PRESS RELEASE 2017

Regulated information | March 2017

Interim statement of the SIPEF group

Interim management report per 31 March 2017

  1. Group production

    First Quarter Year To Date

    2017 (In tonnes) Own Third parties

    Palm oil 64 276 16 606

    Q1/17

    YoY %

    21.73%

    Own Third parties

    64 276 16 606

    Q1/17

    YoY %

    21.73%

    80 882

    80 882

    Rubber 2 355 0

    2 355

    -9.00%

    2 355 0

    2 355

    -9.00%

    Tea 578 0

    578

    -27.11%

    578 0

    578

    -27.11%

    Bananas 8 141 0

    8 141

    20.23%

    8 141 0

    8 141

    20.23%

    2016 (In tonnes)

    Palm oil

    Own

    53 287

    Third parties

    13 159

    Q1/16

    66

    446

    Rubber

    2 526

    62

    2

    588

    Tea

    793

    0

    793

    Bananas

    6 771

    0

    6

    771

    Own

    53 287

    Third parties

    13 159

    Q1/16

    66

    446

    2 526

    62

    2

    588

    793

    0

    793

    6 771

    0

    6

    771

    Compared with 2016, a year which was characterised by low production in the wake of the El Niño weather phenomenon, we recorded rising palm oil volumes at all production sites of the SIPEFgroup (+21.7%). This upward trend was already observed at the end of last year, and continued apace during the first quarter, with the greatest progress being reported in January and March.

    The growth was most marked in the mature plantations of North Sumatra (+22.3%) and in the overall operations of Papua New Guinea (+34.2%). The young plantations of UMW/TUM in North Sumatra (+7.5%) and the Agro Muko plantations in Bengkulu that are in the course of being replanted (+7.1%) showed the same positive development.

    Weather conditions in Papua New Guinea were substantially better than last year, with precipitation levels that were only half of those in the first quarter of 2016, which meant that the usual harvesting and transportation problems did not occur. As the harvests of the neighbouring farmers could be collected without problem too, their contribution increased by 27.1% compared with last year's volume.

    Thanks to better weather conditions, Indonesian rubber volumes also showed a generally positive trend (+12.7%) with higher yields per hectare, although the first quarterly production level is often influenced by the timing of wintering, which this year occurred a little later in Melania in South Sumatra.

    The tea plantations in Java in Indonesia were off to a difficult start this year. Prolonged overcast conditions caused a 38% reduction in hours of sunshine compared with the average of the last 10 years, resulting in insufficient fresh leaf growth and a 27.1% fall in produc- tion compared with last year's first quarter.

    Weather conditions in Ivory Coast during the first quarter were not yet ideal for our banana production, although mild Harmattan winds in January and February and the contribution of the new plantings in the expansion zone in Azaguié already generated a gradual increase in volumes by 20.2% compared with the first quarter of 2016.

  2. Markets

    631

    700

    1 320

    1 605

    2 385

    2 298

    909

    905

    * World Commodity Price Data

    YTD Q1/17

    YTD Q1/16

    YTD Q4/16

    In USD/tonnes*

    Palm oil

    CIF Rotterdam

    773

    Rubber

    RSS3 FOB Singapore

    2 539

    Tea

    Mombasa

    2 815

    Bananas

    FOT Europe

    839

    Average market prices

    The tight palm oil stock situation in the origin and the destination kept the prices high during the beginning of the year, and the spot inverse triggered a premium over liquid oils. Hence, palm oil lost demand to soybean oil and sunflower oil. In the middle of February the market was aggressively sold off by speculators related to China on the back of slow demand. The Market was negatively impacted by the expected improved palm oil production during the second half of the year and better weather in South America during the final stages of the soybean production, resulted in another record crop. The tight stock situation in palm oil, which is expected to continue into the second quarter, seems totally ignored and the market was ruled by a perception of what is to come. At the end of March, the US Department of Agriculture planting forecast showed a significant growth in soybean hectares, at the expense of corn and wheat, which was another bearish factor. The palm oil market dropped about USD 100 per tonne, from USD 760 per tonne at the beginning of the year to USD 665 per tonne by the end of March.

