Q4 2023 Results

Q4 2023 Results Press Release

Key Financial metrics

FY 2023

Q4

Reported profit after income tax

€611.3mn

€120.7mn

Normalized1

profit after tax

€780.4mn

€215.8mn

Normalized1

Return on tangible book value (RoTBV)

12.9%

14.3%

Fully-loaded Common Equity Tier 1(CET1%)

14.3%

14.3%

Tangible Book Value per Share

€2.74

€2.74

Key takeaways

  • 2023 Normalised ROTBV2 at 12.9%, EPS2 at €0.32, +237bp in FL CET1% y/y.
  • Net credit expansion of €1.1bn in Q4 with €2.8bn record high disbursements, driving 2023 growth to 5% on a like-for-like basis.
  • Customer deposits +3% y/y and flat q/q on a like-for-like basis; AuMs +€0.8bn q/q or +37.2% y/y. Time deposits at 25% of domestic deposit base, stable q/q, with deposit beta evolving slower than expected.
  • NPE ratio at 6%, down 180bps y/y, reflecting robust curing activity and benign asset quality flows alongside the reclassification to HFS of Project "Gaia", whereas pro forma for the reclassification of our Romanian operations, the NPE ratio stood at 5.8%. Underlying CoR in line with guidance, cash coverage pick-up continued.
  • Strong capital generation with FL CET1 and Total Capital ratios rising y/y by +237bps and +376bps, respectively. The reported CET1 ratio of 14.3% includes a dividend accrual of 38bps for the entire year of 2023, subject to regulatory approval. Pro forma for remaining RWA relief FL CET1 stands at 15.9%3 and Total Capital ratio at 20.7%3. FL CET1 up 60bps q/q with 27bps of organic capital generation, 34bps positive impact from transactions and 8bps of dividend accrual.

Summary trends

  • Net Interest Income up +41% y/y and +1% q/q on higher rates and increased contribution from securities.
  • Fees & Commission income up +8.1% y/y excluding Merchant acquiring, driven by cards and payments alongside growth in Asset Management and Bancassurance. Q4 down -1.6% q/q to €99.2mn, on seasonally lower cards and payments activity, partly offset by business credit related fees on the back of robust loan origination.
  • Recurring OPEX -4.6% better y/y at €817.5mn, mainly reflecting lower Single Resolution fund (SRF) contributions; -5.9% q/q. C/I down by c.15pp vs 2022 at 39.5%.
  • FY 2023 Core PPI up +74.6%, driven by strong Core Banking Income increase (+31.5% y/y). Core PPI up by +3.6% q/q, on higher top line and improved operational efficiency.
  • For 2023, underlying CoR came inline with guidance, highlighting relatively benign asset quality flows. Cost of Risk at 96bps in Q4, reflecting Management actions and cost of synthetic securitization.
  • Normalised Profit After Tax of €215.8mn in Q4 2023, is Reported Profit /(Loss) After Tax of €120.7mn excluding (a) non recurring Operating Expenses of €5mn, (b) NPA transactions impact of €109mn, (c) €22mn on other adjustments and tax charge related to the above.

2

Q4 2023 Results Press Release

As a Bank, and as a nation, we have turned a corner and made an emphatic pivot

to growth

"2023 was a year of robust delivery for Alpha Bank as we successfully met each one of our targets. Thanks to our relentless focus on execution, we have made substantial progress against the strategic pillars laid out in our Investor Day last year and even exceeded guidance around profitability, capital and the NPE ratio.

In 2023, Net Interest Income grew significantly, as we benefitted from positive dynamics in the interest rate environment and a strong contribution from our securities portfolio. New disbursements reached a record high of €2.8 billion in Q4, leading to an annual 5% growth for our performing loan book.

We once again delivered a meaningful 200bp reduction in our NPE ratio, further normalizing asset quality, whilst our prudent approach to capital management has resulted in our CET-1 ratio rising to 15.9% when accounting for the upcoming transactions we have agreed.

The decisive actions we have taken in 2023 have accelerated and de-risked key elements of our strategic plan, with the roll out of our new service model in Retail, an expanded offering in Wealth and higher product penetration in Wholesale. Our strategic partnership with UniCredit has unlocked the profitability potential of our International business whilst creating upside potential for the rest of the Group.

