Dr. Ralf P. Thomas, CFO
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Conference, London, March 22, 2017
Unrestricted © Siemens AG 2017
siemens.com
Notes and forward-looking statementsThis document contains statements related to our future business and financial performance and future events or developments involving Siemens that may constitute forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by words such as "expect," "look forward to," "anticipate" "intend," "plan," "believe," "seek," "estimate," "will," "project" or words of similar meaning. We may also make forward-looking statements in other reports, in presentations, in material delivered to shareholders and in press releases. In addition, our representatives may from time to time make oral forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on the current expectations and certain assumptions of Siemens' management, of which many are beyond Siemens' control. These are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and factors, including, but not limited to those described in disclosures, in particular in the chapter Risks in the Annual Report. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying expectations not occur or assumptions prove incorrect, actual results, performance or achievements of Siemens may (negatively or positively) vary materially from those described explicitly or implicitly in the relevant forward-looking statement. Siemens neither intends, nor assumes any obligation, to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated.
This document includes - in IFRS not clearly defined - supplemental financial measures that are or may be non-GAAP financial measures. These supplemental financial measures should not be viewed in isolation or as alternatives to measures of Siemens' net assets and financial positions or results of operations as presented in accordance with IFRS in its Consolidated Financial Statements. Other companies that report or describe similarly titled financial measures may calculate them differently.
Due to rounding, numbers presented throughout this and other documents may not add up precisely to the totals provided and percentages may not precisely reflect the absolute figures.
Siemens Vision 2020 A strong foundation to drive profitable growthValue
Strengthen core
Stringent capital allocation
Scale up
Innovation initiative
Customer and market focus
Digitalization at work
Drive performance
Cost reduction support functions (€1bn)
Stringent project execution
Fix underperforming businesses
Ownership culture drives high performance team
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Strategic
direction
Operational
consolidation
Optimization Accelerated growth
and outperformance
Stringent execution of Siemens Vision 2020 delivers resultsGross margin improvement
Egypt megaproject on track
28.6%
FY 2014
+130bps 28.9%
FY 2015
29.9%
FY 2016
31.4%
Q1 FY 2017
June 2015: Signing of contracts for megaproject
January 2017: Siemens overdelivers on promise - first 4.8 GW of new capacity connected to the grid
Until May 2018: 14.4 GW in combined cycle connected to grid
Execution of €1bn cost savings
€1.0bn
Significant net project charges reduction
Industrial Business, in € bn
1.2
€400m
0.2 No negative
net effect
0.7
FY 2015
FY 2016
FY 2012
Ø 2007-2014
FY 2015
FY 2016 &
Q1 FY 2017
Executing Vision 2020 Underperforming businesses on clear improvement trajectoryProfit
Margin
-4%
-3%
+1%
+3%
~6%
>8%
Footprint adjustments ongoing
Sharpened scope
In 6% range
~15%
Under special
management attention
FY 2017 Priorities:
Clear accountability and tight monitoring
Rigorous execution of business plans with focus on sustainable competitiveness; e. g. set up of Mechanical Drives business as standalone company within Siemens
Partnering and divestitures remain an option
Underperforming businesses (~€14.5bn revenue in FY 2016)
Fiscal
Year
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017e
2020e
Fiscal 2017 expectations:
~85%
Executing Vision 2020 - Strengthening of portfolio continues along our strategic imperativesApril 16
January 16
Closing of acquisition
Wind Power +
Merger announced
1| Areas of growth? Closing of divestment to AtoS
2| Potential profit pool?
January 16
3| Why Siemens?
Closing divestment of remaining
Siemens 59% / Gamesa 41%
4| Synergetic value?
assets to EQT
5| Paradigm shifts?
