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Talking Points:

  • USD/CAD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 1.1204, 1.1092, 1.1002
  • Resistance: 1.1329, 1.1406, 1.1483

The US Dollar declined against its Canadian counterpart as expected, with sellers producing a break below the 1.1200 figure. Near-term term support is at 1.1165, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 1.1097-98 zone (50% level, September 15 high). Alternatively, a reversal above the 1.1224-49 area (channel floor support-turned-resistance, 23.6% Fib) opens the door for a challenge of the 14.6% threshold at 1.1300.

Prices are too close to support to justify entering short from a risk/reward perspective. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal suggests that taking up the long side is premature. With that in mind we will remain flat for now.

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USD/CAD Technical Analysis: Sellers Overcome 1.12 Figure

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com


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