This Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Act, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or the Exchange Act, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Examples of these statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding the following: potential future development plans for Gencaro our ability to secure sufficient financing to support any clinical trials for Gencaro,the likelihood that any Phase 3 clinical trial results for Gencaro will satisfy the requirements of our Special Protocol Assessment agreement, our likelihood to enter into an acquisition, merger, business combination or other strategic transaction, the expected features and characteristics of Gencaro, including the potential for genetic variations to predict individual patient response to Gencaro, Gencaro's potential to treat atrial fibrillation, or AF, future treatment options for patients with AF, the potential for Gencaro to be the first genetically-targeted AF prevention treatment, statements regarding potential Phase 3 development plans for Gencaro, including the timing and results thereof, and the ability of ARCA's financial resources to support its operations at the current levels through the middle of fiscal year 2024, our ability to obtain additional funding when needed or enter into a strategic or other transaction, the extent to which our issued and pending patents may protect our products and technology, the potential of such product candidates to lead to the development of safe or effective therapies, our ability to enter into collaborations, or our ability to maintain listing of our common stock on a national exchange. Actual results and performance could differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements as a result of many factors discussed herein and elsewhere. These and other factors are identified and described in more detail in ARCA's filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, or the SEC, including without limitation our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, and subsequent filings. Forward-looking statements may be identified by words including "will," "plan," "anticipate," "believe," "intend," "estimates," "expect," "should," "may," "potential" and similar expressions. We disclaim any intent or obligation to update these forward-looking statements.

The terms "ARCA," "the Company," "we," "us," "our" and similar terms refer to ARCA biopharma, Inc.

Overview

We are a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company applying a precision medicine approach to the development and commercialization of targeted therapies for cardiovascular diseases. Precision medicine refers to the tailoring of medical treatment to the individual characteristics of patients, using genomic, non-genomic biomarker and other information that extends beyond routine diagnostic categorization. We believe that when implemented correctly precision medicine can enhance therapeutic response, improve patient outcomes, and reduce healthcare costs.

In April 2022, the Board of Directors established a Special Committee and, in May 2022, retained Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. Inc. (Ladenburg) to evaluate strategic options, including transactions involving a merger, sale of all or part of our assets, or other alternatives with the goal of maximizing stockholder value. We and Ladenburg have reviewed several potential strategic transactions and continue to evaluate further potential development of our existing assets, in order to maximize stockholder value. We do not have a defined timeline for the strategic review process and the review may not result in any specific action or transaction.

Our lead product candidate is Gencaro™ (bucindolol hydrochloride) for the treatment of atrial fibrillation, or AF, in patients with chronic heart failure, or HF. Gencaro is being developed for patients who have a genotype that identifies a drug target associated with heightened efficacy.

Gencaro™ (bucindolol hydrochloride) for Atrial Fibrillation

Gencaro™ (bucindolol hydrochloride) is a pharmacogenetically-targeted beta-adrenergic receptor antagonist with mild vasodilator properties that we are developing for the treatment of atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure. We believe the pharmacology of Gencaro is unique and its efficacy can be enhanced by prescribing it to patients with a common genotypic variant that is present in approximately 50% of the North American and European general populations. This gene can be detected with a simple genetic test.

We are developing Gencaro to treat atrial fibrillation, or AF, in patients with chronic heart failure, or HF. AF is the most common form of cardiac arrhythmia, a disruption of the heart's normal rhythm or rate. HF is a chronic condition in which the heart is unable to pump enough blood to meet the body's needs. AF and HF commonly occur together. In HF patients, the development of AF leads to worsening symptoms, and increased risk of hospitalization and death. Current treatment options for AF in HF patients are limited, and can be invasive, costly and dangerous.

Our development plan for Gencaro focuses on the treatment of AF in patients with higher ejection fraction HF, those who have an ejection fraction, or EF, of 40% and higher who also have the genotype we believe is optimal for Gencaro efficacy. This population of HF encompasses more than half of all HF patients in the United States and Europe. There are currently few approved or effective drug therapies to treat AF or HF in this patient population.


