Ralf P. Thomas, CFO
Exane European CEO Conference | Paris, June 14, 2016
Unrestricted © Siemens AG 2016
siemens.com
This document contains statements related to our future business and financial performance and future events or developments involving Siemens that may constitute forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by words such as "expect," "look forward to," "anticipate" "intend," "plan," "believe," "seek," "estimate," "will," "project" or words of similar meaning. We may also make forward-looking statements in other reports, in presentations, in material delivered to shareholders and in press releases. In addition, our representatives may from time to time make oral forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on the current expectations and certain assumptions of Siemens' management, of which many are beyond Siemens' control. These are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and factors, including, but not limited to those described in disclosures, in particular in the chapter Risks in the Annual Report. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying expectations not occur or assumptions prove incorrect, actual results, performance or achievements of Siemens may (negatively or positively) vary materially from those described explicitly or implicitly in the relevant forward-looking statement. Siemens neither intends, nor assumes any obligation, to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated.
This document includes - in IFRS not clearly defined - supplemental financial measures that are or may be non-GAAP financial measures. These supplemental financial measures should not be viewed in isolation or as alternatives to measures of Siemens' net assets and financial positions or results of operations as presented in accordance with IFRS in its Consolidated Financial Statements. Other companies that report or describe similarly titled financial measures may calculate them differently.
Due to rounding, numbers presented throughout this and other documents may not add up precisely to the totals provided and percentages may not precisely reflect the absolute figures.
Value
Strengthen core
Stringent capital allocation
Scale up
Innovation initiative
Customer and market focus
Digitalization at work
Drive performance
Cost reduction support functions (€1bn)
Global footprint optimization
Fix underperforming businesses
Ownership culture drives high performance team
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Strategic direction
Operational consolidation
Optimization Accelerated growth
and outperformance
Executing Vision 2020 Capital allocation along strategic imperativesApril 16
1| Areas of growth?
January 16
Closing of acquisition of CD-adapco for
$970m to pursue industrial software strategy
2| Potential profit pool? 3| Why Siemens?
4| Synergetic value? 5| Paradigm shifts?
Closing of divestment to AtoS
January 16
Closing divestment of remaining assets to EQT for €300m
Strategic asset combination
Unrestricted © Siemens AG 2016
50/50 joint venture for powertrain in E-cars announced
-
This system matters
Digitalization
Automation
Electrifi- cation
~€19bn
Revenue FY 2015
Profitability
++
Enhanced automation Enhanced electrification (~€39bn)
+~16%Vertical software Digital services
~€3.1bn
Revenue FY 2015
++
Profitability
~€0.6bn
Revenue FY 2015
+++
Profitability
Build on deep domain know-how
Leverage M&A and R&D invest
Roll-out of cross-divisional
Sinalytics platform
Classic services
+~9%
~€15bn
Revenue FY 2015
+++
Profitability
17 Terabytes of data per month
>300k connected devices
Note: Figures based on Industrial Business (Growth FY 2015 vs. FY 2014 rebased)
Digital Enterprise - Key innovations
1
2
3
4
Enhance Industrial software and automation portfolio
Integration of CD-adapco flow simulation
Significant expansion of TIA-Portal and COMOS Software suite
Expand Industrial communication portfolio
Provide holistic industrial security concept Drive Industrial services
Launch of Mindsphere platform - the Siemens
cloud for Industry
Productivity Energy efficiency
Sinalytics
Common technology platforms
EM WP
PG
DF PS
Sinalytics
Customer value through
Data analytics
Sinalytics
Data visualization
Modeling/Analysis
Data management
Data integration
PD applications MO
HC BT
Cloud/Connectivity Cyber Security
Availability Security
Unrestricted © Siemens AG 2016
MindSphere - Siemens Cloud for IndustryData analytics Data visualization
MindApps
by Siemens by OEMs by end-customers
Optimize the performance of assets, energy and resource consumption, maintenance, services …
MindSphere - Siemens Cloud for Industry
Data management
Data storage Connectivity
10
01
10
01
11
00
11
00
01 00
01 11
01 00
01 11
10
01
10
01
11
00
11
00
01 00
01 11
01 00
01 11
1
Execution of Vision 2020 is well on track
2
Accelerated execution of €1bn cost reduction measures
3
Underperforming businesses show clear improvement
4
Stringent capital allocation along strategic imperatives
5
Focus on digital opportunities
We confirm our financial guidance for fiscal 2016, although the market environment for our high margin short cycle business may not pick up materially in the second half.
We still anticipate further softening in the macroeconomic environment and continuing complexity in the geopolitical environment in fiscal 2016.