While the geopolitical environment remains uncertain, the outlook for Greece is undeniably positive. The Greek economy grew at a significantly faster rate than the Eurozone average in 2023 as GDP increased by 2%, and we see this trend continuing through to 2025. The return of Greece to investment grade status last year underscored the remarkable turnaround in investor confidence in the Greek economy. We have witnessed this transformation firsthand through the landmark transaction and strategic partnership we agreed with UniCredit in October 2023, marking the first investment by a large European bank into the Greek banking system since the financial crisis.

As a Bank, and as a nation, we have turned a corner and made an emphatic pivot to growth. Over the past 12 months we have improved profitability while maintaining cost discipline, securing a stronger balance sheet and enabling healthy capital generation. We have achieved this through a resolute focus on delivering sustainable value for our shareholders, and we are proud to have enabled the proposed resumption of dividend payments from the profits accrued in this financial year."

Vassilios Psaltis, CEO

3

Q4 2023 Results Press Release

Key Financial Data

P&L | Group (€mn)

Net Interest Income

Net fee & commission income

Core banking income

Income from financial operations

Other income

Operating Income

Core Operating Income

Staff Costs

General Administrative Expenses3

Depreciation & Amortization

Recurring Operating Expenses

Excluded items4

Total Operating Expenses

Core Pre-Provision Income

Pre-Provision Income

Impairment Losses on loans

Other items5

Profit/ (Loss) Before Income Tax

Income Tax

Profit/ (Loss) after income tax

Impact from NPA transactions6 discontinued operations and other adjustments

Profit/ (Loss) After Income Tax

Normalised7 Profit After Tax

Balance Sheet | Group

Total Assets

Net Loans

Securities

Deposits

Shareholders' Equity

Tangible Book Value

Key Ratios | Group

Profitability

Net Interest Margin (NIM)

Cost to Income Ratio (Recurring) Capital

FL CET1

FL Total Capital Ratio Liquidity

Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR)

LCR

Asset Quality Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) Non-Performing Exposures (NPEs) NPL ratio (%)

NPE ratio (%)

FY 2023

FY 2022

YoY (%)

Q4 2023

Q3 2023

QoQ (%)

1,653.5

1,173.8

40.9%

438.7

434.7

0.9%

372.5

367.1

1.5%

99.2

100.9

(1.6%)

2,025.9

1,540.9

31.5%

537.9

535.6

0.4%

39.5

189.9

(79.2%)

20.6

(13.0)

43.2

33.4

29.5%

9.7

12.0

(18.8%)

2,108.6

1,764.1

19.5%

568.2

534.5

6.3%

2,069.1

1,574.3

31.4%

547.6

547.5

0.0%

(333.3)

(328.2)

1.6%

(83.7)

(85.0)

(1.5%)

(326.7)

(386.4)

(15.4%)

(68.9)

(80.9)

(14.8%)

(157.4)

(142.7)

10.3%

(41.8)

(40.7)

2.8%

(817.5)

(857.2)

(4.6%)

(194.5)

(206.6)

(5.9%)

0.4

0.5

(28.5%)

5.4

0.0

(817.1)

(856.7)

(4.6%)

(189.1)

(206.6)

(8.5%)

1,251.7

717.0

74.6%

353.1

340.9

3.6%

1,291.6

907.4

42.3%

379.1

327.9

15.6%

(308.3)

(291.4)

5.8%

(90.0)

(72.8)

23.6%

(6.7)

15.5

(13.5)

9.9

976.5

631.5

54.6%

275.6

264.9

4.0%

(279.0)

(206.7)

35.0%

(79.4)

(74.5)

6.6%

697.5

424.9

64.2%

196.2

190.4

3.0%

(86.2)

(56.5)

52.7%

(75.5)

(2.3)

611.3

368.4

65.9%

120.7

188.1

(35.8%)

780.4

398.4

95.9%

215.8

208.1

3.7%

31.12.2023

30.09.2023

30.06.2023

31.03.2023

31.12.2022

YoY (%)

73,663

74,392

72,921

73,704

78,011

(5.6%)

36,161

38,799

38,681

38,230

38,748

(6.7%)

16,052

16,196

15,502

14,651

13,474

19.1%

48,449

52,331

51,795

50,229

50,761

(4.6%)