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Our development plan for Gencaro is based on our recently published analysis of the Phase 2b clinical trial of Gencaro for the prevention of AF in HF patients, known as GENETIC-AF. This analysis showed novel results for Gencaro in patients in the clinical trial with EF's of 40% and higher. We currently have an agreement with the FDA, known as a Special Protocol Assessment, or SPA, for the requirements of a Gencaro Phase 3 clinical trial that would support approval of Gencaro if successful. The Phase 3 pivotal clinical trial of Gencaro conducted under an SPA will include secondary endpoints that are intended to capture some of this new information, such as a reduction in the need to deploy rhythm control interventions including electrical cardioversion, catheter ablation and use of anti-arrhythmic drugs and avoidance of drug-related complications such as bradycardia. Based on these analyses, we were issued a United States patent in February 2021 for the use of Gencaro in this patient population. We believe this patent will substantially extend the patent protection for our planned development of Gencaro into 2039. We are seeking similar patent protection in other countries.

We believe that patients with HF and AF represent a major unmet medical need, and this need is most pronounced in patients with EF values of 40% and above. This EF range constitutes more than half of all chronic HF in the United States and Europe, as well as in Japan and China, and there are currently few approved, effective or guideline-recommended therapies for these patients to treat either their AF or HF. AF is a very common complication in these patients, with estimates of AF incidence ranging from 40% to 60%. Beta-blockers approved for HF are commonly used off-label to control heart rate in these patients, but they are not considered effective in preventing AF and none are approved for patients with EF ? 40%. Other anti-arrhythmic drugs approved for the treatment of AF have adverse side effects and in HF patients are either contraindicated or have label warnings for use due to an increased risk of mortality. Interventional procedures for AF, such as catheter ablation and electrical cardioversion, are invasive, expensive, and often temporary; these interventions also typically require the continued use of beta blockers and other anti-arrhythmic drugs post-intervention.

We believe that Gencaro, if approved, may be a safe and more effective therapy for the treatment of higher ejection fraction HF patients with AF. We believe there are several potentially important attributes that would differentiate Gencaro from existing therapies, including:

More effective rhythm control compared to the current standard of care;

Reduction in the need for catheter ablation, electrical cardioversion, or toxic anti-arrhythmic drugs;

Maintenance of rhythm control after a successful AF catheter ablation;

Effective rate control with lower risk of treatment-limiting, adverse event producing bradycardia;

Reduction in symptoms and improvement in quality of life;

Reduced health care burden;

Foundational beta-blocker benefits for HF and unique evidence of efficacy in HF patients with AF;

One of the only drug therapies approved and shown effective for AF in HF patients with EF ? 40%, and the only one in its drug class.

We have an international patent portfolio for Gencaro in the United States, the EU, and other major markets, as well as new chemical entity status, including a new patent that we believe will give us a strong intellectual property position to at least approximately 2039 in the United States; we have filed applications similar to this new patent in international territories. We have developed a laboratory platform for the diagnostic test that would be used to prescribe Gencaro; this platform was approved by FDA for use in the Phase 2B clinical trial. We retain all rights to this test platform; we expect to use it in future clinical trials, and we believe it could be one of multiple diagnostic platforms used for commercialization.

rNAPc2 (AB201) for treatment of COVID-19

Recombinant Nematode Anticoagulant Protein c2, or rNAPc2 (AB201), is a protein therapeutic in clinical development as a potential treatment for patients with COVID-19. Based on its unique mechanism of action, development history and the clinical evidence from the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, we believe rNAPc2 has potential to be a beneficial therapy for patients with this serious viral disease. We initiated a Phase 2b clinical trial of rNAPc2 as a potential treatment for patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in the fourth quarter of 2020 and completed patient enrollment in the fourth quarter 2021. In the clinical trial, both doses of rNAPc2 demonstrated a treatment benefit for patients, however, neither dose achieved statistical significance for the primary efficacy endpoint of change in D-dimer level from Baseline to Day 8 compared to standard of care heparin.

