Markus Tacke, CEO Wind Power and Renewables
Capital Market Day - Energy and Oil & Gas | Houston, June 29, 2016
Unrestricted © Siemens AG 2016
siemens.com/investor
Notes and forward-looking statementsThis document contains statements related to our future business and financial performance and future events or developments involving Siemens that may constitute forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by words such as "expect," "look forward to," "anticipate" "intend," "plan," "believe," "seek," "estimate," "will," "project" or words of similar meaning. We may also make forward-looking statements in other reports, in presentations, in material delivered to shareholders and in press releases. In addition, our representatives may from time to time make oral forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on the current expectations and certain assumptions of Siemens' management, of which many are beyond Siemens' control. These are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and factors, including, but not limited to those described in disclosures, in particular in the chapter Risks in the Annual Report. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying expectations not occur or assumptions prove incorrect, actual results, performance or achievements of Siemens may (negatively or positively) vary materially from those described explicitly or implicitly in the relevant forward-looking statement. Siemens neither intends, nor assumes any obligation, to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated.
This document includes - in IFRS not clearly defined - supplemental financial measures that are or may be non-GAAP financial measures. These supplemental financial measures should not be viewed in isolation or as alternatives to measures of Siemens' net assets and financial positions or results of operations as presented in accordance with IFRS in its Consolidated Financial Statements. Other companies that report or describe similarly titled financial measures may calculate them differently.
Due to rounding, numbers presented throughout this and other documents may not add up precisely to the totals provided and percentages may not precisely reflect the absolute figures.
Wind Power and Renewables is a crucial pillar of the Siemens energy portfolio − High mutual benefits with other Siemens businessesKey figures FY 2015: €6.1bn Orders | €5.7bn Revenues | 2.8% Margin | 12,800 Employees | 5 to 8% Margin target
Wind Power and Renewables Division
Mutual benefits within Siemens AG
Onshore Offshore
Full-fledged energy solutions for customers
e.g. Egypt deal together with Power & Gas
and Energy Management
Financing solutions
Direct Drive Platform
e.g. participation of Siemens Financial Services in Gemini offshore project
Joint R&D efforts
e.g. new offshore grid access solutions with
Geared Platform
Direct Drive Platform
~15,000 turbines or 27GW installed until H1 FY16
37 years of experience in onshore wind
56% of Revenue H1 FY16
Order backlog H1 FY16: €15bn (largest ever)
Geared Platform
~2,100 turbines or 7GW installed until H1 FY16
25 years of experience in offshore wind, clear #1 with 58% of global capacity installed
44% of Revenue H1 FY16
Energy Management
Utilization of wide array of internal suppliers
gearboxes from Winergy, generators from Process Industries and Drives
Service
~34GW installed base by H1 FY16 − ~160% growth since FY11
Renewables gaining momentum worldwide - Policy changes and declining costs making wind power more attractiveWind Power market (FY15 - FY21e)
Orders (in GW)1)
Market development
Renewables as affordable mainstream energy
COP21 setting ambitious targets towards climate change and decarbonization
CAGR
Offshore
Onshore
30
FY15
4%
38
FY18e
38
FY21e
Levelized Cost of Energy (LCoE) of wind decreased by ~25% since 20102)
Global renewable power investments growing in 2015 to a new record of US$329bn3), nearly six times its 2004 total
World's largest nations driving further renewable deployment through policy:
e.g. China: 15% non-fossil energy by 2020, USA: PTC/ITC extension, India: Renewable target: 175GW by 2022
Increasing number of emerging countries starting to deploy renewable policy,
e.g. Egypt, Mexico
Stable wind market, selected pockets of growth
After record year in 2015 (incl. >30GW new installation in China), onshore market will remain stable
Three main growth pillars: Offshore, emerging markets and service
1) Excluding China - served through license partner 2) Bloomberg New Energy Finance - onshore wind LCoE 3) BNEF
Wind2020 program launched in 2015 - Execution according to planWind2020 Priority topics Financial performance
Sustainable return to target range
Orders (in €bn) Profit (in €bn)
Stabilize
Grow
Product Portfolio
Supplier Quality
4.0
7.1%
188
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
Cost Com- petitiveness
Leadership
@ Wind
2.7
H1 15
H1 16
1.3%
37
H1 15 H1 16
Execution according to plan - Ahead to deliver sustainable returns
x.x% Profit margin as reported
Significant progress on quality visible in better margins - High focus on next generation productsQuality measures
Established effective quality organization
Introduction of quality mgmt. practices
Clear evidence of success
Significant decrease of quality costs in project execution
from automotive industry
Supplier quality improvement initiatives
e.g. through early involvement
Digitalization of new product development by introducing Teamcenter
