DEFAMA Deutsche Fachmarkt AG (DEF GY) | Real Estate

Large portfolio acquisition after capital increase

Last Friday, the company announced its first large portfolio acquisi­ tion after the recent successful capital increase with a gross proceed of EUR 10.3m. DEFAMA will acquire in total five properties located in the federal state of Rhineland-Platine for an acquisition volume of EUR 15m, which together generate annual rents of EUR 1.3m. DEFAMA´s large acquisition underpins in our view the company's ambition to accelerate portfolio growth, which we believe could re­ sult in an upgrade of the conservative FY 25e targets (FFO of EUR 11m/annualized rents of EUR 24m) in the foreseeable future. Includ­ing the latest acquisition, we estimate that DEFAMA has already ac­ quired properties for in total approx. EUR 22m in FY 22e. Hence, the company has already reached its annual acquisition volume target of EUR 15m-20m very early this year. We therefore see a high likelihood for further acquisitions in the remainder of the year and now target an acquisition volume of EUR 25m for FY 22e (prev.: EUR 20m). In total, we think DEFAMA is now in a comfortable financial position to exe­ cute on portfolio growth in the foreseeable future after the recent high inflow of liquidity. Our positive stance on the investment case re­ mains unchanged and we continue to stick to our Buy rating. We slightly lower our PT to EUR 31.50 (32.50) due to negative dilution ef­ fects from the recent capital increase.

  • Changes in estimates: Our FFOPS estimates for FY 22e/FY 23e decrease by -7% respectively -5%, reflecting negative sharehold­ er dilution.

  • Valuation: DEFAMA trades at an P/FFO 23e multiple of 13.3x, its peers at 15.1x.

Fundamentals (in EUR m)1

Sales

EBITDA

EPS adj. (EUR) FFO

DPS (EUR)

Operating Cash Flow (EUR) Dividend paid (EUR) Capital expenditures (EUR)

Ratios1

EV/EBITDA PCFR

P/E adj.

2018

9

6

0.46

3.6

0.40

3

1

31

2018

19.6

8.7

25.9

Dividend yield (%) EBIT margin (%) Gearing (%) PBV

3.3

39.5

396.8

2.7

1Sources: Bloomberg, Metzler Research

2019

Buy

unchanged

Price*

EUR 27.80

Price target

EUR 31.50 (32.50)

April 25, 2022

* XETRA trading price at the close of the previous day unless stated otherwise in the Disclosures

Market Cap (EUR m)1 133

Enterprise Value (EUR m)1 274

Free Float (%)1 65.0

Price (in EUR)1

2020

2021e

2022e

2023ePerformance (in %)1

0.51

11

7

0.57

15

9

1.14

17

13

20 23 Share 13 15 Rel. to Prime All Share 0.78 0.90

0.45

4.6

0.48

5.9

0.51

7.1

8.6 10.0 0.54 0.58

Changes in estimates (in %)1

Sales

4

5

7

8 8 EBIT

2

2

2

2 3 EPS

16

38

30

25 20

2019

Sponsored Research

2020

1m 0.0 1.2

3m

12m

  • 1.5 43.3

  • 8.1 53.7

2021e 2022e 2023e

0.0 0.0 0.0

  • 0.0 2.7

  • 0.0 3.2

  • -7.9 -4.7

2021e

2022e

2023e

19.4

21.5

18.4

  • 21.7 19.7

    10.5

    281.7

    10.9

    32.5

    40.1

    2.7

    2.8

    10.5

    420.5

  • 11.7 10.1

    34.8

    38.6

    2.4

    3.5

    24.4

    432.9

  • 35.8 31.0

    1.8

    55.4

    4.3

  • 1.9 2.1

  • 40.2 40.0

  • 424.6 425.1

  • 4.1 3.7

Author: Stephan Bonhage

Financial Analyst Equities+49 69 2104-525stephan.bonhage@metzler.com

Information for professional clients and eligible counterparties - not to be passed on to private clients 1

Background information on the latest acquisition

Negative dilution effects from the re­cent capital increase should be man­ ageable

The acquisition of five properties in Rhineland-Platine marks the the third acquisi­tion of the year, after DEFAMA already bought one property in Schneeberg (Sax­ ony) and one property near Wolfsburg (Lower-Saxony). DEFAMA will pay EUR 15m for these five properties located in the towns Hachenburg, Heiligenroth and

Lahnstein. They together generate annual rents of EUR 1.3m, which leads to an ac­ quisition multiple of 11.5x. According to DEFAMA, roughly 80% of rents can be contributed to tenants with strong credit ratings, including DM, Getränke Hoff­ mann, JYSK, Kik, Matratzen Concord, TEDi and Total. In our view, the companies can be considered as typical tenants for the company, apart from the service sta­tion operator Total. With the recent transaction, the company increased its annual­ ized FFO to over EUR 9.1m respectively EUR 1.91 per share.

