow Canada (Toronto) and U. S. (New York)
June
June 16, 2017
JP Morgan European Capital Goods CEO Conference (London)
August
August 3, 2017
Q3 Earnings Release
Investor Relations contacts Investor RelationsInternet:
www.siemens.com/investorrelations
Email:
investorrelations@siemens.com
IR-Hotline:
+49 89 636-32474
Fax:
+49 89 636-32830
Siemens AG published this content on 04 May 2017 and is solely responsible for the information contained herein.
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