Acquisition announced; EV of US$4.5bn
December 16
Closing date
Listing preparation announced
50/50 joint venture closed
Executing Vision 2020 Early focus on digitalization drives value and growthDigitalization
Leader
Revenue FY 2016
~+8%
Siemens software
~€3.3bn
Digital services
~€1.0bn
Cloud data platf
o
rm: MindSphere
Market CAGR FY17-20
+3-4%
+12%1)
Strategic direction
Strengthen leadership by combining software, platforms & services
Automation
Global #1
Electrifi- cation
Leader
Enhanced automation
~€18bn
Classic services
Enhanced electrification
~€42bn
+1-2%
~€17bn
Expand #1 position and utilize for digitalization
Differentiate through enhanced offerings with automation & digitalization
Note: Figures based on Industrial Business 1) Growth FY15 to FY16, rebased
Improved short cycle sentiment supports growth ambition in a difficult geopolitical environmentImproved sentiment in manufacturing
Macroeconomic environment
PMI Manufacturing
60
55
50
45
2014 2015 2016 2017
Sources: Markit, ISM
Eurozone China
US
Moderate growth driven by construction and consumption
• Fiscal stimulus and infrastructure investment as potential mid-term positive, however uncertainty around political framework
Weak Euro continues to support export industry, modest but steady recovery helped by consumption and higher employment
Uncertainty around Brexit and future EU development remains
115
110
105
100
95
90
Ifo Manufacturing Germany
2014 2015 2016 2017
Sources: Ifo, Germany
Climate Situation Expectation
Ongoing economic rebalancing weighs on growth in heavy industries
Consumption & Automotive support strong short cycle growth
Stabilizing demand from raw material exporting emerging countries, bottoming in Brazil & Russia after strong decline
India reform agenda supports infrastructure investments - strongest GDP-growth of all BRIC >7%
Dividend development
1)
48%1)
60%
57%
50%
52%
50%
30%
46%
€2.70
42%
€3.00
€3.00
40%
€5.402)
€3.00
€3.30
38%
€3.50
+3%
€3.60
FY 2010
FY 2011
FY 2012
FY 2013
FY 2014
FY 2015
FY 2016
Dividend per share Dividend payout ratio
Second endowment to Siemens Profit Sharing Pool of €100m
Ongoing share buyback execution of up to €3bn over up to 36 months (until November 2018)
Adjusted for exceptional non-cash items: 2010: impairments at DX; 2012: impairments at Solar and NSN restructuring
Effect of OSRAM stock distribution to shareholders of €2.40 per share; not reflected in dividend payout ratio
Siemens
One Siemens Financial Framework
Growth:
Siemens > most relevant competitors1)
(Comparable revenue growth)
Capital efficiency
(ROCE2))
15 - 20%
Total cost productivity3) 3 - 5% p.a.
Capital structure
(Industrial net debt/EBITDA)
up to 1.0x
Dividend payout ratio 40 - 60%4)
Profit Margin ranges of businesses (excl. PPA)5)
PG
11 - 15%
EM
7 - 10%
MO 6 - 9%
PD
8 - 12%
SFS6) 15 - 20%
WP
5 - 8%
BT
8 - 11%
DF
14 - 20%
HC
15 - 19%
ABB, GE, Rockwell, Schneider, Toshiba, weighted; 2) Based on continuing and discontinued operations; 3) Productivity measures divided by functional costs (cost of sales, R&D, SG&A expenses) of the group; 4) Of net income excluding exceptional non-cash items; 5) Excl. acquisition related amortization on intangibles; 6) SFS based on return on equity after tax
Electrification - Automation - Digitalization: a strong and complete offering for our customersDesign &
engineering
Automation &
operation
Maintenance &
services
Siemens Software
Navigator based Services
Siemens Digital Services
Operations
Simatic IT
Siveillance, ...
Railigent
Guardian Program
...
Design & Simulation
NX, LMS, CD-adapco
Comos, Tecnomatix
PSS grid simulation, ...
FlexLTP
- Energy IP
MindSphere - the IoT operating system
Sinalytics Apps
Digitally enhanced Electrification and Automation
Spectrum Power, Desigo CC, Controlguide OCS, SIMATIC, PCS7, Sinumerik, ...