The recent capital increase with a gross proceed of EUR 10.3m sets in our view the prerequisite for a possible acceleration of the portfolio expansion. The company has now a comfortable liquidity position, allowing to invest more strongly into its existing properties or execute a higher acquisition dealflow in the near future. In that regard, we believe that DEFAMA´s FY 25e targets (FFO of EUR 11m/annual­ ized rents of EUR 24m) appears to be conservative and could be upgraded in the foreseeable future. In total, the company has issued 380,000 new shares at the re­ cent capital increase, representing approx. 8.6% of the previous share count of ~4.4m shares. The dilution of shareholders should be therefore manageable and could in our view be gradually offset by a higher portfolio growth momentum in the coming years.

Changes in estimates

We lower our FFOPS estimates for FY 22e/FY 23e by -7% respectively -5% after in­ corporating the new number of outstanding shares into our estimates. For FY 22e, we now expect an annual acquisition volume of EUR 25m (prev.: EUR 20m), result­ ing in slightly higher rental income and FFO estimates for FY 23e than previously anticipated. In total, we continue to expect double-digit percentage rental income and FFO growth at DEFAMA in the coming years (M´e: 16.8% sales CAGR 20-23e).

Valuation

We derive our new PT of EUR 31.50 from our updated peer group valuation. Be­ side the closest German peers DKR (BUY/PT EUR 17.60) and VIB Vermögen, the peer group now also comprises several North American REITs, which have similar to DEFAMA a relevant exposure to grocery-anchored properties in their property portfolio.

Key Data

Company profile

CEO: Matthias Schrade

CFO: -

Berlin, GermanyDEFAMA, headquartered in Berlin, is a large German real estate company that specializes in the acquisition and management of retail parks. Acquisition targets are retail parks in small and medium-sized German cities, preferably in Northern and Eastern Germany. As of the 31.12.2021, DEFAMA´s property portfolio com­ prised 50 properties.

Major shareholders

Matthias Schrade (26%), Supervisory board (2%)

Key figures

P&L (in EUR m)

2018

%

2019

%

2020

%

2021e

%

2022e

%

2023e

%

Sales

9

55.9

11

23.3

15

30.1

  • 17 16.6

    20

    17.6

    • 23 16.0

      EBITDA

      6

      42.3

      7

      27.3

      9

      27.6

  • 13 50.2

    13

    -6.5

    • 15 16.2

      EBITDA margin (%) EBIT

      60.9

      -8.7

      62.9

      3.2

      61.7

      -1.9

  • 79.4 28.8

    63.1

    -20.5

    • 63.2 0.2

      4

      34.5

      4

      25.3

      6

      25.1

  • 9 67.4

    8

    -14.6

    • 9 15.4

      EBIT margin (%) Financial result EBT

      39.5

      -13.8

      40.1

      1.6

      38.6

      -3.8

  • 55.4 43.6

    40.2

    -27.4

    • 40.0 -0.5

      -1

      -49.0

      -2

      -28.7

      -2

      -23.9

  • -3 -22.1

    -3

    -17.6

    • -4 -15.2

      2

      27.1

      3

      23.3

      3

      25.8

  • 7 95.0

    5

    -26.9

    • 6 15.5

      Taxes

      -1

      -34.3

      -1

      -28.7

      -1

      -38.7

  • -2 -79.9

    -1

    29.7

    • -1 -15.5

      Tax rate (%) Net income Minority interests

      • -24.5 n.a.

      • -25.6 n.a.

      • -28.2 n.a.

  • -26.0 n.a.

  • -25.0 n.a.

  • -25.0 n.a.

  • 2 25.0

    2

    21.5

    3

    21.4

    5

    101.0

    4

    -25.9

    • 4 15.5

  • 0 n.m.

    0

    -48.8

    0

    -62.9

    0

    169.7

    0

    0.0

    • 0 0.0

      Net Income after minorities Number of shares outstanding (m) EPS adj. (EUR)

      2 4 0.46 0.40

      23.4 2.1 20.7 17.6

      2

      22.5

      3

      21.9

      5

      100.9

      4

      -26.0

    • 4 15.6

      4

      11.9

      4

      9.1

      4

      0.0

      5

      8.6

    • 5 0.0

      0.51

      9.5

      0.57

      11.7

      1.14

      100.9

      0.78

      -31.9

    • 0.90 15.6

      DPS (EUR) Dividend yield (%)

      0.45

      12.5

      0.48

      6.7

      0.51

      6.3

      0.54

      5.9

    • 0.58 7.4

      Cash Flow (in EUR m)

  • 3.3 n.a.

  • 2.7 n.a.

  • 2.4 n.a.