On the secondary endpoints measuring thrombotic events and time-to-recovery, there was a numerical imbalance in favor of rNAPc2 that was non-significant. rNAPc2 was well-tolerated at both doses. There were no serious treatment-related adverse events and no dose dependent increase in adverse events was observed. There was no difference between rNAPc2 and standard-of-care heparin in major or non-major clinically relevant bleeding.


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To support the continued development of Gencaro and rNAPc2, we will need additional financing to fully fund any clinical trials, and our general and administrative costs through the clinical trials' projected completion and potential commercialization. Considering the substantial time and costs associated with the development of Gencaro and rNAPc2 and the risk that we may be unable to raise a significant amount of capital on acceptable terms, we are also pursuing co-development and commercialization partnering opportunities with large pharmaceutical and/or specialty pharmaceutical companies and may pursue a strategic combination or other strategic transactions. If we are unable to obtain sufficient financing or are unable to complete a strategic transaction, we may discontinue our development activities on Gencaro or rNAPc2 or discontinue our operations.

We believe our cash and cash equivalents as of March 31, 2023 will be sufficient to fund our operations through the middle of fiscal year 2024. Our review of our strategic options may impact this projection. Conducting a Phase 3 PRECISION-AF trial would likely require additional financing. However, changing circumstances may cause us to consume capital significantly faster or slower than currently anticipated. We have based these estimates on assumptions that may prove to be wrong, and we could exhaust our available financial resources sooner than we currently anticipate; therefore, we may have to raise additional capital for other clinical trials. Initiating any Phase 3 clinical trial of Gencaro will require additional financing.

In April 2022, the Board of Directors established a Special Committee and, in May 2022, retained Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. Inc. (Ladenburg) to evaluate strategic options, including transactions involving a merger, sale of all or part of our assets, or other alternatives with the goal of maximizing stockholder value. We and Ladenburg have reviewed several potential strategic transactions and continue to evaluate further potential development of our existing assets, in order to maximize stockholder value. We do not have a defined timeline for the strategic review process and the review may not result in any specific action or transaction.

In July 2020, we entered into a new sales agreement with a placement agent to sell, from time to time, our common stock having an aggregate offering price of up to $54.0 million, in an "at the market offering." As of February 2021, we had sold an aggregate of 9,928,272 shares of our common stock pursuant to the terms of such sales agreement for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $54.0 million. Net proceeds received in this offering were approximately $52.2 million, after deducting expenses for executing the "at the market offering" and commissions paid to the placement agent.

In April 2021, we amended the new sales agreement and the amount available for the offering under our prospectus to our registration statement on Form S-3 (No. 333-254585). As of April 21, 2023, the amount available for the offering under the prospectus supplement is subject to the limitation of not selling a total value amount of shares exceeding more than one-third of our public float in any 12-month period, which as of April 21, 2023 would have been approximately $7.6 million.

In March 2020, the World Health Organization declared the outbreak of COVID-19, a novel strain of Coronavirus, a global pandemic. This outbreak is causing major disruptions to businesses and markets worldwide as the virus spreads. We do not expect a material financial effect as a result of the pandemic. However, if the pandemic continues to be a severe worldwide crisis, it could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.

Results of Operations

Research and Development Expenses

Research and development, or R&D, expense is comprised primarily of personnel costs, clinical development, manufacturing process development, and regulatory activities and costs.

R&D expense for the three months ended March 31, 2023 was $0.4 million compared to $2.2 million for the corresponding period of 2022, a decrease of $1.8 million.