Siemens will be the first provider of a fully integrated Digital Enterprise SuiteAcquisitions 2007
2012
2016
announced
Cooperation 2016
Bringing together the virtual world of product development
(mechanical) with the real world of production automation
Integrating 3D simulation and test to create the digital twin of products to predict performance
Simulating all the physics (e.g. fluid design) for a more precise
"Digital Twin" of products
Creating the "System of Systems" view of the Digital Enterprise
with Electronic Design Automation and Embedded Software
Complementing 3D-modelling Software for planning, construction
and operation of infrastructure facilities
Mentor Graphics will significantly increase our Siemens Software revenueLeading provider and pioneer of EDA
Product portfolio for electronics design software addresses all levels from components to systems
Large, diverse customer base of systems and IC/semiconductors companies with ~14,000 accounts
Established 1981, HQ in Wilsonville, US
Nasdaq listed
Mentor Graphics Key figures FY16
Revenue Split
Revenue: $1.2bn
Company description
Transaction structure
Acquisition of 100% of Mentor Graphics shares outstanding
Offer price of $37.25 per share; 21% premium to Nov 11, 2016 close
Enterprise Value $4.5bn (~€4.2bn)
Revenue multiple2 3.5x; EBITDA multiple2 14.5x
Friendly transaction
EPS accretive in year 3 post-closing
Synergies of > €100m in year 4 post-closing
Expected Closing Q3 FY17 (subject to Mentor Graphics shareholder approval and regulatory approvals)
EBIT margin adjusted1: 20%
41%
Services &
Support
Employees: ~5,700
59%
System and
Software
Mentor Graphics FY16 ended 31-Jan-16; EUR/USD 1.09; (1) Mentor Graphics non-GAAP operating income as disclosed in SEC filings (2) based on FY18 Factset consensus
Perfect fit to expand our leadership in the Digital EnterpriseVision 2020 Rationale for acquiring Mentor Graphics
Area of growth
Fast growing EDA segment: CAGR 7.3% until 2020
Unique combination of Electrical Design Automation software (EDA) and PLM accelerate growth opportunities across multiple industries
Potential profit pool
Software-typical double-digit margin profile
Why Siemens
Siemens will be the first company to provide a fully integrated design suite in PLM
Offering mechanical, electrical and software design capabilities on a single integrated platform
Synergetic value
Offering a unique suite of integrated multi-domain capabilities across Siemens and
Mentor Graphics customer segments
Savings from G&A and aligned go-to-market & R&D
Paradigm shifts
Increasingly complex product design and seamless design adjustments of multi-functional products
Unique customer value through simultaneous mechatronics design and engineering
across all domains
MindSphere - the cloud-based, open IoT operating system from Siemens MindAppsDeveloped by Siemens, OEMs,
end customers and App developers
Optimized performance of assets, energy and resource consumption, maintenance, services …
MindSphere01 | |||||||
10 | 00 | ||||||
01 | 10 | 11 | |||||
01 | 10 | 10 | 01 | 10 | 10 | ||
11 | 01 | 01 | 01 | 01 | 01 | ||
00 | 01 | 10 | 01 | 11 | 01 | 01 | 00 |
10 | 11 | 01 | 11 | 01 | 00 | 00 | 11 |
Various cloud infrastructures: Public, private or on-premise
10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 01 | 10 | 01 |
01 | 01 | 01 | 01 | 01 | 00 | 01 | 00 |
01 | 01 | 01 | 01 | 01 | 11 | 01 | 11 |
11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 00 | 10 |
Secure plug and play connection of Siemens products
MindSphere
Merger of Siemens WP with Gamesa: Creating a leading wind player with substantial growth potential and highly complementary strengthTransaction description & rationale
Key figures (pro forma, LTM Dec 2016)
(Due to rounding, numbers may not add up precisely and percentages may not precisely reflect absolute figures)
Combined business1) | Siemens WP scope | Gamesa2) | |
Installed Base | 75 GW | ~36 GW | ~40 GW |
Backlog | €20.9bn | €15.2bn | €5.7bn |
Revenue | €11.0bn | €6.2bn | €4.9bn |
LTM recurrent EBIT | €1.06bn | €623m3) | €436m |
LTM recurrent EBIT Margin | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% |
Synergies | €230m EBIT full impact in year 4 post closing |
Merger of the entire Siemens Wind business incl. Service with
Gamesa to create a leading wind player
Combination of two major, highly complementary global wind players with a well balanced geographic footprint
Ownership:
Siemens 59%, Iberdrola ~8%, free float ~33%
Global HQ and listing in Spain
Siemens to fully consolidate the combined and listed entity
Key achievements since deal announcement:
Gamesa shareholder approval obtained in Extraordinary General Meeting with 99.75% of votes
Spanish Stock Market Regulator CNMV granted waiver from mandatory offer
Unconditional Antitrust approvals received
Closing expected early April, 2017
Unrestricted © Siemens AG 2017
Excluding transaction adjustments (e.g. effects from purchase accounting)
Incl. Adwen
EBIT adjusted for normalization items (-€6m) and stand-alone effects (+€121m), excluding synergies
Siemens Healthineers: From Good - to Great - to FascinatingLeading position in key markets and resilient performance Distinct trends at work
Profit margin
CAGR
(FX comp.)
