WEBCAST - CONFERENCE CALL
Second Quarter 2016 Results
July 28th, 2016
© Repsol Investor Relations
DisclaimerALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED
© REPSOL, S.A. 2016
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This document contains statements that Repsol believes constitute forward-looking statements which may include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol and its management, including statements with respect to trends affecting Repsol's financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volume and reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates and are generally identified by the words "expects", "anticipates", "forecasts", "believes", estimates", "notices" and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Repsol's control or may be difficult to predict. Within those risks are those factors and circumstances described in the filings made by Repsol and its affiliates with the Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores in Spain and with any other supervisory authority of those markets where the securities issued by Repsol and/or its affiliates are listed.
Repsol does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.
In October 2015, the European Securities Markets Authority (ESMA) published the Guidelines on Alternative Performance Measures (APM), of mandatory application for the regulated information to be published from 3 July 2016. Information and disclosures related to APM used on the present Q2 2016 Webcast Presentation are included in Appendix I "Alternative Performance Measures" of the Interim Management Report
© for the six-month period ended 30 June 2016 2
Second Quarter 2016 Results
Progress of the Strategic Plan
Market Environment and operational highlights
Quarterly and financial results
Conclusions
©
Progress of Strategic Plan 1
Progress of Strategic PlanUpdate
Challenging macro scenario
- Results in line with strategy
UPSTREAM
Lower commodity prices compared to 2Q15
Increase in production volumes
Lower exploration expenses
DOWNSTREAM
Maintenance at Cartagena and Tarragona refineries Capacity Utilization
Strong Chemical business
Higher contribution from Commercial businesses
© 5
Progress of Strategic PlanStrategic Commitments Follow up
Target 2016 | 2016 Estimate | |
Synergies | 0.2 | 0.2 |
Efficiencies | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Total (B€) | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Efficiency & Synergies Program
Target 16-17 | 1H16 | |
Repsol Investment (B€) | ~3.9 | 1.6 |
Investment Flexibility
Target 16-17 | 1H16 | |
Divestments (B€) | 3.1 | 2.8(1) |
Production (kboed) | 706 (2) | 705 |
Divestments & Management Portfolio
Includes projected proceed on agreed transactions and other operations.
2016 Annual Budget.
Target
1H16
CF Neutrality BE ($/boe) (3)
~40
~40
E&P FCF BE ($/boe)
~65
~65
Value & Resilience
FCF after interests and dividends (0.5€/share out of 0.8 €/share expected for this year)
Target
Actual
Investment Grade
Maintain
Maintain
Finance Commitments
© 6
2
Market environment and
operational activity
Market environment Brent - $/boe50,00
45.5
40,00
33.9
30,00
20,00
10,00
1Q 2016
2Q 2016
0,00
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Exchange Rate - $/€ Henry Hub - $/Mbtu1,00
1,05
1.10
1,10
3,00
2,50
2.0
2.1
2,00
1,15
1,20
1Q 2016
2Q 2016
1.13
1,50
1,00
1Q 2016
2Q 2016
© Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 8
Operational ActivityProduction
+33%
(+) Ramps-ups of:
Cardon IV (Venezuela)
525*
kboed
697
kboed
Sapinhoa (Brazil)
(+) Higher contribution from Gudrun (Norway)
2Q 2015 2Q 2016(+) Higher production in Peru
* TalIsman production included since May 8th
Partially offset by:
-2%
(-) Shut-down of the Varg field (Norway)
714
kboed
697
kboed
(-) Maintenance work in T&T
1Q 2016 2Q 2016(-) Increased royalties do to higher prices in South East Asia PSCs
9
©
Operational activityDevelopment projects
Sapinhoá & Lapa
Brazil
Sapinhoá: Ramp-up of the second FPSO is expected in second half of 2016
Lapa: First oil is expected in 3Q16 (ahead of schedule).
© 10
Operational activityDevelopment projects
MonArb & Flyndre/Cawdor UK
First oil expected in the first half of 2017
© 11
Operational activityDevelopment projects
Marcellus
USA
Higher production YoY.
Cash breakeven close to $2/Mbtu
Cash generative at current prices
© 12
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