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Spectra Energy Corp. : A downturn could occure

02/21/2013 | 10:46am
Opinion : Bearish under USD 30.2
Target price : USD 28.3
Stop loss: USD 30.4
NYSE
Oil & Gas Transportation Services

The share is meeting an important level. We suggest caution because this point could stop the bullish trend.

The fundamentals remain very fragile. The security seems highly overvalued compared to other securities in its sector.

Graphically, the share is in a period of technical rebound that allowed it to reach the USD 29.8 short-term resistance. This area could trigger a sell signal for investors in case of profit-taking. Furthermore, the rallying of the USD 28.3 support area will be considered for upcoming sessions.

The upside seems limited as shown by fundamentals and technical configuration. In contact with the USD 29.8 resistance, a movement of consolidation could return the stock towards the USD 28.3 support. As a result, the most aggressive investors could take a short at the current price, but they need to set a stop loss above this resistance, because the crossing of this level would invalidate our scenario.

Spectra Energy Corp. : Spectra Energy Corp. : A downturn could occure
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Financial Ratios

Size 2014e 2015e
Capitalization 26 098 M$ -
Entreprise Value (EV) 40 929 M$ 41 633 M$
Valuation 2014e 2015e
PER (Price / EPS) 24,2x 23,5x
Capitalization / Revenue 4,34x 4,10x
EV / Revenue 6,80x 6,53x
EV / EBITDA 12,9x 12,4x
Yield (DPS / Price) 3,45% 3,77%
Profitability 2014e 2015e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 36,6% 35,1%
operating Leverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) - 0,30x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 18,5% 17,2%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) 3,80% -
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 12,4% 11,7%
Rate of Dividend 83,6% 88,6%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2014e 2015e
CAPEX / Sales   40,5% 45,9%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) 30,3% 30,1%
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) 4,88x -
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 4,66x 4,62x
Income Statement Evolution
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