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UK Mail : Sharp and steady bullish trend

08/27/2013 | 04:33am
Opinion : Bullish above GBp 610
Target price : GBp 700
Stop loss: GBp 597.5
LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE
Air Freight & Logistics

UK Mail' stock benefit from a steady bullish trend since mid-2012.

The company shows strong fundamentals. Firstly, the security is undervalued compared to its peers with an EV/Sales ratio estimated at 0.62x by the Thomson Reuters consensus for this year. Moreover, the consensus revised upward EPS estimates for this year (approximately +30% since September 2012) and that let see a great potential for the security on the stock market.

Technically, the security shows a bullish configuration on all time scales. Prices are supported by increasing moving averages. In weekly data, 20-week moving average helps the stock to keep its uptrend.

According to both technical and fundamental elements, it seems opportune to take a long position. Ideally, the position will be taken upon comeback to the 20-day moving average, around GBp 610. The trend trend should allow the security to reach GBp 700, corresponding to the bullish trend line. A stop loss will be placed under the GBp 610 short term support to avoid a downtrend.

UK Mail  : UK Mail  : Sharp and steady bullish trend
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Financial Ratios

Size 2015e 2016e
Capitalization 331 M GBP -
Entreprise Value (EV) 331 M GBP 335 M GBP
Valuation 2015e 2016e
PER (Price / EPS) 17,5x 16,1x
Capitalization / Revenue 0,63x 0,61x
EV / Revenue 0,63x 0,61x
EV / EBITDA 10,1x 9,48x
Yield (DPS / Price) 3,83% 4,15%
Profitability 2015e 2016e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 4,57% 4,84%
operating Leverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) 1,68x 2,71x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 3,61% 3,81%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) - -
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 24,3% 24,2%
Rate of Dividend 67,2% 66,9%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2015e 2016e
CAPEX / Sales   6,31% 3,01%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) - -
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) - -
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) -0,01x 0,11x
Income Statement Evolution
UK Mail Group PLC : Income Statement Evolution
More Financials
EPS Revisions
UK Mail Group PLC : EPS Revisions
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