Third Quarter and Year-to-Date Fiscal 2024
March 6, 2024
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation contains statements, estimates, and projections that are "forward-looking statements" as defined under U.S. federal securities laws. Words such as "aim," "anticipate," "aspire," "believe," "can," "continue," "could," "envision," "estimate," "expect," "expectation," "intend," "may," "might," "plan," "potential," "project," "pursue," "see," "seek," "should," "will," "would," and similar words indicate forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date we make them. Except as required by law, we do not intend to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties, and other factors (many beyond our control) that could cause our actual results to differ materially from our historical experience or from our current expectations or projections. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to:
- Our substantial dependence upon the continued growth of the Jack Daniel's family of brands
- Substantial competition from new entrants, consolidations by competitors and retailers, and other competitive activities, such as pricing actions (including price reductions, promotions, discounting, couponing, or free goods), marketing, category expansion, product introductions, or entry or expansion in our geographic markets or distribution networks
- Route-to-consumerchanges that affect the timing of our sales, temporarily disrupt the marketing or sale of our products, or result in higher fixed costs
- Disruption of our distribution network or inventory fluctuations in our products by distributors, wholesalers, or retailers
- Changes in consumer preferences, consumption, or purchase patterns - particularly away from larger producers in favor of small distilleries or local producers, or away from brown spirits, our premium products, or spirits generally, and our ability to anticipate or react to them; further legalization of marijuana; bar, restaurant, travel, or other on-premise declines; shifts in demographic or health and wellness trends; or unfavorable consumer reaction to new products, line extensions, package changes, product reformulations, or other product innovation
- Production facility, aging warehouse, or supply chain disruption
- Imprecision in supply/demand forecasting
- Higher costs, lower quality, or unavailability of energy, water, raw materials, product ingredients, or labor
- Risks associated with acquisitions, dispositions, business partnerships, or investments - such as acquisition integration, termination difficulties or costs, or impairment in recorded value
- Impact of health epidemics and pandemics, and the risk of the resulting negative economic impacts and related governmental actions
- Unfavorable global or regional economic conditions and related economic slowdowns or recessions, low consumer confidence, high unemployment, weak credit or capital markets, budget deficits, burdensome government debt, austerity measures, higher interest rates, higher taxes, political instability, higher inflation, deflation, lower returns on pension assets, or lower discount rates for pension obligations
- Product recalls or other product liability claims, product tampering, contamination, or quality issues
- Negative publicity related to our company, products, brands, marketing, executive leadership, employees, Board of Directors, family stockholders, operations, business performance, or prospects
- Failure to attract or retain key executive or employee talent
- Risks associated with being a U.S.-based company with a global business, including commercial, political, and financial risks; local labor policies and conditions; protectionist trade policies, or economic or trade sanctions, including additional retaliatory tariffs on American whiskeys and the effectiveness of our actions to mitigate the negative impact on our margins, sales, and distributors; compliance with local trade practices and other regulations; terrorism, kidnapping, extortion, or other types of violence; and health pandemics
- Failure to comply with anti-corruption laws, trade sanctions and restrictions, or similar laws or regulations
- Fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, particularly a stronger U.S. dollar
- Changes in laws, regulatory measures, or governmental policies, especially those affecting production, importation, marketing, labeling, pricing, distribution, sale, or consumption of our beverage alcohol products
- Tax rate changes (including excise, corporate, sales or value-added taxes, property taxes, payroll taxes, import and export duties, and tariffs) or changes in related reserves, changes in tax rules or accounting standards, and the unpredictability and suddenness with which they can occur
- Decline in the social acceptability of beverage alcohol in significant markets
- Significant additional labeling or warning requirements or limitations on availability of our beverage alcohol products
- Counterfeiting and inadequate protection of our intellectual property rights
- Significant legal disputes and proceedings, or government investigations
- Cyber breach or failure or corruption of our key information technology systems or those of our suppliers, customers, or direct and indirect business partners, or failure to comply with personal data protection laws
- Our status as a family "controlled company" under New York Stock Exchange rules, and our dual-class share structure
For further information on these and other risks, please refer to our public filings, including the "Risk Factors" section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
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Year-to-Date Fiscal 2024
GIN MARE & | JACK DANIEL'S | JACK DANIEL'S | ||||
DIPLOMÁTICO | NEW MIX | TENNESSEE APPLE | TENNESSEE WHISKEY | |||
79% | 34% | 44% | (6)% |
reported net sales growth for | reported net sales growth | reported net sales growth | reported net sales decline |
Rest of Portfolio driven by | (+17% organic1) | (+45% organic1) | (-5% organic1) |
Gin Mare and Diplomático | |||
(+11%organic1) |
Net sales | Gross margin | Advertising expense | Operating income | Diluted earnings | Sale of Finlandia | $400M |
increased | expanded | increased | increased | per share increased | vodka generated | |
1% | 250 | 11% | 25% | 32% to $1.58 | pre-tax gain of | program was |
share repurchase | ||||||
(-% organic1) | basis points | (+7% organic1) | (+2% organic1) | $90M | completed |
- See appendix for reconciliations from GAAP measures to most comparable Non-GAAP measures, Non-GAAP measure definitions, and additional information.