    The palm kernel oil (PKO) market usually trades in a more volatile style than palm oil. The high PKO prices had reduced the appetite from the customers to take any PKO coverage and finally the prices snapped. Its substitute, coconut oil, however, kept its prices up and the discounting of PKO grew and should attract demand. In the meantime, the price of PKO traded from USD 1 550 per tonne at the beginning of the year to USD 1 100 per tonne CIF Rotterdam at the end of March.

    The rubber market initially continued its impressive uptrend during the first quarter as floods in Thailand were reducing the production. The Chinese speculators continued to bull the futures market, but physical buying interest remained rather static. Similar to palm oil, the rubber market was sold off massively in the middle of February as the speculators locked in their profits. Prices for SICOM RSS3 only dropped from USD 2 295 per tonne to USD 2 246 per tonne at the end of March, but with a spike of prices towards USD 2 920 per tonne in the middle of the quarter.

    Mombasa tea auction prices started 2017 with a bullish trend on the back of the dry spell that had kicked in at the end of 2016. Despite strong drops in Kenyan production in January (-34%), February (-49%) and an expected drop in March, tea prices ended the first quar- ter 10% lower from their peak in January, as the auction volumes did not reduce to the same extent, meaning stocks being reduced.

  3. Prospects

Production

It is already obvious that the strong production increases of the first quarter will not persist during the second quarter. Smaller numbers of unripe fruit are reported in our oil palm plantations for the coming months, which means that we will see more 'normal' growth volu- mes of around 10% in the next period.

We expect slightly higher production figures for our Indonesian rubber plantations, a recovery of tea production as weather conditions return to normal, and a continuation of the upward trend in banana volumes in the second quarter.

Markets

The palm oil market seems to be ignoring the tight stock environment it is currently in and everyone is talking about the massive palm oil crop ahead of us. The expected soybean crop this summer in the United States is another cloud that is hanging over our market, and customers remain hand-to-mouth. However, this seems to be priced in and palm oil is currently competitive versus liquid oil. Therefore, we expect that any surprise that could lead to supply disruption, such as less growth in palm oil than expected; bad weather disrupting the US bean development; or longer term, the creation of another El Niño, will trigger a buying wave as global stocks are still very low. In the meantime, the Indonesian biodiesel program is likely to increase its usage at these lower prices. We remain positive that we are currently at the lower end of the price range.

The rubber market has lost about 25% since the highs in February as the Chinese speculators decided to liquidate whilst Thai produc- tion was coming back on after the floods disappeared. The lacklustre physical buying interest was still playing hide and seek, waiting for even lower prices. On top of that the Thai government decided to release some of its stocks, adding further pressure. Despite the current bearish tone, the supply and demand globally are in much better balance than a year ago. Therefore, we are confident that we will keep steady prices in the coming months, albeit lower than the prices we enjoyed for a few months.

The strong reduction in the tea crop in Kenya will only be felt by the end of the second quarter. The reduced stocks and lacklustre de- mand ahead of Ramadan is expected to trigger a buying wave, only to realise then how bad the actual crop was. As a result, we expect firm tea markets for the months to come.

Results

The higher-than-expected palm oil production volumes in the first quarter allowed us to sell at good spot prices and already to hedge a substantial part of the second quarter; consequently, so that so far already 45% of the projected annual volumes are sold at an average price of USD 788/tonne CIF Rotterdam (including premiums), compared with 39% at USD 681/tonne CIF Rotterdam at the same time last year. The lower prices recorded in recent weeks will have more of an impact on the sales of the second quarter.

The short-lived increase in rubber prices meant that 42% of the projected annual volumes were put on the market at an average price of USD 2 307/tonne FOB compared with 49% at USD 1 267/tonne at the same time last year.

