Lenzing
Investor Presentation
Full-year results 2023
March 15, 2024
Disclaimer
- The information contained in this document has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty expressed or implied is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of this information or opinions contained herein.
- Certain statements contained in this document may be statements of future expectations and other forward looking statements that are based on management's current view and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements.
- None of Lenzing AG or any of its affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (for negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its content or otherwise arising in connection with this document.
- Certain figures in this presentation have been rounded in accordance with commercial principles and practice. Such figures that have been rounded in various tables may not necessarily add up to the exact total given in the respective table.
- Definition and further details on the calculation of financial key indicators can be derived from the Half-Year Report and the Annual Report. These reports are also available online on the website of the Lenzing Group www.lenzing.comin the section "Investors".
www.lenzing.com | 14 March 2024 - 2 |
Today's agenda
Topic | Presenter |
1 Executive Summary | • Stephan Sielaff, CEO |
2 Market update
•
•
Christian Skilich, CTO/CPO Stephan Sielaff, CEO
3 | Financials | • Nico Reiner, CFO |
4 | Performance program | • Stephan Sielaff, CEO |
5 | Highlights | • Stephan Sielaff, CEO |
6 | Outlook | • Stephan Sielaff, CEO |
• | |
7 Q&A | • |
•
Stephan Sielaff, CEO
Nico Reiner, CFO
Christian Skilich, CTO/CPO
www.lenzing.com | 14 March 2024 - 3 |
Weak market environment heavily affected Lenzing results in 2023, holistic performance program leading to positive FCF in H2 2023
Key developments
- The recovery expected for the second half of 2023 in the markets relevant to Lenzing has not occurred
- Weak demand in fiber markets and still elevated raw material as well as energy costs heavily affecting Lenzing's results
- Management took swift action in summer 2023 with holistic performance program to increase resilience by strengthening the top line, enhancing cost excellence as well as fully focusing on FCF generation
- Program is ahead of plan with first ultimate impact resulting in positive FCF in Q3 and Q4 2023
2023 financial results
- Revenue stagnated at EUR 2,521 mn (vs. EUR 2,566 mn in 2022) with growing DWP share
- EBITDA increased to EUR 3031 mn (vs. EUR 2421 mn in 2022)
- Continued uncertainties in the economic and industry environment as well as a higher interest rate environment led to a non-cash impairment of EUR 465 mn
- Net result after minorities and hybrid bond was negative at EUR -649 mn (vs. EUR -73 mn in 2022) mainly driven by impairment
- FCF 2023 significantly improved to EUR -123 mn (vs. EUR -741 in 2022) - FCF in Q3 and Q4 2023 were positive
Lenzing Group expects EBITDA for the 2024 financial year to be higher than in the previous year
2023
www.lenzing.com | 14 March 2024 - 4 |
1) Includes positive biological asset valuation impact
Market update
www.lenzing.com
Both energy and NaOH market prices remained elevated in 2023 compared to historical levels
Development of selected energy and NaOH market prices, 2020-2023
Indexed, Q1 2020 = 100 | |
Energy prices | NaOH prices |
2,250
2,000
1,750
1,500
1,250
1,000
750
500
Natural Gas Europe Coal China
500
400
300
200
100
NaOH Southeast Asia
NaOH China
NaOH Europe
250 | Coal Indonesia | ||
100 | Natural Gas USA | ||
0 | |||
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 | |||
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
NOTE: All prices indexed based on reported currency
SOURCE: IHS Markit; CCFG; Argus; ICE; NYMEX
www.lenzing.com | 14 March 2024 - 6 |
As a result, costs for energy and chemicals for Lenzing still on high levels in 2023 compared to 2021
Development of selected costs for Lenzing 2021-20231, as percentage of production costs (excl. depreciation)
Energy
Chemicals
+7%
• Costs for both Energy and | |||
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |
Chemicals significantly | |||
increased compared to 2021
+35%
2021 2022 2023
1) Excluding costs for new pulp mill in Brazil and new Lyocell plant in Thailand to make numbers comparable
www.lenzing.com | 14 March 2024 - 7 |
Global apparel retail sales increased 2023 due to China's local demand and low 2022 base
FY 2023 YoY
FY 2023 apparel retail sales1 breakdown by region
in %, FY 2023 vs. 2022, inflation-adjusted, seasonally adjusted, Index - 2019 = 100,
United States | Europe | ||
- 1 % | +1 % | ||
2023 YoY | 2023 YoY |
Major influencing factors 2023
- Promotional activities
- Consumer confidence
- Inflationary pressure
- Weather
- Uncertainty
World
+4 %
2023 YoY
China
+ 12 %
2023 YoY
NOTES: 1 Global estimate based on 42 countries accounting for 84 % of global 2019 apparel sales. Where available incl. online (China), otherwise excl. online. Europe estimate based on weighted average of 20 countries. All data in local currency, partly adjusted for FX
www.lenzing.com | 14 March 2024 - 8 |
SOURCE: Lenzing Market Intelligence based on government statistics
Inventory levels in the US significantly decreased in 2023 and brands continue to be cautious on inventory development
US clothing inventories (retail and wholesale)
…we are still seeing a fairly
USD bn, in current prices
Example US
promotional environment out there, even with the inventory levels at the retailers in a lot better place.
115 | |||||||||||
110 | |||||||||||
105 | |||||||||||
100 | |||||||||||
95 | 30% | ||||||||||
90 | |||||||||||
85 | |||||||||||
80 | 17% | ||||||||||
75 | |||||||||||
70 | |||||||||||
65 | |||||||||||
60 | |||||||||||
Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2022
2023
2012-2019 range & average
- CFO, Feb 8, 2024
One of our top priorities throughout the year was executing an inventory reduction plan. I'm pleased to report that, we exited the
year with inventories down 27 % compared to last year.
- CEO, Feb 1, 2024
Inventory efficiency remains a focus area. The inventory continues to decrease in relation to sales.
- CEO, Jan 31, 2024
NOTES: Including inventories in both retail and wholesale. Retail inventories for NAICS 448 (Clothing and clothing access. Stores), wholesale inventories for NAICS 4243 (Wholesale of Apparel, Piece Goods & Notions). Not adjusted for seasonal variation and trading-day differences. In current prices
www.lenzing.com | 14 March 2024 - 9 |
SOURCE: Company filings, Investor Call transcripts, US Census (accessed February 2024)
Inventory trends in the textile industry in 2023 show path to normalization supported by high promotional activity during holiday season in Q4
Quarterly development of inventories | below |
Median of percent change vs. same quarter 2019, in USD | |
0 % | |
- 0 % to
+10 %
- +11 % to +20 %
- +21 % to +30 %
Estimates
- above +30 %
TX value chain
Fiber
Yarn & Fabric
Garmenting & Home mfg
Brands
& retailers
Q1 21
Q2 21
Q3 21
Q4 21
Q1 22
Q2 22
Q3 22
Q4 22
Q1 23
Q2 23
Q3 23
Q4 23 |
www.lenzing.com | 14 March 2024 - 10 |
SOURCE: Lenzing Market Intelligence based on company filings
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Lenzing AG published this content on 14 March 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 15 March 2024 06:35:04 UTC.