HAMBURG/KIEL (dpa-AFX) - Following attacks by Yemeni Houthi rebels on ships in the Red Sea, the Suez Canal, an important artery for world trade, has been closed to major shipping companies for the time being. Instead, they are sailing via the Cape of Good Hope at the southern tip of Africa on the Asia-Europe trade until further notice. "The fact that shipping companies are taking the detour of more than 6,000 kilometers around Africa is evidence of the extraordinary danger in the Red Sea," said global trade expert Vincent Stamer from the Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) to the German Press Agency on Monday.

The Hamburg-based container shipping company Hapag-Lloyd, for example, intends to avoid passage through the Suez Canal until further notice. Hapag-Lloyd decided on Monday to divert "several ships via the Cape of Good Hope", according to a spokesperson following consultations with a crisis team. "This will continue until the passage through the Suez Canal and the Red Sea is safe again for ships and their crews." The industry leader MSC also confirmed in a message to customers on Monday that MSC ships will not sail east and west through the Suez Canal until the passage through the Red Sea is safe. "Some services are already being diverted and are sailing via the Cape of Good Hope instead."

Alternative route causes delays

The Suez Canal connects the Mediterranean with the Red Sea, making it the shortest sea route between Asia and Europe. Around ten percent of all global trade passes through the Red Sea.

The detours are likely to significantly delay deliveries. Estimates range from a few days to two weeks. Stamer, who records and evaluates global shipping movements in real time at the IfW, assumes delays of around ten days. However, Stamer does not expect any major disruptions in global supply chains, as was the case during the coronavirus pandemic.

Long material shortages not expected

"Back then, there were major supply bottlenecks due to extremely high demand for durable goods from the Far East and global lockdowns," says Stamer. "This situation has largely normalized. Material shortages over several months are therefore not to be expected due to the detour around Africa." Hapag-Lloyd also points out that the pandemic, including broken supply chains and the accident involving the freighter "Ever Given" in the Suez Canal, came together at the time. "This is difficult to compare with the current situation."

According to Stamer, freight rates in the container ship network have risen again slightly. However, prices for container transportation by sea have fallen significantly since the highs during the pandemic. "In addition, transportation costs from Asia to Europe are only 2 percent, even for the cheapest goods," says the IfW expert.

Since the outbreak of the Gaza war, the Iran-backed Houthi rebels have repeatedly attacked Israel with drones and missiles, among other things, and have attacked ships in the Red Sea to prevent them from sailing towards Israel. On Friday, the Hapag-Lloyd container freighter "Al Jasrah" and the "MSC Palatium III" were damaged in attacks./kf/DP/jha