6,905

6,739

6,577

6,372

6,245

10.6%

6,438

6,240

6,073

5,859

5,770

11.6%

FY 2023

9M 2023

H1 2023

Q1 2023

FY 2022

2.2%

2.1%

2.1%

2.0%

1.6%

39.5%

40.9%

42.7%

43.3%

54.5%

14.3%

13.7%

13.4%

12.3%

11.9%

18.6%

18.0%

17.7%

16.4%

14.9%

75%

74%

75%

76%

76%

191%

188%

183%

163%

161%

1,147

1,443

1,493

1,517

1,656

2,240

2,865

3,009

2,980

3,116

3.1%

3.6%

3.8%

3.9%

4.1%

6.0%

7.2%

7.6%

7.6%

7.8%

4

Q4 2023 Results Press Release

Business Update

The Greek economy sustained its growth premium in 2023, supported by an increase in investment, private and public consumption, employment gains and another record tourist season. The achievement of investment-grade status for the Greek sovereign confirmed the multifaceted progress made in recent years, marking an important milestone for the country and the banking sector and signaling its positive medium term prospects.

In 2023, the Bank has exceeded its guidance. An expanding top line on benign retail funding costs, growth in fees and a firm focus on cost efficiency have delivered solid earnings growth and higher levels of profitability. This has come alongside a strengthening of the balance sheet, substantial capital generation and maintenance of sector-leading capital ratios well above management targets, paving the way for the resumption of dividend distributions, subject to regulatory approval.

Our strategic initiatives, our franchise positioning and the active management of our balance sheet are expected to continue to yield improving results over the coming years. Earnings are expected to grow, with EPS exceeding €0.35 in 2026. Profitability is expected to expand to c.14%2 over the next three years. Our balance sheet will strengthen further with capital buffers expanding and asset quality converging with the EU average. Our resolve and ability to deliver shareholder value has strengthened.

Profitability

Top line benefitting from higher rates and increased contribution from securities; CoR at 96bps in Q4

  • Net Interest Income up +1% q/q and +41% y/y on higher rates and increased contribution from securities.
  • Fees and commissions income down 1.6% q/q on seasonally lower cards and payments activity. FY 2023 recurring fees up +8.1% y/y driven by cards and payments.
  • Recurring operating expenses -5.9% better q/q and -4.6% y/y on lower deposit guarantee fund contributions. Underlying flat y/y in line with guidance.
  • Cost of Risk at 96bps in Q4, reflecting Management actions and higher securitization balances. Full year Cost of Risk in line with guidance on relatively benign asset quality flows.

Net interest income

Net fee and commission income

Group, € mn

Group, € mn

NPE NII

Other NII

91

91

101

99

435

439

82

0

0

383

397

1

0

35

34

0

351

41

41

36

101

99

90

82

91

399

405

356

315

343

Q4 22

Q1 23

Q2 23

Q3 23

Q4 23

Q4 22

Q1 23

Q2 23

Q3 23

Q4 23

Merchant Acquiring

Other NCI

Recurring operating expenses

Cost of risk

Group, € mn

% over net loans

0.87

0.96

226

0.77

206

211

207

194

0.74

0.75

Q4 22

Q1 23

Q2 23

Q3 23

Q4 23

Q4 22

Q1 23

Q2 23

Q3 23

Q4 23

5

Core banking income effectively flat q/q (+0.4%)

NII decomposition

€ mn

397

435

439

383

351

473

374

419

457

318

36

38

41

56

41

67

86

35

99

34

(28)

(63)

(78)

(73)

(92)

(13)

(25)

(52)

(70)

(76)

Q4 22

Q1 23

Q2 23

Q3 23

Q4 23

Deposits

Loans NPE

Bonds

Loans PE

Funding & Other

Q4 2023 Results Press Release

Net F&C Income decomposition

€ mn

101

99

91

91

82

0

0

1

0

0

32

34

29

30

26

16

16

15

14

4

14

5

4

5

4

22

23

25

30

26

19

17

17

19

13

Q4 22

Q1 23

Q2 23

Q3 23

Q4 23

Merchant Acquiring

Bancassurance

Business credit related

Cards & Payments

Asset management

Other

NII performance benefitting from rates and securities contribution

Net Interest Income rose by 1% q/q to €438.7mn, benefitting from higher rates, loan volumes and an increased contribution from securities, offsetting higher ECB funding costs and higher cost of deposits. Full year NII rose by +41% y/y on similar drivers and despite incremental wholesale funding costs on the back of MREL issuance.