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YEAR-TO-DATE
Fiscal 2024
Net Sales
Gross Profit
Advertising Expense
SG&A Expense
Operating
Income
Diluted EPS
Reported | Reported | Acquisitions and | Impairment | Foreign | Organic Change1 | |
($ in millions, | Change | Divestitures | Charges | Exchange | ||
except per share | (%) | (+/-) | (+/-) | (+/-) | (%) | |
amount) | ||||||
$3,214 | 1% | (1)% | -% | -% | -% | |
$1,957 | 5% | (1)% | -% | 2% | 6% | |
$414 | 11% | (3)% | -% | (1)% | 7% | |
$595 | 10% | (1)% | -% | (1)% | 8% | |
$1,039 | 25% | (17)% | (11)% | 4% | 2% | |
$1.58 | 32% | |||||
Notes - Change is versus prior-year period. Totals may differ due to rounding.
- See appendix for reconciliations from GAAP measures to most comparable Non-GAAP measures, Non-GAAP measure definitions, and additional information.
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Global Trends are Normalizing after Two Years of Very Strong Growth
REPORTEDORGANIC 18% | 5% | 9% | 6% | |||||
3 year CAGR | 2 year YTD CAGR | 3 year CAGR | 2 year YTD CAGR | |||||
17% | ||||||||
14% | ||||||||
12% | ||||||||
10% | ||||||||
8% | 8% | |||||||
3% | 2% | |||||||
1% | ||||||||
0% | ||||||||
F21 | F22 | F23 | YTD F23 YTD F24 | F21 | F22 | F23 | YTD F23 YTD F24 |
Notes - Change is versus prior-year period. Totals may differ due to rounding.
The three year compound annual growth rates were determined by calculating the geometric mean of the reported and organic growth rates for F21, F22, and F23.
The two year compound annual growth rates were determined by calculating the geometric mean of the reported and organic growth rates for YTD F23 and YTD F24.
- See appendix for reconciliations from GAAP measures to most comparable Non- GAAP measures, Non-GAAP measure definitions, and additional information.
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Across Categories
REPORTED
ORGANIC 1
WHISKEY
(2)%
3%
9%
WHISKEY
(1)%
6%
14%
JACK DANIEL'S TENNESSEE WHISKEY
(6)%
6%
-%
JACK DANIEL'S TENNESSEE WHISKEY
(5)%
3%
12%
JACK DANIEL'S TENNESSEE APPLE
(11)%
44%
JACK DANIEL'S TENNESSEE APPLE
(6)%
45%
READY-TO-DRINK
13%
8%
12% 10%
READY-TO-DRINK
4%
9%
16%
15%
NEW MIX
TEQUILA
-%
6%
34%
45%
39%
12%
NEW MIX
TEQUILA
(3)%
4%
17%
41%
29%
11%
REST OF PORTFOLIO
.79%
19%
46%
REST OF PORTFOLIO
11%
9% 10%
YTD F24 | YTD F23 | YTD F23/F24 CAGR | YTD F24 | YTD F23 | YTD F23/F24 CAGR | |||||
Notes - Change is versus prior-year period. Totals may differ due to rounding.
The two year compound annual growth rates were determined by calculating the geometric mean of the reported and organic growth rates for YTD F23 and YTD F24.
- See appendix for reconciliations from GAAP measures to most comparable Non-GAAP measures, Non-GAAP measure definitions, and additional information.
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NET SALES GROWTH
Across Most Geographic Clusters Reflecting Normalization
U.S. | REPORTED CHANGE | ORGANIC CHANGE1 | DEVELOPED | REPORTED CHANGE | ORGANIC CHANGE1 | |||||
4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 13% 3% | ||||
(2)% | ||||||||||
(1)% | (2)% | (6)% |
YTD F24 | YTD F24 | YTD F24 | YTD F24 |
YTD F23 | YTD F23 | YTD F23 | YTD F23 |
YTD F23/F24 CAGR | YTD F23/F24 CAGR | YTD F23/F24 CAGR | YTD F23/F24 CAGR |
EMERGING
REPORTED CHANGE
9% 18% 14%
YTD F24
YTD F23
YTD F23/F24 CAGR
ORGANIC CHANGE1 | TRAVEL RETAIL REPORTED CHANGE | |||||||
26% | 18% | 48% | 24% | |||||
11% | 3% | |||||||
YTD F24 | ||||||||
YTD F24 | ||||||||
YTD F23 | YTD F23 | |||||||
YTD F23/F24 CAGR | YTD F23/F24 CAGR | |||||||
ORGANIC CHANGE1
1% 52% 24%
YTD F24
YTD F23
YTD F23/F24 CAGR
Notes - Change is versus prior-year period. Totals may differ due to rounding.
The two year compound annual growth rates were determined by calculating the geometric mean of the reported and organic growth rates for YTD F23 and YTD F24.
- See appendix for reconciliations from GAAP measures to most comparable Non-GAAP measures, Non-GAAP measure definitions, and additional information.
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Increased 250 Basis Points
Strong gross margin expansion driven by favorable price/mix and lower supply chain disruption related costs, partially offset by higher input costs, the negative effect of foreign exchange, and the negative effect of acquisitions and divestitures.
0.1% | |||
2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 60.9% |
58.4% | (0.9%) | (0.3%) |
YTD F23 | Price/Mix | Cost | Foreign | Removal of | Acquisitions & | YTD F24 |
(Excluding Tariffs) | Exchange | Tariffs | Divestitures |
Notes - Change is versus prior-year period. Totals may differ due to rounding.
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Organic1 net sales to be | Expect 0% to 2% | Expect full year effective | Capital expenditures | ||
flat. | organic1 operating | tax rate to be in range of | are planned to be in the | ||
income growth. | approximately 20% to | range of $230 to $240 | |||
22%. | million. |
- See appendix for reconciliations from GAAP measures to most comparable Non-GAAP measures, Non-GAAP measure definitions, and additional information.
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APPENDIX
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Brown-Forman Corporation published this content on 06 March 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 06 March 2024 13:20:08 UTC.