Monitoringtrendsfoor ve6r 0years

June 27, 2014

Healthy Job Growth Offsets Dismal Wage Prospects

Index of Consumer Expectations

73.5

73.7

77.8

-0.3%

-5.5%

Current Conditions Index

96.6

94.5

93.8

+2.2%

+3.0%

returned to positive economic growth. The dismissal of
the economy's poor performance was made possible by healthy job growth. Indeed, the June survey recorded the largest proportion of households that reported making financial gains in nearly seven years.

Personal Finances

More consumers reported that their financial situation had improved in the June survey than anytime since 2007. The proportion of households that reported improved finances over the past year was 40% in June, up from 35% one month and one year ago. Consumers, however, were a bit less optimistic about their future financial pro-
spects. Just one-in-four households expected their finances to improve in the year ahead in the June survey. The
biggest concerns were focused on expected wage growth, which most households expected would not exceed the inflation rate, meaning that nearly half of all households anticipated declining living standards.

Home Selling

Since most home buyers must sell their current home, home selling conditions are critical. In the June 2014 sur- vey, half of all homeowners reported home selling conditions were favorable for the first time in eight years, with the largest proportion since the May 2006 survey reporting home prices had improved making the sale more
attractive. Moreover, the smallest proportion reported that they would lose money if they sold their home.

Consumer Sentiment Index

The Sentiment Index was 82.5 in the June 2014 survey, between the 81.9 in May and last June's 84.1. During the first half of 2014, the Sentiment Index remained remarkably stable. The largest June gains were recorded in the Current Conditions Index (96.6, up from May's 94.5). The

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Richard T. Curtin • Director, Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers • Phone 734.763.5224

Thomson Reuters PR Hotline: 646.223.7222 ext. 1 • http://press.sca.isr.umich.edu

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