Robust yearly performance of fee income (+8%) on stronger cards and payments activity

Fees and commissions income stood at €99.2mn, down -1.6% q/q, on seasonally lower cards and payments activity, partly offset by business credit related fees on the back of robust loan origination in Q4. In FY 2023, recurring fees excluding Merchant acquiring were up +8.1% y/y, driven by cards and payments alongside growth in Asset Management and Bancassurance.

Income from financial operations came in at €20.6mn in Q4, mainly attributed to the increased valuation of our investment securities portfolio and gains from FX differences, with the annual contribution at €39.5mn.

Other income stood at €9.7mn in Q4 2023 and €43.2m for the year.

Recurring OPEX down 5.9% q/q

Recurring operating expenses fell 5.9% q/q to €194.5mn mainly reflecting a write back related to the Single Resolution fund (SRF) contributions alongside lower staff costs, more than offsetting a higher depreciation charge relating to intangible assets. On an annual basis, recurring OPEX was down 4.6% at €817.5mn on the back of lower general expenses. Active cost management, capacity releases from the Bank's transformation and savings from renegotiations with key suppliers, property related and NPA management costs reduction have allowed the Bank to offset increased investments in HR and IT, as well as to fund growth in its International Operations.

Total Operating Expenses at €189.1mn decreased by 8.5% q/q, with 2023 down 4.6% y/y, both due to better Recurring expenses.

Cost of Risk at 96bps

The underlying loan impairment charge stood at €64.5mn in the quarter, versus €49.7 in Q3 on management actions. Servicing fees amounted to €12.4mn, essentially flat vs. €12.9mn in Q3, with securitization expenses at €12.2mn vs. €10.3mn on account of an increased balance of synthetic securitizations, adding 26bps to CET1 through €800mn RWA reductions.

Excluding the impact of transactions, the Cost of Risk in Q4 2023 stood at 96bps over net loans vs. 75bps in the previous quarter while, including the impact of transactions, it stood at 214bps, with 118bps related to NPE transactions vs. 5bps in Q3.

On a yearly basis, CoR was relatively stable at 81bps (+5bps y/y).

The total impact of NPA Transactions4 stood at €109.1mn in the quarter, out of which €83.2mn related to Project "Gaia", a €0.5bn mortgage NPA portfolio, that has been reclassified to Held For Sale in Q4.

Other impairment losses in Q4 2023 amounted to €0.6mn.

6

Q4 2023 Results Press Release

Balance Sheet Highlights

New record high in disbursements of €2.8bn in Q4

Net credit expansion

Performing loan book expansion

Group, €bn

+5%

+3%

Greece, €bn

1.1

(1%)

+1%

+1%

32.9

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.1

31.4

31.1

31.5

31.8

3.2

0.1

0.1

4.1

4.2

4.3

0.1

0.1

4.2

1.3

2.7

Disbursements

2.2

1.9

1.7

1.6

7.6

7.6

7.6

7.6

7.6

(0.2)

(0.2)

(0.2)

(0.2)

(0.2)

(2.0)

(1.9)

(1.7)

(1.6)

(1.6)

Repayments

(0.4)

19.7

19.3

19.8

19.9

20.8

Q4 22

Q1 23

Q2 23

Q3 23

Q4 23

GR Businesses

GR Individuals

Dec-22

Mar-23

Jun-23

Sep-23

Dec-23

Romania

International

GR Individuals

GR Businesses

New disbursements in Greece stood at €2.8bn in the quarter, allocated to key sectors including trade, tourism, utilities, transportation and manufacturing. Note that the gross loan figure includes €5.2bn of retained senior notes associated with the Galaxy and Cosmos NPE securitizations.

On a headline basis, mainly due to the reclassification of Alpha Bank Romania to HFS, the Group's performing loan book stood at €29.7bn (-7% q/q or €2.2bn and -6% on a yearly basis). The Group's performing loan book (excluding the Galaxy and Cosmos senior notes) grew by +3.4% q/q to €32.9bn (+4.8% y/y), reflecting the pickup of new loan originations in Greece from corporates and a stable pace in repayments, which has de-escalated in the second half.