13.2%
+4ppts
+2.9%
17.2%
Transformation of Healthcare providers continues:
Providers today seek relevant suppliers/partners
Revenue
in €bn
Free cash flow
in €bn
11.1
1.8
+21%
13.5
2.2
Industrialization Consolidation Health management
that understand challenges in a changing Healthcare market and
are able to address broad
issues in multi-hospital
provider systems
FY 20111) FY 2016
FY2011 financials excluding Audiology and Hospital Information Systems business
Growth fields: We will further strengthen our attractive business
Molecular Diagnostics Advanced TherapiesServices
Build up molecular diagnostics portfolio utilizing our global presence and strong customer partnerships
Grow rapidly into therapy: build upon our expertise in hybrid ORs and core imaging
Build new services portfolio to solve system wide hospital challenges incl. clinical data analytics capabilities
Strengthen our leading position by preparing listing of Siemens HealthineersTransformation in the healthcare market continues…
… listing best suited to manage transition
Strengthen and build position in identified growth fields
High strategic flexibility and capital allocation in light of changing healthcare market
Focus on key success factors continues
STRENGTHEN THE HEALTHINEERS BUSINESS
IN SIEMENS
Paradigm shifts visible: Transition from
product business to solving hospital system wide challenges
fee for service to managing outcome based health
Race for customer relevance intensified
Competitor & provider consolidation ongoing
Investments required to respond to paradigm shifts
Guidance FY 2017EPS ("all-in") Guidance
in €
7.20 - 7.70
We anticipate increasing headwinds for macroeconomic growth and investment sentiment in our markets due to the complex geopolitical environment.
6.80 - 7.20
6.74
Therefore, we continue to expect modest growth in revenue, net of effects from currency translation and portfolio transactions. We further continue to anticipate that orders will exceed revenue for a book-to-bill ratio above 1.
After a strong start into the fiscal year, we raise our previous expectation for profit and EPS for fiscal 2017. We raise our previous expectation for the profit margin of our Industrial Business in the range of 10.5% to 11.5% to the range of 11.0% to 12.0%.
Furthermore, we raise our previous expectation for basic EPS from net income in the range of €6.80 to €7.20 to the range of €7.20 to €7.70.
This outlook assumes continuing stabilization in the market environment
FY 2016
FY 2017e FY 2017e
as of as of
Q4 FY 16 Q1 FY 17
for our high-margin short-cycle businesses.
It further excludes charges related to legal and regulatory matters as well as potential burdens associated with pending portfolio matters.
Note: FY 2016 weighted average number of shares of 809m
PG: Stringent execution, however market remains tough WP: Excellent performance ahead of planned mergerOrders
Revenue
Power and Gas (PG)
Wind Power and Renewables (WP)
Orders Revenue
€bn
€bn
-40%1)
+7%1)
5.5
3.3
3.7
3.9
-24%1)
1.9 1.4
1.2
+18%1)
1.4
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Profit
Profit margin
Profit
€m
+31%
+230bps
11-15%
11.8%
€m +119%
458
9.5%
349
51
111
Profit margin
+380bps
4.2%
4.3%
8.1%
8.0%
5-8%
10.4%
11.9%
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16 Q1 FY 17
Orders down on tough comps
Revenue driven by strong backlog conversion
Stringent project execution & strong service contribution
Lower volume from large orders
Productivity and operational excellence drive margin
Comparable, i.e. adjusted for currency translation and portfolio effects x.x%: Margin excl. severance (and excl. integration cost D-R for PG only)
EM: Consistent improvement continues BT: Outstanding performance across all metricsEnergy Management (EM)
3.0
2.8
2.8
183
189
7-10%
6.6%
6.7%
1.5
1.7
1.5
1.6
10.9%
131
170
8.9%
Building Technologies (BT)
Orders
Revenue
Orders
Revenue
€bn
€bn
-14%1)
+3%1)
+11%1)
3.5
+5%1)
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Profit
Profit margin
