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UK Mail : Sharp and steady bullish trend

08/27/2013 | 04:33am
Opinion : Bullish above GBp 610
Target price : GBp 700
Stop loss: GBp 597.5
Air Freight / Courier Services

UK Mail' stock benefit from a steady bullish trend since mid-2012.

The company shows strong fundamentals. Firstly, the security is undervalued compared to its peers with an EV/Sales ratio estimated at 0.62x by the Thomson Reuters consensus for this year. Moreover, the consensus revised upward EPS estimates for this year (approximately +30% since September 2012) and that let see a great potential for the security on the stock market.

Technically, the security shows a bullish configuration on all time scales. Prices are supported by increasing moving averages. In weekly data, 20-week moving average helps the stock to keep its uptrend.

According to both technical and fundamental elements, it seems opportune to take a long position. Ideally, the position will be taken upon comeback to the 20-day moving average, around GBp 610. The trend trend should allow the security to reach GBp 700, corresponding to the bullish trend line. A stop loss will be placed under the GBp 610 short term support to avoid a downtrend.

UK Mail  : UK Mail  : Sharp and steady bullish trend
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Financial Ratios

Size 2014e 2015e
Capitalization 329 M GBP -
Company Value 330 M GBP 320 M GBP
Valuation 2014e 2015e
PER (Price / EPS) 18,8x 17,9x
Capitalization / Revenue 0,63x 0,61x
EV / Revenue 0,64x 0,59x
EV / EBITDA 10,6x 9,71x
Yield (DPS / Price) 3,45% 3,79%
Profitability 2014e 2015e
Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales) 4,37% 4,45%
operating Leverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) 3,07x 1,43x
Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue) 3,39% 3,37%
ROA (Net Profit / Asset) - -
ROE (Net Profit / Equities) 24,6% 23,4%
Rate of Dividend 64,8% 67,9%
Balance Sheet Analysis 2014e 2015e
CAPEX / Sales   2,56% 3,78%
Cash Flow / Sales (Taux d'autofinancement) - -
Capital Intensity (Assets / Sales) - -
Financial Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA) 0,03x -0,28x
Income Statement Evolution
UK Mail Group PLC : Income Statement Evolution
More Financials
EPS Revisions
UK Mail Group PLC : EPS Revisions
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