Net credit expansion in Greece stood at €1.1bn in Q4 (+€0.9bn y/y), driven by a high level of disbursements in wholesale credit.

Liquidity further strengthened in the quarter, LCR at 191%; Domestic Time deposits mix stable q/q

Deposits evolution

Group LCR & LDR

Group, € bn

ΥoΥ

QoQ

€(1.8)bn

0.4

€(0.2)bn

0.4

52.3

50.8

(0.4)

(0.2)

52.5

3.5

183%

188%

191%

161%

163%

LDR

LCR

Romania

International 5.7

6.2

3.1

76%

76%

75%

74%

75%

45.0 46.1

Greece

45.9

Dec-22

Mar-23

Jun-23

Sep-23

Dec-23

Dec-22

Sep-23 Individual Business

State International Dec-23

On a headline basis, the Group's deposit base decreased by €3.9 bn q/q (or by €2.3bn on a yearly basis) to €48.4bn, reflecting the reclassification to "Held for Sale" of Alpha Bank Romania and Alpha Life (-€4.1bn negative impact). The Group's deposit base remained effectively flat q/q at €52.5bn, up by 0.4% or €0.2bn.

The migration to time deposits remained slow, with time deposits excluding the state accounting for 25% of the domestic deposit base and stable vs. Q3. At a Group level, the percentage of time deposits decreased by 3p.p. as the discontinued businesses have a higher proportion of time deposits (c.72%) The cost of time deposits increased to 2.29%, including the impact of USD time deposits, vs. 2.19% in the previous quarter. As of the fourth quarter, the total stock of domestic deposits had a beta of 15%, stable q/q, with the euro deposit beta flat at 12%, reflecting the slow migration to time deposits and a higher Euribor rate.

Comfortable liquidity metrics

The Group's TLTRO funding stood at €5bn at the end of Q4, stable q/q. The Bank's blended funding cost stood at 140bps in the

7

Q4 2023 Results Press Release

quarter, up from 128bps in Q3 2023, mainly attributable to the higher cost of deposits and wholesale funding.

The Group's strong liquidity profile is evidenced by the net Loan-to-Deposit ratio of 75%, while the Group's LCR increased to 191% vs. 188% in the previous quarter, far exceeding regulatory thresholds and management targets.

In February 2024, the Bank successfully completed a €400mn senior preferred issuance, further diversifying funding sources and building-up MREL capital stack. The issuance adds to the series of successful bond issues of €3.3bn issued by the Bank over the last three years.

8

Q4 2023 Results Press Release

Asset Quality

Group NPE ratio at 6%, down 120bps q/q; Coverage increased to 45%

On an underlying basis, NPE formation in Greece was negative (-€0.1bn), as slightly higher inflows were more than offset by stronger curings and repayments. In Q4 2023, the NPE stock was reduced by €0.6bn q/q to €2.2bn, driven by the reclassification to HFS of NPE portfolios mainly related to the "Gaia" transaction totalling €0.5bn. As a result, the NPE ratio contracted to 6.0%, down by 120bps versus Q3, whereas, pro forma for the reclassification of our Romanian operations, the NPE ratio stood at 5.8%.

Quarterly NPE Formation

NPE

formation (0.1)

(0.2)

0.0

Greece, € bn

0.06

0.240.22

0.18

Cost of risk evolution

(0.1)

(0.1)

% over net loans

0.96%

0.87%

0.77%

0.75%

0.13%

0.16%

0.74%

0.14%

0.13%

0.13%

Mainly single

case

0.23 Inflows

0.65%

0.58%

0.53%

0.51%

0.70%

0.17

Q4 22

Q1 23

Q2 23

Q3 23

Q4 23

Servicing fees Securitization expenses Underlying

NPE and cash coverage %

(0.25)

(0.20)

(0.22)

(0.22)

(0.25)

Cures &

Group

45%

repayments

41%

40%

40%

41%

(0.03)

(0.02)

(0.14)

(0.06)

(0.07)