FY14
-15%
FY15
-20%
FY16 target
Leading Edge protection
Leading Edge Protection (LEP) solution
developed successfully
Continuous improvement of supply chain quality
Blade Inspection
By effectively dealing with our quality issues we are well equipped to launch our next generation products
Stringent execution of cost out measures; >5% total cost productivity p.a. - Major footprint changes underwayCost measures
Product cost reduction based on market driven targets
Optimization of project execution
Reduction of structural cost and overhead
Adaptation of global footprint
- including shift to low cost locations and cost reduction in logistics
Clear evidence of success
Stringent target costing approach introduced with early involvement of supplier
Introduction of 24hrs workflow for I&C1)
of one offshore turbine (>50% OF time reduction2))
Savings through execution of 1by16
Capacity of China blade factory being doubled; groundwork for Morocco blade factory started
Morocco
China
Egypt
UK
Germany
Total Cost Productivity of 5% achieved in FY15 - Target for FY16: >5%
Installation and commissioning 2) Condition apply - Achieved through smart logistic concepts and shift of offshore work to land
Complete product portfolio overhaul underway - Main impact starting from FY18Development measures
ON geared platform,
e.g. SWT-2.3-120
Longer blades
New gearbox
Upgraded bedframe
Build on proven design
Re-use of components
Clear evidence of success
• +9% more energy output
Optimal rotor giving strong capacity factor to fill US customer demand
ON direct drive platform,
e.g. SWT-3.3-130
Longer blades
Upgraded Generator
New cooling system
Upgrade of all critical elements
• +10% more energy output
First order for Finland in Q4 FY15
OF direct drive platform,
e.g. SWT-7.0-154
New Converter
Upgraded transformers
Stronger magnets
Re-use of established supply chain
• +10% more energy output
First order for UK in Q4 FY15, largest order with 102 units in Q2 FY16
Certificate received 8 months earlier than planned
Further developments ongoing - Communication expected still in 2016 | In FY18 ~80% of deliveries will be new developments
Onshore to stay successful in traditional strongholds and to tap into new growth marketsSelected examples
Ensure success in largest markets
Large frame contract with
SH-Wind for new D3 platform
Joint energy solution together with PG and EM with 2 GW wind frame contract
Drive partial localization with local partners
Further expand local setup and capabilities - maintain #1 position
Capture growth in upcoming markets
Introduction of new G2 platform (2.3-120) and new concrete tower solution
First mover with 61 MW at Siahpoush Wind farm
Orders Split FY151)
APAC
Efficiently serve small/opportunistic markets
Preferred supplier for 850 MW e.g. Midelt, together with EGP. New blade factory for local market and export
1) Excluding Service Market development
Support developers to optimize financial arrangements
Hub-based sales, e.g. in South Africa to efficiently serve small markets like Kenya and Ghana
EMEA
AM
Siemens as Offshore leader drives innovations to further reduce costsOffshore Leader
Largest OF park ever built (London Array 630 MW)
25 years of experience
Siemens WP has been the Offshore market leader for years and benefits from its
unchallenged experience
~2,100 Turbines
51% Market share in CY15 - clear #1
Innovation on turbine … and beyond
Innovative turbine: SWT-7.0-154
Built on proven 6.0-154
10% more AEP vs. 6 MW
Leverage existing supply chain
Further expansion to 8 MW planned
Innovative diagnostics
200 Gigabyte of data per day
Detecting damage before it occurs
Remotely fixing the problems
Industrialized jacket foundation
~40% cost reduction compared to traditional concepts
Innovative grid access
E.g. new HVAC solution requires no separated platform
40% cost reduction
Target of €9.5ct
by 2020 to be achieved
… major recent wins … and leadership to be sustained
LCoE in €ct/kWh based on reference case1) • East Anglia One
(UK - 714 MW - ScottishPower Renewables)
Unmatched #1 position
~2,100 turbines installed offshore
14.5
Baseline 2014
72%
Implemented Measures2)
28%
Identified levers
9.5
Target 2020
Hohe See3)
(GER - 407 MW - EnBW)
Arkona Becken
(GER - 360 MW - E.ON)
Formosa 1
(Taiwan - 8 MW - Formosa)
Best performing wind farms London Array recorded highest output in Dec 2015 (CF4): 79%)
Best performing turbines SWT-7.0-154 awarded Turbine of the Year by WPM in 2015
Best sold turbine in China OF
SWT 4.0-130 through license agreement (>70% MS)
Siemens fully supports and leads the way to the offshore industry commitment below €8ct LCoE in 2025
1) Based on the SWT-7.0-154 turbine; Offshore project 1 GW, 50m water depth, 114 km from shore 2) Levers include measures in relation to the WTG, Grid, OPEX and AEP and financial levers
3) Preferred Supplier 4) Capacity factor
Execution according to plan - More to comeKey takeaways
Growing Market
4%
CAGR 15-211)
Solid business in growing market
Wind 2020Execution according to plan
Growth Path
7.1%Profit margin2)
~80%
New developments in FY18 deliveries
Turnaround program established and well on track
Launch of new products supports the profitable growth - in ON and OF
1) Excluding China - served through license partner
2) H1 2016
Siemens AG published this content on 29 June 2016 and is solely responsible for the information contained herein.
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