Clinical expense decreased approximately $0.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2023, as compared to the corresponding period of 2022. Manufacturing process development costs decreased approximately $0.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2023, as compared to the corresponding periods of 2022. The decreases were related to the completion of enrollment in our rNAPc2 (AB201) international Phase 2b clinical trial in the fourth quarter of 2021.

R&D personnel costs decreased approximately $0.1 million for the three months ended March 31, 2023, as compared to the corresponding period of 2022, due to decreased headcount. In July 2022, we implemented a strategic reduction of our workforce by approximately 67%, or 12 employees. Personnel reductions were primarily focused in research and development and general and administrative functions. The restructuring was a result of our decision to manage our operating costs and expenses. During the year ended December 31, 2022, we recorded total restructuring charges of approximately $755,000, of which $470,000 and $285,000 were recognized in research and development and general and administrative expenses, respectively, in connection with the restructuring, all in the form of one-time termination benefits.

R&D expense in 2023 is expected to be lower than 2022, as we completed our rNAPc2 (AB201) international Phase 2b clinical trial in the fourth quarter of 2021.


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General and Administrative Expenses

General and administrative, or G&A, expenses primarily consist of personnel costs, consulting and professional fees, insurance, facilities and depreciation expenses, and various other administrative costs.

G&A expenses were $1.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2023 compared to $1.1 million for the corresponding period of 2022, an increase of $0.3 million. During the three months ended March 31, 2023, we recorded $159,000 for one-time termination benefits related to the mutually agreed to conclusion of Christopher D. Ozeroff's employment, the former Secretary, Senior Vice President and General Counsel of ARCA, effective March 31, 2023. The increase was primarily a result of increases in consulting costs and one-time termination benefits discussed above.

G&A expenses in 2023 are expected to be consistent with those in 2022 as we maintain administrative activities to support our ongoing operations.

Interest and Other Income

Interest and other income was $450,000 and $7,000 in the three months ended March 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively.

Interest income for the remainder of 2023 is expected to be consistent with the first quarter of 2023.

Other Expense

Other expense was $2,000 for the three months ended March 31, 2022. Based on our current capital structure, other expense for the remainder of 2023 is expected to be negligible.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Cash and Cash Equivalents

March 31,       December 31,
                             2023              2022

                                  (in thousands)
Cash and cash equivalents $    40,850     $       42,445

As of March 31, 2023, we had total cash and cash equivalents of $40.9 million, as compared to $42.4 million as of December 31, 2022. The net decrease of $1.6 million primarily reflects the cash used in operating activities during the three months ended March 31, 2023.

Cash Flows from Operating, Investing and Financing Activities



                                             Three Months Ended March 31,
                                               2023                 2022
                                                    (in thousands)
Net cash used in:
Operating activities                      $       (1,595 )     $       (4,298 )
Investing activities                                   -                   (2 )
Financing activities                                   -                    -

Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents $       (1,595 )     $       (4,300 )

Net cash used in operating activities for the three months ended March 31, 2023 decreased $2.7 million compared with the same period in 2022. This was primarily due to lower outflows related to changes in operating assets and liabilities and a lower net loss in 2023, as discussed in Results of Operations above.

There were no investing activities in the three months ended March 31, 2023. Net cash used in investing activities for the three months ended March 31, 2022 was $2,000 for the purchase of property and equipment.

There were no financing activities in the three months ended March 31, 2023 and 2022.


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Sources and Uses of Capital

Our primary sources of liquidity to date have been capital raised from issuances of shares of our preferred and common stock. The primary uses of our capital resources to date have been to fund operating activities, including research, clinical development and drug manufacturing expenses, license payments, and spending on capital items.

In July 2020, we entered into a sales agreement with a placement agent to sell, from time to time, our common stock having an aggregate offering price of up to $54.0 million, in an "at the market offering." As of February 2021, we had sold an aggregate of 9,928,272 shares of our common stock pursuant to the terms of such sales agreement for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $54.0 million. Net proceeds received in this offering were approximately $52.2 million, after deducting expenses for executing the "at the market offering" and commissions paid to the placement agent.