Nevertheless, we expect moderate revenue growth, net of effects from currency translation. We anticipate that orders will materially exceed revenue for a book-to-bill ratio clearly above 1.
For our Industrial Business, we expect a profit margin of
10% to 11%.
We expect basic EPS from net income in the range of €6.00 to €6.40.
Additionally, it excludes charges related to legal and regulatory matters.
One Siemens Financial Framework Clear targets to measure success and accountabilitySiemens
One Siemens Financial Framework
Growth:
Siemens > most
relevant competitors1)
(Comparable revenue growth)
Capital efficiency
(ROCE2))
15 - 20%
Total cost productivity3)
3 - 5% p.a.
Capital structure
(Industrial net debt/EBITDA)
up to 1.0x
Dividend payout ratio
40 - 60%4)
Profit Margin ranges of businesses (excl. PPA)5)
PG
11 - 15%
EM
7 - 10%
MO 6 - 9%
PD
8 - 12%
SFS6) 15 - 20%
WP 5 - 8%
BT
8 - 11%
DF
14 - 20%
HC
15 - 19%
ABB, GE, Rockwell, Schneider, Toshiba, weighted; 2) Based on continuing and discontinued operations; 3) Productivity measures divided by functional costs (cost of sales, R&D, SG&A expenses) of the group; 4) Of net income excluding exceptional non-cash items; 5) Excl. acquisition related amortization on intangibles; 6) SFS based on return on equity after tax
Underperforming businesses show improvementUnderperforming businesses
Unconsolidated Revenue FY 2015 in €bn
2016e
~15
Underperforming businesses as of Q2 FY 2015
~1.2
Siemens Compressors
Reverse integration into
~14
Remaining underperforming businesses
~3%
Fiscal Year
2013
2014
2015
2017e
2020e
Margin
-4%
-3%
+1%
~6%
>8%
Tight monitoring of business plans
Footprint optimization
Sharpening business scope
Partnering and divestitures an option
Supply chain management - BOLD moves program 2020
'Traditional' procurement levers
Contract management & pooling
Negotiations excellence
Digitalization - analytics & process optimization
Global value sourcing (GVS)
+
Cross-functional levers
Demand/spend management
Core/non-core and footprint
Supplier innovation & optimization
Cost & value engineering1) (CVE) incl. design-to-cost
GVS share of total purchasing volume (~€39bn)
CVE coverage of total cost base
Target: GVS share >1/3
Target: Significant increase of CVE-Coverage
€bn
26%
27%
35%
~12
FY 2015
FY 2016e
FY 2020 Target
2.3
FY 2015
3.2
FY 2016e
FY 2020 Target
Unrestricted © Siemens AG 2016
1) Cost and Value Engineering: Cost optimized design solutions in early phase including cost transparency along entire value chain
Cumulated effects of savings
€800m -
€900m
€850m -
€950m
€1bn
€1bn
€400m
€150m -
€200m
FY 2015
FY 2016e
FY 2017e
View on distribution of savings as of Q4 FY 2015
View on distribution of savings as of Q2 FY 2016
Orders
in €bn
Revenue
Q2 15
Q2 16
Q2 15
Q2 16
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
+7%
(+7%)
Comp.
(nom.)
+5%
(+5%)
20.8
22.3
18.0
19.0
B-t-B
1.15
1.17
Profit Industrial Business (IB)
in €bn
+28%
2.1
Margin
1.7
9.6%
9.0%
11.4%
10.9%
EPS ("all-in")
in €
ROCE ("all-in")
BSH and Audiology
€3bn
Net Income
in €bn
3.9
+~60%
1.5
Capital structure
≤1
BSH and Audiology1)
€3.61
BSH and
4.70
15 - 20%
14.9%
Audiology 35%-points
1.1x
0.3x
45.5%
+~60%
1.78
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
1) BSH and Audiology EPS-disposal-effects for FY 2015: €3.66
x.x% Margin as reported x.x% Margin excl. severance
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Megadeals in Egypt - execution on track
€3.1bn orders for Burullus and New Capital power plants incl. long-term service contract
Fast track projects for 9.6 GW (16 H-class turbines)
Financial close in March 2016
Project execution of Beni Suef - 4 out of 8 H-class turbines
shipped
Comprehensive transmission network study ongoing
Contract for six substations signed
Training of 600 engineers and technicians has started
Major offshore order in Wind Power
7 MW Turbine (SWT-7.0-154)
East Anglia ONE project
Customer: ScottishPower Renewables
714MW total capacity
Largest order to date for 7MW
direct drive turbine
Five years service contract
Order volume ~€1.2bn
Start of commercial operation in 2020
Delivery out of new Hull and