CPs

& write offs

Q4 22

Q1 23

Q2 23

Q3 23

Q4 23

8%

8%

8%

7%

6%

Dec-22

Mar-23

Jun-23

Sep-23

Dec-23

Group NPE evolution

NPE coverage ratio

NPE Ratio

NPE ratio (Group)

43%

13%

7.8%

7.2%

6.0%

NPL ratio (Group)

30%

6%

4.1%

3.6%

3.1%

Group NPEs, €bn

20.9

5.1

(15.7)

(0.1)

3.1

2.9

(1.6)

2.2

(0.4)

(0.3)

(0.5)

(0.1)

Dec-20

FY 21

FY 21

Dec-21

FY 22

FY 22

Dec-22

9Μ 23

Sep-23

Q4 23

Q4 23

Dec-23

transactions

formation

transactions

formation

formation

transactions

formation

(inc. Romania

HFS)

Group NPE Coverage increased to 45%

The Group's NPE cash coverage increased to 47% at the end of Q4, while total coverage including collateral reached 115%. Pro- forma for the reclassification of Alpha Bank Romania, the above ratios stand at 45% and 115% respectively.

The Group NPL coverage ratio reached 90%, while total coverage including collateral reached 150%, whereas pro forma for the reclassification of Romania, the aforementioned ratios stand at 87% and 156% respectively.

The coverage ratio reflects the underlying asset mix, with a high bias towards retail secured exposures and a large portion consisting of paying customers. Out of the €2.2bn stock of NPEs for the Group, the largest part are mortgages (43% of stock), with a significant portion of Forborne exposures less than 90dpd (45% stock or €1bn).

9

Q4 2023 Results Press Release

Capital

Organic capital generation at 0.3% in Q4 and 2.2% in 2023; FLCET1 at 14.3%

Capital evolution (q/q)

Fully Loaded CET1

%

0.6%

0.2%

0.1%

0.3%

14.4%

14.3%

15.9%

13.7%

(0.1%)

(0.5%)

0.3% Organic Capital Generation

Sep-23

Q4 23

DTA

DTC

RWAs

Other capital

Transactions

Dec-23

Dec-23 post

Dec-23

organic PnL

elements

dividend accrual

pro-forma

The Group's Fully Loaded CET 1 Capital base stood at €4.6bn, resulting in a Fully Loaded CET1 ratio of 14.4%, or 14.3% post dividend accrual (of 8bps), up by 68bps q/q. The move was primarily attributable to a 27bps positive contribution from organic capital generation and 34bps positive impact from transactions o/w c26bps attributable to a synthetic securitization completed in Q4 2023. The reported CET1 ratio includes a dividend accrual of 38bps for the entire year of 2023, to support a payout of c.20% on profits. Accounting for the remaining RWA relief stemming from the Bank's planned transactions, the Group's FL CET 1 Ratio stands higher at 15.9%3.

The respective Fully Loaded Total Capital Ratio stands higher at 18.6% in December 2023, or pro forma for remaining RWA relief FL Total Capital3 stands at 20.7%.

International operations

The international operations posted a normalised net profit of €30mn, down from €35mn in the previous quarter, following increased impairments in Q4 as well as a slight decrease in PAT from discontinued operations relating to the reclassification our Romanian subsidiary. Net interest income was effectively flat q/q, with net fee and commission income increasing by 8%. Recurring operating expenses decreased by 7% q/q mainly due to lower staff costs from our Cypriot subsidiary. Impairments amounted to €6mn for the quarter versus €3mn in the previous quarter. Net loans stood at €1.3bn, while deposits stood at €3.1bn following the deconsolidation of our Romanian subsidiary.

In FY 2023, Normalised Net Profit reached €140mn compared to €71mn a year ago with a strong increase in net interest income (+119%) stemming from higher rates and a significant improvement in operational efficiency (cost-income down by

34p.p. y/y), contributing 17% to Group profits and generating an ROCET18 of 33%. More specifically, for Cyprus, Normalised Net Profit stood at €63mn in 2023 vs €16mn a year ago, whereas for Romania it stood at €69mn vs €51mn a year ago.

Athens, March 7, 2024

10

Attention: This is an excerpt of the original content. To continue reading it, access the original document here.

Attachments

  • Original Link
  • Original Document
  • Permalink

Disclaimer

Alpha Services and Holdings SA published this content on 07 March 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 07 March 2024 06:19:03 UTC.