In April 2021, we amended the new sales agreement and the amount available for the offering under our prospectus to our registration statement on Form S-3 (No. 333-254585). As of April 21, 2023, the amount available for the offering under the prospectus supplement is subject to the limitation of not selling a total value amount of shares exceeding more than one-third of our public float in any 12-month period, which as of April 21, 2023 would have been approximately $7.6 million

Our ability to execute our development programs in accordance with our projected time line depends on a number of factors, including, but not limited to, the following:

the costs and timing for the potential additional clinical trials in order to gain possible regulatory approval for Gencaro, rNAPc2 or any other product candidate;

the market price of our stock and the availability and cost of additional equity capital from existing and potential new investors;

our ability to retain the listing of our common stock on the Nasdaq Capital Market;

our ability to control costs associated with its operations;

general economic and industry conditions affecting the availability and cost of capital, including as a result of deteriorating market conditions due to investor concerns regarding inflation, adverse developments affecting the financial services industry and continued hostilities between Russia and Ukraine;

the costs of filing, prosecuting, defending and enforcing any patent claims and other intellectual property rights; and

the terms and conditions of our existing collaborative and licensing agreements.

We believe our cash and cash equivalents as of March 31, 2023 will be sufficient to fund our operations through the middle of fiscal year 2024. Our review of our strategic options may impact this projection. Conducting a Phase 3 PRECISION-AF trial would likely require additional financing. However, changing circumstances may cause us to consume capital significantly faster or slower than currently anticipated. We have based these estimates on assumptions that may prove to be wrong, and we could exhaust our available financial resources sooner than we currently anticipate; therefore, we may have to raise additional capital for other clinical trials. Initiating any Phase 3 clinical trial of Gencaro will require additional financing. We may not be able to raise sufficient capital on acceptable terms, or at all, to continue development and potential commercialization Gencaro or to otherwise continue operations and may not be able to execute any strategic transaction.

In April 2022, the Board of Directors established a Special Committee and, in May 2022, retained Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. Inc. (Ladenburg) to evaluate strategic options, including transactions involving a merger, sale of all or part of our assets, or other alternatives with the goal of maximizing stockholder value. We and Ladenburg have reviewed several potential strategic transactions and continue to evaluate further potential development of our existing assets, in order to maximize stockholder value. We do not have a defined timeline for the strategic review process and the review may not result in any specific action or transaction.

Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

A critical accounting policy is one that is both important to the portrayal of our financial condition and results of operation and requires our management's most difficult, subjective or complex judgments, often as a result of the need to make estimates about the effect of matters that are inherently uncertain. Our significant accounting policies are described in Note 1 of "Notes to Financial Statements" included within our 2022 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC. Following is a discussion of the accounting policies that we believe involve the most difficult, subjective or complex judgments and estimates.


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Accrued Outsourcing Expenses

As part of the process of preparing our financial statements, we are required to estimate accrued outsourcing expenses. This process involves identifying services that third parties have performed on our behalf and estimating the level of service performed and the associated cost incurred for these services as of the balance sheet date. Examples of estimated accrued outsourcing expenses include contract service fees, such as fees payable to contract manufacturers in connection with the production of materials related to our drug product, and service fees from clinical research organizations. We develop estimates of liabilities using our judgment based upon the facts and circumstances known at the time.

Indemnifications

In the ordinary course of business, we enter into contractual arrangements under which we may agree to indemnify certain parties from any losses incurred relating to the services they perform on our behalf or for losses arising from certain events as defined within the particular contract. Such indemnification obligations may not be subject to maximum loss clauses. We have entered into indemnity agreements with each of our directors, officers and certain employees. Such indemnity agreements contain provisions, which are in some respects broader than the specific indemnification provisions contained in Delaware law. We also maintain an insurance policy for our directors and executive officers insuring against certain liabilities arising in their capacities as such.

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