Cuxhaven factories in 2019
+15%1)
6.2
Power and Gas (PG)
€bn
Orders
+86%1)
Revenue
3.1
3.1
3.9
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Profit & Margin
€m
Target
margin
11-15%
535
382
14.1%
12.3%
Q2 FY 15
14.9%
13.6%
Q2 FY 16
Incl. Iran effect:
Revenue: €174m Profit: €130m Margin: ~280bps
Ramp up of Egypt orders drive revenue; 16 LGTs shipped
Positive revenue and profit effects driven by ending or
easing of Iran sanctions
Wind Power and Renewables (WP)
Orders
Revenue
€bn
+60%1)
+18%1)
1.4
2.1
1.3
1.5
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
€m
Profit & Margin
137
-3.4% 9.6%
-3.5% 9.4%
Target
margin
5-8%
-44
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Major offshore order in UK incl. service of ~€1.2bn
Significant revenue increase on high backlog conversion
Improved operations drive margin
Comparable, i.e. adjusted for currency translation and portfolio effects
x.x% Margin as reported x.x%
Margin excl. severance (and excl. integration cost D-R for PG only)
Energy Management (EM)
Orders Revenue
€bn
Building Technologies (BT)
Orders Revenue
€bn
-0%1)
3.1
3.0
2.8
-1%1)
2.7
1.5
+1%1)
1.5
1.4
+1%1)
1.4
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Profit & Margin
€m
93
172
Target €m
margin
Profit & Margin
111
95
Target margin
3.4%
3.3%
Q2 FY 15
6.8%
6.3%
Q2 FY 16
7-10%
6.8%
6.6%
Q2 FY 15
7.9%
7.7%
Q2 FY 16
8-11%
Double digit order growth in Europe/CAME and Asia/ Australia offset by Americas due to tough comparables
Profitability improvements in solutions, transformer and high voltage products
Order growth in Germany and Middle East, weaker demand from China
Larger share of high margin product and service business
Digital Factory (DF)
Orders
Revenue
€bn
+1%1)
+0%1)
2.6
2.6
2.4
2.4
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Profit & Margin
€m
343
363
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
14.5%
14.1%
15.5%
15.1%
Target
margin
14-20%
Top line growth in the U. S. more than offset by lower volume in China and Germany
Profit increase mainly driven by Factory Automation
Process Industries and Drives (PD)
Orders
Revenue
€bn
-2%1)
-3%1)
2.4
2.3
2.2
2.1
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Profit & Margin
€m
103
4.9%
4.6%
89
4.5%
4.1%
Target
margin
8-12%
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Ongoing weak demand in commodity-related industries
Growth in wind power component business
Structural challenges weigh on profit
Mobility (MO)
Orders Revenue
€bn
Healthcare (HC)
Orders Revenue
€bn
-50%1)
3.8
1.8
1.8
+6%1)
1.9
3.2
+2%1)
3.2
3.2
+5%1)
3.3
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Profit & Margin
€m
Target €m
Profit & Margin
157
153
margin
526
margin
8.7%
8.2%
6-9%
16.9%
17.2%
15-19%
8.6%
8.0%
16.4%
16.7%
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 16
555
Target
Orders down on tough comparables
Profitable revenue growth driven by stringent backlog
execution of large projects
Clear order and revenue growth in the U.S.
Revenue increase and strong earnings mainly driven by Diagnostic Imaging
Below Industrial Business (Q2 FY 2016)
in €m
Expectations for H2 FY 2016
2,115
226
-99
22
-141
-167
SFS: H2 in line with prior year
CMPA: Negative impact H2 smaller than prior year, however, volatility remains
SRE: H2 in line with prior year dependent on disposal gains
Corporate Items: H2 in line with prior year
Pension: ~-€125m per quarter
PPA: H2 in line with H1
Elimination, Corporate Treasury, Other:
H2 in line with prior year, including higher interest expenses
Tax: Expect 26 - 30% for FY 2016
Discont. Operations: Limited impact in H2
-51
Therein: Negative effect from ARO Hanau
and Primetals JV
-510
1,394
86 1,480
Therein:
€92m effect from an at-equity investment
Tax rate
@27%
Therein: Sivantos
€60m
IB SFS
CMPA
SRE
Corp. Items
& Pen.
PPA Elim. Corp. Treas., Other
Tax
Inc. Cont. Ops
Disc. Ops.
Net Income
all in
June
June 14, 2016
Exane Conference (Paris)
June 28 - 29, 2016
Capital Market Day "Energy and Oil & Gas" (Houston)
July /
August
August 4, 2016
Q3-Earnings Release
Investor Relations
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