Attijariwafa bank

As of 31 December 2016

Financial Communication

2017

2

Agenda

Overview of the economic environment

IFRS consolidated financial statements as of December 31, 2016 Regulatory ratios as of December 31, 2016

Attijariwafa bank share price performance

Macroeconomic environment in Africa in 2016 Real GDP growth in Africa

2015 2016E 2017F

Real GDP growth in North and Sub-Saharan Africa (%)

Africa

3.6%

3.7%

4.5%

9.6

North Africa

3.5%

3.3%

3.8%

West Africa

3.3%

4.3%

5.5%

6.3

North Africa WAEMU1 EMCCA 2

Incl. WAEMU1 6.3% 6.3% 6.5%

Central Africa 3.7% 3.9% 5.0%

Incl. EMCCA2 2.1% 1.0% 2.6%

4.4

6.0

6.1 6.3 6.36.3 6.5

4.7 3.8

2.8 3.5 3.3

1.7

East Africa 6.3% 6.4% 6.7%

South Africa 2.2% 1.9% 2.8%

1.3

0.3

1.4

2.1

1.0

2.6

African economy
  • Economic growth in Africa: 3.7% in 2016E vs. 3.6% in 2015, driven mainly by domestic factors, including private consumption, public

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F

    Inflation rate (%)

    WAEMU 1

    2

    infrastructure developement and private investment

    North Africa
  • GDP growth of 3.3% in 2016E vs. 3.5% in 2015

    WAEMU(1)
  • GDP growth of 6.3% in 2016E and inflation rate of 1.2% in 2016E vs.

    3.6

    2.7

    3.8

    2.8

    2.2

    2.7

    2.2

    EMCCA

    2.1

    2.8

    1.7

    1.0% in 2015

    EMCCA(2)
  • GDP growth of 1.0% in 2016E vs. 2.1% in 2015 and inflation rate

1.3

-0.1

1.0

1.2

stable at 2.1% in 2016E

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F

  1. WAEMU: Senegal, Burkina Faso, Mali, Ivory-Coast, Benin, Niger, Togo and Guinea-Bissau.

  2. EMCCA: Cameroon, Congo, Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, Central African Republic and Chad

    Source : BAD, FMI 3

    - 2016 FY Results- Attijariwafa bank

    Macroeconomic environment in Morocco in 2016

    2015

    2016E

    2017F

    Real GDP growth

    4.5%

    1.1%

    3.6%

    Agricultural GDP

    13.0%

    -9.8%

    9.7%

    Non agricultural GDP

    3.4%

    2.7%

    2.8%

    Main economic indicators

    Domestic Consumption

    (growth,%) 2.4% 2.6% 3.2%

    Inflation 1.6% 1.6% 1.0%

    Imports (Change,%) -3.0% 9.6% -

    Exports* (Change,%) 8.1% 2.9% -

    MLA** Remittances (Change,%) 0.3% 3.4% -

    FDI*** (Change,%) 9.2% -17.2% -

    Economic growth
    • GDP growth rate of 1.1% in 2016E mainly due to a lower cereal harvest (33.5 million quintals vs 115 million of quintals in 2015)

      - Non-agricultural growth : 2.7% in 2016E

    • Stable inflation rate at 1.6% in 2016E (1.0% in 2017F and 1.5% in 2018F)

    • Continued improvement of macro-economic environment:

      Significant increase of foreign currency reserves to reach

      6.9 months of imports in 2016 (4.1 months in 2012)

      Budget deficit to -4.0% of GDP in 2016E and -3.5% in 2017F in line with government target (-7.3% in 2012)

      Stabilization of the treasury debt (~64% of GDP)

      Monetary policy

      Current account

      Deficit/Surplus (% GDP) -2.0%

      Capital and Financial Transactions

      -3.7%1

      (-2.9 in 2016E) -

    • Decrease of central bank key interest rate by 25bps to

      2,25% (March 2016)

    • Increase of the mandatory reserve from 2% to 4% (June

    Account (% GDP) 6.0% 5.9%1 -

    Foreign currency reserves

    (months of imports) 6.7 6.9 -

    2016)

    (*) Goods and services including Tourism ; (**) Moroccan Living Abroad ;

    Budget deficit/surplus (% GDP) -4.3% -4.0% -3.5%

    Treasury debt (% GDP) 64.1% 64.8% 64.0%

    (***) Foreign Direct Investments

    1. As of 30 September 2016

    2. Source : Ministry of Finance, HCP, BAM, AWB Forecast

      4

      - 2016 FY Results- Attijariwafa bank

    Attijariwafa Bank published this content on 13 March 2017 and is solely responsible for the information contained herein.
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