Profit
Profit margin
€m
+3%
+10bps
€m
+29%
+200bps
8-11%
6.6%
7.2%
8.9%
11.2%
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Double digit revenue growth in Asia, Australia
Higher profit in majority of businesses led by High Voltage Products and Transmission Solutions
Strong order growth across all regions
Profit driven by revenue growth and productivity gains
Digital Factory (DF)
668
14-20%
26.1%
417
16.9%
17.2%
26.3%
€m
+7%
126
135
+70bps
8-12%
5.7% 6.4%
6.1% 6.7%
Process Industries and Drives (PD)
Orders
Revenue
Orders
Revenue
€bn
€bn
+7%1)
+4%1)
-6%1)
-3%1)
2.5
2.7
2.5
2.6
2.3
2.1
2.2
2.1
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Profit
Profit margin
Profit
Profit margin
€m
+60%
eCar gain
€172m (670bps)
+920bps
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Broad based order and revenue growth with particular
strength in China
High margin short cycle businesses drive margin
Ongoing weak demand in commodity related industries,
strong demand for wind power components
Continued execution of structural measures
Mobility (MO)
193
6-9%
163
9.4%
9.1%
541
620
16.5%
15-19%
18.9%
Healthineers (HC)
Orders
Revenue
Orders
Revenue
€bn
€bn
-17%1)
-8%1)
+4%1)
+0%1)
2.7
2.2
2.0
1.8
3.4
3.5
3.3
3.3
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Profit
Profit margin
Profit
Profit margin
€m
-15%
-30bps
€m
+15%
+240bps
9.6%
9.3%
16.8%
19.2%
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Q1 FY 16
Q1 FY 17
Book-to-bill clearly above 1 despite lower large orders
Revenue decline due to timing factors of large projects
Solid execution on high profitability
Clear order growth in Asia, Australia, particularly China
Broad based profitability improvement
Below Industrial Business - Q1 FY 2017
in €m
Expectations for FY 2017 unchanged
SFS: "operationally" in line with FY 2016
CMPA: includes other portfolio elements; volatility remains in
FY 2017
SRE: in line with prior year, dependent on disposal gains
Corporate Items: ~€150m per quarter on higher central innovation invest; H2>H1
Pension: ~€125m per quarter
PPA: in line with FY 2016
Elimination, Corporate Treasury, Other: in line with FY 2016
Tax: expect 26 - 30%
Discontinued Operations: immaterial
409 72
2,514
140
-183
-168
-142
Therein:
€99m Pensions
€85m Corp. Items
-714
1,927
12 1,938
Including effects related to:
asset retirement obligation (interest)
reversal of provisions related to a former divestment
Tax rate
@27%
IB
SFS
CMPA SRE
Corp.
PPA
Elim.
Tax
Inc.
Disc.
Net
Items
Corp.
Cont.
Ops.
Income
& Pen.
Treas., Other
Ops
all in
Net debt bridge - Q1 FY 2017SFS Debt
Post emp. Benefits
Credit guarantees
Fair value adj. (hedge accounting)
Q1
+23.1
-11.1
-0.8
+0.6
ΔQ4
+0.7
+2.6
+0.0
+0.0
Adj. ind. Net Debt/ EBITDA (c/o)
0.7x
(Q4 FY16: 1.0x)
€bn
Operating Activities
therein:
Δ Inventories -0.3
Δ Trade and other receivables +0.2
Δ Trade payables -0.7
Δ Billings in excess +0.4
-8.0
therein a.o.:
CAPEX
-0.4
-19.1
Net Debt Q4 2016
Cash & cash equiv.
€11.91)
1.5
Cash flows from op. activities
(w/o ∆ working capital)
-0.4
∆ Working Capital
-0.3
Cash flows from investing activities
-1.5
Financing and other topics
-19.8
Net Debt Q1 2017
Cash & cash equiv.
€10.81)
11.8
Net Debt adjustments
Adj. ind. Net Debt Q1 2017
Including current available-for-sale financial assets
-
Financial calendar
March
March 22, 2017
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Conference (London)
March 27, 2017
Siemens U.S. Innovation Day (Princeton)
May
May 4, 2017
Q2 Earnings Release
May 5, 2017
Roadshow UK (London)
May 8, 2017
Roadshow Germany (Frankfurt)
May 30, 2017
Roadshow Canada (Toronto)
June June 16, 2017
JP Morgan Capital Goods Conference (London)
Investor Relations contacts Investor RelationsInternet:
www.siemens.com/investorrelations
Email:
investorrelations@siemens.com
IR-Hotline:
+49 89 636-32474
Fax:
+49 89 636-32830
Siemens AG published this content on 22 March 2017 and is solely responsible for the information contained herein.
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