  • 1.8 n.a.

  • 1.9 n.a.

  • 2.1 n.a.

2018

%

2019

%

  • 2020 %

    2021e

    %

    2022e

    %

    2023e

    %

    Operating Cash Flow Increase in working capital

    • 3 24.1

      • 4 11.1

  • 5 30.6

    • 7 37.0

      • 8 10.3

        • 8 12.0

          • 0 n.a.

            • 0 n.a.

  • 0 n.a.

  • 0 n.a.

  • 0 n.a.

  • 0 n.a.

    • Capital expenditures 31 42.1

      • 16 -48.4

        38 135.7

        30 2 -25

        -21.7

        25 2 -20

        -15.8

  • 20 -20.0

    • Dividend paid 1 70.0

      • 2 29.4

        2 27.5

        6.7 28.4

        6.3 21.1

  • 3 13.7

    • Free cash flow (post dividend) -29 -45.6

    • -14 52.2

    -35 -152.3

  • -14 28.3

Balance sheet (in EUR m)

2018

%

2019

%

2020

%

2021e

%

2022e

%

2023e

%

Assets

  • 86 54.8

    • 104 21.6

      • 137 31.1

        • 160 16.8

          • 183 14.3

            • 201 9.8

              Goodwill Shareholders' equity Net Debt incl. Provisions Gearing (%)

  • 0 n.a.

    • 0 n.a.

      • 0 n.a.

        • 0 n.a.

          • 0 n.a.

            • 0 n.a.

              16 65

              43.9 60.2

              25 70

              50.7 7.0

              25 106

              2.1 52.4

              29 126

              15.5 18.9

              33 140

              13.7 11.5

            • 36 10.0

            • 155 10.1

  • 396.8 n.a.

    • 281.7 n.a.

      • 420.5 n.a.

        • 432.9 n.a.

          • 424.6 n.a.

            • 425.1 n.a.

              Net debt/EBITDA

              Structure

              Tenant strucutre 2020

              Sources: Bloomberg, Metzler Research

  • 11.7 n.a.

  • 9.9 n.a.

  • 11.8 n.a.

  • 9.3 n.a.

  • 11.1 n.a.

  • 10.6 n.a.

Disclosures

Recommendation history

Recommendations for each financial instrument or issuer - mentioned in this docu­ ment - published by Metzler in the past twelve months

Date of dissemi­ nation

Metzler recommendation * Previous CurrentCurrent price **Price target * Author ***

Issuer/Financial Instrument (ISIN): DEFAMA Deutsche Fachmarkt AG (DE000A13SUL5)

01.03.2022

21.02.2022

03.11.2021

11.10.2021

29.07.2021

19.05.2021

30.04.2021

Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy BuyBuy Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy

28.00 EUR

32.50 EUR Bonhage, Stephan

27.80 EUR

32.50 EUR Bonhage, Stephan

25.00 EUR

27.20 EUR Bonhage, Stephan

24.60 EUR

27.20 EUR Bonhage, Stephan

22.40 EUR

25.50 EUR Bonhage, Stephan

20.00 EUR

23.00 EUR Bonhage, Stephan

19.50 EUR

23.00 EUR Bonhage, StephanIssuer/Financial Instrument (ISIN): Deutsche Konsum REIT-AG (DE000A14KRD3)

15.02.2022

20.12.2021

09.12.2021

04.10.2021

13.08.2021

18.06.2021

17.05.2021

Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy BuyBuy Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy

13.35 EUR

17.60 EUR Bonhage, Stephan

  • 14.00 EUR

    17.60 EUR Bonhage, Stephan

  • 14.10 EUR

17.90 EUR Bonhage, Stephan

14.40 EUR

17.90 EUR Bonhage, Stephan

14.65 EUR

17.90 EUR Bonhage, Stephan

15.15 EUR

17.90 EUR Bonhage, Stephan

15.20 EUR

17.90 EUR Bonhage, Stephan

* Effective until the price target and/or investment recommendation is updated

(FI/FX recommendations are valid solely at the time of publication)

** ***

XETRA trading price at the close of the previous day unless stated otherwise herein

All authors are financial analysts

DEFAMA Deutsche Fachmarkt AG 13 . Metzler, a company affiliated with Metzler and/or a person that has worked on compiling this report has reached an agreement with the is­ suer relating to the production of investment recommendations.

Compiled: April 25, 2022 08:32 AM CEST

Initial release: April 25, 2022 08:32 AM CEST

Um den Rest dieser Noodl zu lesen, rufen Sie bitte die Originalversion auf, und zwar hier.

Attachments

  • Original Link
  • Original Document
  • Permalink

Disclaimer

Defama Deutsche Fachmarkt AG published this content on 25 April 2022 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 25 April 2022 07:18:09 UTC.