The downward trend in tea prices is reflected in the realised sales. 40% of the projected volumes were sold at USD 2 400/tonne FOB, which is 13.0% lower than the price of USD 2 760/tonne realised around the same time last year.

The local currencies maintained their value against the USD, while the unit costs were favourably influenced by the increased volumes, which neutralised the modest increase in labour costs.

Cash flow and expansion

The company's investment policy is primarily focused on the normal replanting in the mature plantations and on the expansion of our palm oil operations in Musi Rawas in South Sumatra, Indonesia. At the three concessions, the compensation of farmland, followed by the preparation of the site and the planting of oil palms, continues at a steady pace. In the first quarter, an additional 404 hectares were compensated, which means that 11 758 hectares are available for planting for our own plantations (80%) and neighbouring farmers (20%). An additional 656 hectares have been planted and 857 hectares already prepared for planting; this means that, to date, 7 132 hectares are planted or prepared for planting, which is 61% of the available hectares. Our objective remains to develop a total of more than 18 000 hectares.

Last 4th of April, the extraordinary general meeting approved a capital increase up to USD 97.2 million. This should allow us to:

  • reimburse part of the bridge loan facility entered into to finance the acquisition of an additional interest of 47.71% in PT Agro Muko, and

  • pay part of the purchase price for the possible acquisition of 95% of PT Dendy Marker Indah Lestari.

We intend to refinance the remainder of the bridge loan facility and of the purchase price for PT Dendy Marker Indah Lestari by a long- term bank loan.

This announcement does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell or issue of securities referred to herein, nor any solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for securities referred to herein, in any jurisdiction in which such an offer or solicitation is unlawful prior to registration, an exemption from registration or qualification under the securities legislation of any such jurisdiction. In particular, the securities referred to in this announcement have not been, and will not be, registered under the US Securities Act of 1933 (the Securities Act) or under the securities legislation of any state of the Uni- ted States, and may not be offered, sold, resold or delivered, directly or indirectly, in or into the United States absent registration except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act. The Company and its affiliated companies did not register any part of any offer in the United States and have no intention to do so, and have made no public offer of securities in the United States and do not have the intention to do so.

Any offer of securities will be made by means of an offer document which will contain detailed information about the Company. This announcement is not a prospectus within the meaning of Directive 2003/71/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of the European Union on November 4, 2003, as amended and as implemented in the respective Member States of the European Economic Area (the "Prospectus Directive "). A prospectus will be published, which, if and when published, can be obtained, inter alia, from the Company. Investors should not subscribe for any securities referred to in this announcement except on the basis of information contained in the prospectus.

Certain statements, beliefs and opinions in this press release are forward-looking, which reflect the Company or, as appropriate, the Company directors' current expectations and projections about future events. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and as- sumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. A multitude of factors including, but not limited to, changes in demand, competition and technology, can cause actual events, performance or results to differ significantly from any anticipated development. Forward looking statements contained in this press release regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. As a result, the Company expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to release any update or revisions to any forward-looking statements in this press release as a result of any change in expectations or any change in events, conditions, assumptions or circumstances on which these forward-looking statements are based. The Company does not guarantee that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors nor does it accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the forward-looking state- ments contained in this press release or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this press release.

Schoten, 20 April 2017

For more information, please contact:

F. Van Hoydonck, managing director

(GSM +32 478 92 92 82)

J. Nelis,

chief financial officer

Tel.: +32 3 641 97 00

Fax : +32 3 646 57 05

finance@sipef.com www.sipef.com (section "investors")

SIP

LISTED

EURONEXT

SIPEF is a Belgian agro-industrial company listed on Euronext Brussels. The company mainly holds majority stakes in tropical businesses, which it manages and operates. The group is geographically diversified, and produces a number of different commodities, principally palm oil. Its investments are largely long-term ventures in developing countries.

Sipef NV published this content on 20 April 2017 and is solely responsible for the information contained herein.
Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 20 April 2017 07:27:14 UTC.

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