Stock HCC WARRIOR MET COAL, INC.
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Financials Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

Equities

HCC

US93627C1018

Iron & Steel

Market Closed - Nyse
Other stock markets
 04:00:02 2024-05-31 pm EDT 		5-day change 1st Jan Change
68.43 USD +2.84% Intraday chart for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. +3.24% +12.24%
May. 29 RBC Raises Price Target on Warrior Met Coal to $70 From $64, Keeps Sector Perform Rating MT
May. 21 The latest transactions by star managers Our Logo

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 1,079 1,091 1,322 1,789 3,172 3,579 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 1,246 1,289 1,257 1,254 2,577 3,089 2,813 3,579
P/E ratio 3.61 x -30.5 x 8.77 x 2.79 x 6.63 x 9.2 x 10 x 9.31 x
Yield 21.8% 0.94% 0.78% 4.45% 1.9% 0.41% 0.44% 0.41%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.85 x 1.39 x 1.25 x 1.03 x 1.89 x 2.11 x 2.19 x 2.04 x
EV / Revenue 0.98 x 1.65 x 1.19 x 0.72 x 1.54 x 1.82 x 1.72 x 2.04 x
EV / EBITDA 2.6 x 11.9 x 2.75 x 1.26 x 3.69 x 5.28 x 4.8 x 5.66 x
EV / FCF 2.93 x -33.4 x 4.49 x 2.13 x 14.6 x 32.4 x 14 x 17.9 x
FCF Yield 34.2% -3% 22.3% 46.9% 6.84% 3.08% 7.15% 5.59%
Price to Book 1.42 x 1.5 x 1.52 x 1.24 x 1.69 x - - -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 51,072 51,186 51,411 51,654 52,019 52,301 - -
Reference price 2 21.13 21.32 25.71 34.64 60.97 68.43 68.43 68.43
Announcement Date 2/19/20 2/24/21 2/22/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 1,268 782.7 1,059 1,739 1,677 1,694 1,635 1,751
EBITDA 1 478.7 108.3 457 994.2 698.9 584.9 586.3 632
EBIT 1 383.4 -27.14 243.8 801.4 541.4 444.5 419.6 439.6
Operating Margin 30.23% -3.47% 23.01% 46.09% 32.29% 26.25% 25.66% 25.1%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 367.1 -55.9 200 783.1 551.4 418.3 424.5 472.2
Net income 1 301.7 -35.76 150.9 641.3 478.6 371.7 345.9 369
Net margin 23.79% -4.57% 14.24% 36.88% 28.55% 21.95% 21.16% 21.07%
EPS 2 5.860 -0.7000 2.930 12.40 9.200 7.435 6.840 7.352
Free Cash Flow 1 425.5 -38.62 280.2 587.7 176.3 95.2 201 199.9
FCF margin 33.55% -4.93% 26.45% 33.8% 10.52% 5.62% 12.29% 11.41%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 88.9% - 61.31% 59.11% 25.23% 16.28% 34.28% 31.63%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 141.05% - 185.7% 91.65% 36.84% 25.61% 58.1% 54.18%
Dividend per Share 2 4.610 0.2000 0.2000 1.540 1.160 0.2800 0.3000 0.2800
Announcement Date 2/19/20 2/24/21 2/22/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 415.5 378.7 625.2 390.2 344.8 509.7 379.7 423.5 363.8 503.5 382.8 401.4 406 403.4 402.3
EBITDA 1 240.2 243.8 431.2 171.6 147.5 259.4 130 145.8 163.7 200.2 109.6 137.2 130.7 150.7 152.6
EBIT 1 184.3 186.8 372.5 124.4 117.6 209.7 90.44 107.8 133.6 149.1 88.14 109.3 102.7 124.2 -
Operating Margin 44.34% 49.35% 59.59% 31.89% 34.11% 41.14% 23.82% 25.44% 36.71% 29.61% 23.02% 27.23% 25.29% 30.78% -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 165.1 179.7 365.3 118.7 119.3 211.3 96.63 102.2 141.2 156.1 62.51 94.24 90.61 117.8 -
Net income 1 138.5 146.2 297 98.4 99.65 182.3 82.09 85.38 128.9 137 60.89 85.91 84.2 98.94 -
Net margin 33.33% 38.62% 47.51% 25.22% 28.91% 35.76% 21.62% 20.16% 35.42% 27.21% 15.91% 21.4% 20.74% 24.53% -
EPS 2 2.680 2.830 5.740 1.900 1.930 3.510 1.580 1.640 2.470 2.620 1.406 1.572 1.777 1.846 1.930
Dividend per Share 2 0.0500 0.0600 0.5600 0.8600 0.0600 0.9500 0.0700 0.0700 0.0700 - 0.0700 0.0700 0.0700 - -
Announcement Date 2/22/22 5/5/22 8/3/22 11/2/22 2/15/23 5/3/23 8/2/23 11/1/23 2/14/24 5/1/24 - - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 167 198 - - - - - -
Net Cash position 1 - - 64.5 536 594 490 766 -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.3485 x 1.828 x - - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 426 -38.6 280 588 176 95.2 201 200
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 40.8% -4.8% 18.9% 55.3% 28.8% 18.3% 14.5% 16.9%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 22% -2.61% - - - - - -
Assets 1 1,370 1,369 - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 14.90 14.20 17.00 28.00 36.00 - - -
Cash Flow per Share 2 10.30 2.200 6.830 16.30 13.50 11.10 13.50 12.30
Capex 1 107 87.5 71.4 254 525 494 360 244
Capex / Sales 8.46% 11.18% 6.74% 14.62% 31.3% 29.18% 22.02% 13.9%
Announcement Date 2/19/20 2/24/21 2/22/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
68.43 USD
Average target price
74.83 USD
Spread / Average Target
+9.36%
Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

Sector Coke Coal Mining

1st Jan change Capi.
WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. Stock Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
+12.24% 3.58B
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CORONADO GLOBAL RESOURCES INC. Stock Coronado Global Resources Inc.
-36.65% 1.24B
SHAANXI HEIMAO COKING CO., LTD. Stock Shaanxi Heimao Coking Co., Ltd.
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RAMACO RESOURCES, INC. Stock Ramaco Resources, Inc.
-17.64% 722M
BAOTAILONG NEW MATERIALS CO., LTD. Stock Baotailong New Materials Co., Ltd.
-39.71% 558M
Coke Coal Mining
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